Total |
|
|
|
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
Million |
4844.0 |
5293.1 |
5755.9 |
6205.0 |
6646.8 |
7088.6 |
7530.4 |
7972.2 |
8414.0 |
10031.0 |
10639.2 |
11312.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
Thousand 90US$ |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
6.5 |
9.2 |
14.4 |
21.5 |
GNP |
|
Billion 90US$ |
16984.9 |
20107.0 |
23136.4 |
26737.6 |
31260.9 |
36484.3 |
41737.3 |
47735.0 |
54657.8 |
92405.1 |
152783.7 |
243147.0 |
Secondary Consumption by Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
68.7 |
77.7 |
83.0 |
86.0 |
93.3 |
99.4 |
106.7 |
114.9 |
126.1 |
175.6 |
228.5 |
276.6 |
Ind |
|
|
94.9 |
113.4 |
123.3 |
130.9 |
145.4 |
159.2 |
175.8 |
196.2 |
223.7 |
262.5 |
279.3 |
280.5 |
Tran |
|
61.3 |
68.5 |
75.6 |
80.9 |
83.3 |
91.3 |
99.2 |
111.5 |
134.1 |
175.1 |
215.0 |
288.0 |
Total |
|
224.9 |
259.6 |
281.9 |
297.8 |
322.0 |
349.9 |
381.7 |
422.5 |
483.9 |
613.2 |
722.8 |
845.1 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
100.1 |
106.3 |
114.9 |
117.5 |
120.1 |
125.3 |
131.2 |
141.7 |
166.9 |
223.1 |
267.9 |
343.0 |
Gas |
|
46.4 |
60.0 |
66.2 |
71.6 |
79.6 |
88.0 |
97.1 |
108.0 |
119.6 |
134.6 |
134.3 |
130.1 |
Solid |
|
46.3 |
54.4 |
57.8 |
60.7 |
65.9 |
72.7 |
81.0 |
90.3 |
100.9 |
119.3 |
126.2 |
122.4 |
Elec |
|
32.1 |
38.9 |
43.0 |
47.8 |
56.4 |
64.0 |
72.7 |
82.1 |
94.6 |
132.6 |
190.2 |
245.1 |
Total |
|
224.9 |
259.6 |
281.9 |
297.6 |
322.1 |
350.1 |
381.8 |
422.0 |
482.0 |
609.6 |
718.7 |
840.5 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
17.5 |
16.9 |
18.0 |
17.4 |
18.5 |
18.2 |
18.3 |
18.5 |
21.0 |
19.3 |
16.1 |
19.1 |
Gas |
|
13.7 |
20.0 |
22.0 |
23.7 |
25.4 |
27.2 |
28.6 |
30.4 |
31.8 |
33.0 |
31.6 |
32.8 |
Solid |
|
38.3 |
44.5 |
49.1 |
53.6 |
63.0 |
71.5 |
81.8 |
93.5 |
107.1 |
110.4 |
117.7 |
137.6 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
19.8 |
23.0 |
27.3 |
32.9 |
39.1 |
46.0 |
55.7 |
81.7 |
122.7 |
175.0 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
4.2 |
7.3 |
11.2 |
16.7 |
24.6 |
58.6 |
130.2 |
191.0 |
Total |
|
105.0 |
123.0 |
136.2 |
148.2 |
169.7 |
191.2 |
216.1 |
245.7 |
284.1 |
361.7 |
486.0 |
627.3 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.8 |
94.4 |
212.2 |
389.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
13.9 |
59.1 |
124.2 |
169.1 |
195.2 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.2 |
31.2 |
107.4 |
182.8 |
274.5 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6.2 |
16.1 |
44.4 |
80.4 |
124.4 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
117.6 |
123.3 |
132.9 |
134.9 |
138.6 |
143.5 |
149.4 |
156.0 |
156.7 |
134.9 |
101.2 |
87.7 |
Gas |
|
60.1 |
80.0 |
88.2 |
95.3 |
105.0 |
115.2 |
125.6 |
132.1 |
135.3 |
123.3 |
85.5 |
38.6 |
Solid |
|
84.6 |
98.9 |
107.0 |
114.3 |
129.0 |
144.2 |
162.8 |
183.8 |
212.9 |
324.1 |
456.1 |
649.7 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
19.8 |
23.0 |
27.3 |
32.9 |
39.1 |
46.0 |
55.7 |
81.7 |
122.7 |
175.0 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
4.2 |
7.3 |
11.2 |
16.7 |
24.6 |
58.6 |
130.2 |
191.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
13.9 |
59.1 |
124.2 |
169.1 |
195.2 |
Total |
|
297.8 |
343.7 |
375.1 |
398.1 |
435.3 |
477.2 |
525.3 |
589.1 |
688.2 |
905.6 |
1132.5 |
1408.9 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
117.9 |
120.6 |
131.3 |
140.6 |
145.3 |
151.2 |
156.2 |
161.4 |
164.7 |
144.2 |
108.2 |
92.8 |
Gas |
|
58.6 |
85.7 |
91.7 |
97.6 |
108.5 |
118.2 |
128.3 |
135.6 |
140.1 |
128.6 |
90.7 |
42.0 |
Solid |
|
87.3 |
98.4 |
107.0 |
117.0 |
130.8 |
146.1 |
165.0 |
186.0 |
220.6 |
342.0 |
483.4 |
689.4 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
19.8 |
23.0 |
27.3 |
32.9 |
39.1 |
46.0 |
55.7 |
81.7 |
122.7 |
175.0 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
4.2 |
7.3 |
11.2 |
16.7 |
24.6 |
58.6 |
130.2 |
191.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
13.9 |
58.6 |
119.4 |
162.9 |
191.0 |
Total |
|
299.3 |
346.3 |
377.0 |
408.7 |
447.3 |
489.8 |
537.0 |
600.2 |
708.1 |
933.2 |
1165.8 |
1452.9 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
5.2 |
6.0 |
6.5 |
6.8 |
7.4 |
8.0 |
8.7 |
9.5 |
10.3 |
12.5 |
14.7 |
18.6 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
126.4 |
129.6 |
133.5 |
140.0 |
140.1 |
141.9 |
137.8 |
133.9 |
160.0 |
218.8 |
282.3 |
385.4 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
23.4 |
25.5 |
26.1 |
27.8 |
29.4 |
31.3 |
33.7 |
37.2 |
42.9 |
52.8 |
60.0 |
71.5 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
4.3 |
5.4 |
7.1 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
31.0 |
35.0 |
36.9 |
39.0 |
42.3 |
45.7 |
50.0 |
54.6 |
62.8 |
97.3 |
137.5 |
196.2 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
38.7 |
54.0 |
53.6 |
52.8 |
53.9 |
53.0 |
50.9 |
48.0 |
44.3 |
38.9 |
27.9 |
19.0 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
76.5 |
83.9 |
91.4 |
99.1 |
106.9 |
113.5 |
122.0 |
129.1 |
138.1 |
173.2 |
187.8 |
198.5 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
57.5 |
59.9 |
62.7 |
66.0 |
69.4 |
71.7 |
73.9 |
75.8 |
78.3 |
87.5 |
85.7 |
83.6 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
23.9 |
26.2 |
28.6 |
31.0 |
33.4 |
35.5 |
38.1 |
40.4 |
43.2 |
54.1 |
58.7 |
62.0 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
35.2 |
37.7 |
39.5 |
41.6 |
44.7 |
48.1 |
52.4 |
57.2 |
62.8 |
93.4 |
103.8 |
109.1 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
288.6 |
296.6 |
302.4 |
308.7 |
315.2 |
321.8 |
328.6 |
334.8 |
341.0 |
363.0 |
354.1 |
352.5 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
8.2 |
8.5 |
8.8 |
9.1 |
9.3 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.4 |
11.4 |
11.2 |
11.3 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
26.9 |
27.7 |
28.2 |
28.8 |
29.4 |
30.0 |
30.7 |
31.2 |
31.8 |
33.9 |
33.0 |
32.9 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
CH4 from Domestic Sewage |
|
Tg CH4 |
22.9 |
25.0 |
27.2 |
29.3 |
31.4 |
33.5 |
35.6 |
37.7 |
39.7 |
47.4 |
50.2 |
53.4 |
N2O from Oceans |
|
Tg N |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
N2O from Tropical Soils |
|
Tg N |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
N2O from Temperate Soils |
|
Tg N |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
CH4 from Wetlands |
|
Tg CH4 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
CH4 from Termites |
|
Tg CH4 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
CH4 from Oceans & Freshwaters |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
CH4 from Methane Hydrates |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
CO from Plants |
|
Tg C |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
CO from Oceans |
|
Tg C |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
CO from Wildfires |
|
Tg C |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
NOx from Natural Lands |
|
Tg N |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
NOx from lightning |
|
Tg N |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
6.5 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
9.4 |
10.2 |
10.9 |
11.8 |
13.8 |
15.4 |
19.1 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
12.2 |
12.9 |
13.3 |
13.7 |
14.1 |
14.5 |
14.9 |
15.3 |
15.7 |
16.6 |
16.7 |
16.9 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
469.3 |
506.1 |
524.8 |
544.5 |
568.4 |
588.2 |
611.1 |
631.7 |
659.2 |
784.9 |
845.1 |
916.9 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
52.7 |
55.0 |
55.9 |
57.8 |
59.7 |
61.9 |
64.6 |
68.3 |
74.3 |
85.3 |
92.2 |
103.8 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
488.0 |
499.2 |
508.9 |
521.7 |
528.3 |
536.7 |
539.4 |
541.7 |
574.0 |
654.8 |
709.3 |
810.9 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
65.4 |
75.9 |
77.6 |
78.2 |
83.5 |
89.5 |
97.2 |
107.0 |
117.7 |
149.3 |
144.2 |
141.8 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions (controlled) |
|
Tg S |
56.3 |
65.4 |
66.3 |
66.4 |
70.8 |
76.0 |
82.6 |
91.1 |
99.8 |
128.4 |
121.7 |
118.7 |
Other Industrial Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
Tg S |
6.8 |
8.1 |
8.9 |
9.3 |
10.2 |
11.0 |
12.0 |
13.3 |
15.2 |
18.0 |
19.7 |
20.2 |
|
|
|
|
USA |
|
1985.0 |
1990.0 |
1995.0 |
2000.0 |
2005.0 |
2010.0 |
2015.0 |
2020.0 |
2025.0 |
2050.0 |
2075.0 |
2100.0 |
Population |
|
Million |
239.0 |
248.9 |
259.1 |
269.0 |
275.4 |
281.8 |
288.2 |
294.6 |
301.0 |
297.0 |
295.5 |
294.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
Thousand 90US$ |
19.7 |
22.8 |
26.3 |
30.5 |
35.2 |
39.8 |
42.9 |
45.4 |
47.0 |
68.2 |
93.0 |
118.8 |
GNP |
|
Billion 90US$ |
4702.0 |
5662.6 |
6823.3 |
8216.7 |
9705.1 |
11207.3 |
12376.9 |
13377.4 |
14135.7 |
20250.2 |
27489.8 |
34926.5 |
Secondary Consumption by Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
15.1 |
15.4 |
16.2 |
17.0 |
18.7 |
19.5 |
20.4 |
21.2 |
22.1 |
24.7 |
26.2 |
26.9 |
Ind |
|
|
18.4 |
22.5 |
23.2 |
24.0 |
25.6 |
26.4 |
26.8 |
27.0 |
28.1 |
28.2 |
26.9 |
26.1 |
Tran |
|
21.0 |
22.0 |
23.6 |
25.1 |
25.1 |
26.5 |
26.5 |
26.5 |
28.2 |
27.5 |
25.8 |
28.5 |
Total |
|
54.5 |
59.9 |
63.0 |
66.1 |
69.4 |
72.4 |
73.7 |
74.7 |
78.4 |
80.4 |
78.9 |
81.5 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
28.3 |
29.6 |
31.0 |
31.6 |
31.6 |
32.5 |
31.8 |
31.1 |
32.9 |
32.7 |
30.6 |
32.8 |
Gas |
|
14.1 |
16.5 |
17.9 |
19.6 |
21.3 |
22.2 |
22.3 |
22.2 |
22.0 |
21.8 |
18.8 |
16.6 |
Solid |
|
3.8 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
Elec |
|
8.3 |
9.5 |
10.5 |
11.8 |
13.1 |
14.0 |
15.5 |
16.9 |
18.7 |
21.1 |
25.0 |
28.1 |
Total |
|
54.5 |
59.9 |
63.0 |
66.1 |
69.4 |
72.4 |
73.7 |
74.7 |
78.4 |
80.4 |
78.9 |
81.5 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
Gas |
|
2.2 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
Solid |
|
12.9 |
13.9 |
15.6 |
17.5 |
20.1 |
21.2 |
23.2 |
24.6 |
26.0 |
21.2 |
18.0 |
18.3 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
11.0 |
12.2 |
14.4 |
17.7 |
22.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
5.1 |
7.9 |
9.7 |
17.2 |
21.6 |
Total |
|
26.0 |
29.1 |
32.4 |
36.0 |
39.7 |
42.0 |
46.2 |
50.2 |
55.4 |
57.1 |
63.8 |
72.6 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.7 |
26.1 |
28.9 |
33.5 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.9 |
13.9 |
18.7 |
16.0 |
15.7 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
7.6 |
20.4 |
15.3 |
9.6 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.0 |
4.6 |
13.4 |
15.0 |
18.7 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
29.5 |
31.1 |
33.0 |
34.0 |
33.9 |
34.5 |
33.7 |
31.7 |
27.0 |
14.6 |
17.5 |
25.5 |
Gas |
|
16.3 |
19.9 |
21.5 |
23.5 |
25.3 |
26.1 |
26.1 |
23.8 |
20.7 |
13.3 |
7.8 |
1.4 |
Solid |
|
16.7 |
18.2 |
19.2 |
20.6 |
23.5 |
24.9 |
27.3 |
29.1 |
32.5 |
52.1 |
51.4 |
55.8 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
11.0 |
12.2 |
14.4 |
17.7 |
22.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
5.1 |
7.9 |
9.7 |
17.2 |
21.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.9 |
13.9 |
18.7 |
16.0 |
15.7 |
Total |
|
72.2 |
79.5 |
84.9 |
90.3 |
96.0 |
100.4 |
104.4 |
108.8 |
118.5 |
127.5 |
132.2 |
146.9 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
20.8 |
17.2 |
14.5 |
12.6 |
10.9 |
10.2 |
10.0 |
10.3 |
10.8 |
10.5 |
17.5 |
25.5 |
Gas |
|
16.3 |
18.2 |
18.7 |
18.5 |
17.8 |
17.0 |
16.4 |
16.0 |
15.6 |
9.6 |
4.3 |
1.7 |
Solid |
|
19.4 |
19.3 |
21.4 |
25.0 |
28.2 |
30.0 |
32.8 |
36.1 |
40.7 |
65.1 |
107.9 |
177.7 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
11.0 |
12.2 |
14.4 |
17.7 |
22.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
5.1 |
7.9 |
9.7 |
17.2 |
21.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
4.7 |
9.5 |
13.0 |
15.2 |
Total |
|
66.2 |
65.0 |
65.8 |
68.3 |
70.2 |
72.1 |
76.5 |
83.8 |
96.2 |
123.4 |
182.3 |
268.6 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
21.8 |
19.8 |
18.1 |
16.3 |
13.8 |
14.0 |
14.1 |
14.1 |
14.9 |
10.8 |
10.3 |
11.4 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
5.4 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
7.4 |
8.3 |
9.1 |
9.4 |
9.9 |
10.6 |
11.6 |
18.5 |
30.7 |
50.6 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
7.1 |
7.8 |
8.4 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
8.4 |
9.3 |
9.2 |
6.6 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
10.1 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
9.9 |
10.3 |
10.4 |
10.4 |
10.5 |
10.5 |
10.7 |
10.5 |
10.5 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions (controlled) |
|
Tg S |
9.0 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
7.2 |
8.6 |
Other Industrial Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
Tg S |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
OECD-W |
|
1985.0 |
1990.0 |
1995.0 |
2000.0 |
2005.0 |
2010.0 |
2015.0 |
2020.0 |
2025.0 |
2050.0 |
2075.0 |
2100.0 |
Population |
|
Million |
430.0 |
438.9 |
448.1 |
457.0 |
460.2 |
463.4 |
466.6 |
469.8 |
473.0 |
459.0 |
455.0 |
451.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
Thousand 90US$ |
10.0 |
11.1 |
12.4 |
13.8 |
15.6 |
17.5 |
19.1 |
20.8 |
22.7 |
34.2 |
47.2 |
60.3 |
GNP |
|
Billion 90US$ |
4285.8 |
4872.9 |
5543.9 |
6302.9 |
7167.9 |
8125.8 |
8922.6 |
9786.4 |
10725.5 |
15696.0 |
21475.3 |
27174.9 |
Secondary Consumption by Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
17.9 |
19.3 |
20.4 |
19.6 |
19.8 |
19.8 |
19.9 |
20.2 |
21.4 |
23.4 |
25.5 |
25.7 |
Ind |
|
|
14.3 |
16.2 |
17.8 |
17.3 |
18.1 |
18.3 |
18.6 |
19.3 |
20.7 |
20.0 |
18.9 |
17.5 |
Tran |
|
13.1 |
14.8 |
16.1 |
15.7 |
14.8 |
15.0 |
14.6 |
14.8 |
16.3 |
15.4 |
14.5 |
15.3 |
Total |
|
45.3 |
50.3 |
54.3 |
52.6 |
52.7 |
53.1 |
53.2 |
54.3 |
58.4 |
58.8 |
58.9 |
58.6 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
22.5 |
24.1 |
25.3 |
22.8 |
21.2 |
20.3 |
19.1 |
18.4 |
19.6 |
18.0 |
16.1 |
15.2 |
Gas |
|
9.4 |
10.5 |
11.6 |
11.2 |
11.4 |
11.4 |
11.3 |
11.3 |
11.2 |
9.9 |
8.4 |
6.8 |
Solid |
|
5.3 |
6.5 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
9.2 |
10.2 |
8.8 |
7.6 |
6.2 |
Elec |
|
8.1 |
9.2 |
10.2 |
11.2 |
12.5 |
13.4 |
14.0 |
14.6 |
15.7 |
19.0 |
23.3 |
26.7 |
Total |
|
45.3 |
50.3 |
54.3 |
52.3 |
52.4 |
52.8 |
52.8 |
53.5 |
56.6 |
55.7 |
55.4 |
54.9 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.4 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
Gas |
|
1.7 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
Solid |
|
5.5 |
6.0 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
7.3 |
7.8 |
8.3 |
8.9 |
9.7 |
9.2 |
8.6 |
8.0 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
8.4 |
8.9 |
9.8 |
10.5 |
11.2 |
12.3 |
14.8 |
19.7 |
25.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
6.6 |
12.8 |
16.4 |
Total |
|
25.1 |
27.9 |
30.8 |
31.8 |
33.7 |
35.3 |
36.7 |
38.5 |
41.1 |
45.8 |
55.3 |
63.3 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
9.7 |
16.3 |
17.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
6.3 |
9.6 |
10.2 |
10.9 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
4.5 |
10.5 |
13.4 |
14.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
3.4 |
5.8 |
7.0 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
27.9 |
28.9 |
30.0 |
26.5 |
25.0 |
23.8 |
22.2 |
20.8 |
18.2 |
9.4 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
Gas |
|
11.1 |
13.4 |
14.8 |
14.2 |
14.6 |
14.6 |
14.4 |
14.4 |
13.8 |
8.8 |
4.5 |
1.4 |
Solid |
|
10.8 |
12.5 |
13.9 |
13.7 |
14.6 |
15.5 |
16.7 |
18.1 |
20.1 |
27.7 |
32.6 |
31.9 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
8.4 |
8.9 |
9.8 |
10.5 |
11.2 |
12.3 |
14.8 |
19.7 |
25.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
6.6 |
12.8 |
16.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
6.3 |
9.6 |
10.2 |
10.9 |
Total |
|
62.3 |
69.0 |
74.9 |
72.9 |
73.6 |
74.7 |
75.5 |
77.7 |
83.6 |
88.0 |
94.8 |
99.2 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
11.9 |
11.0 |
10.5 |
10.5 |
10.3 |
9.9 |
9.6 |
9.2 |
8.8 |
6.3 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
Gas |
|
9.7 |
12.9 |
14.6 |
15.3 |
15.4 |
15.1 |
14.7 |
14.4 |
13.8 |
8.4 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
Solid |
|
9.4 |
10.9 |
12.6 |
14.7 |
16.9 |
19.2 |
21.5 |
23.5 |
26.4 |
37.2 |
47.7 |
62.2 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
8.4 |
8.9 |
9.8 |
10.5 |
11.2 |
12.3 |
14.8 |
19.7 |
25.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
6.6 |
12.8 |
16.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
3.3 |
6.8 |
9.3 |
10.9 |
Total |
|
43.5 |
49.0 |
53.9 |
58.9 |
62.0 |
65.0 |
67.9 |
71.4 |
77.6 |
91.1 |
108.1 |
129.5 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
32.8 |
29.5 |
26.7 |
24.5 |
21.8 |
22.1 |
19.1 |
15.3 |
11.2 |
8.5 |
8.1 |
8.8 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
7.5 |
10.6 |
13.6 |
17.7 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
10.0 |
10.4 |
10.8 |
11.2 |
11.5 |
12.0 |
13.5 |
12.9 |
13.2 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions (controlled) |
|
Tg S |
11.2 |
12.0 |
10.2 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
7.6 |
4.4 |
3.1 |
Other Industrial Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
Tg S |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
OECD-A |
|
1985.0 |
1990.0 |
1995.0 |
2000.0 |
2005.0 |
2010.0 |
2015.0 |
2020.0 |
2025.0 |
2050.0 |
2075.0 |
2100.0 |
Population |
|
Million |
146.0 |
150.3 |
154.7 |
159.0 |
160.2 |
161.4 |
162.6 |
163.8 |
165.0 |
160.0 |
159.0 |
158.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
Thousand 90US$ |
12.6 |
14.8 |
17.4 |
20.5 |
24.3 |
28.4 |
31.7 |
34.8 |
37.8 |
55.9 |
76.9 |
98.1 |
GNP |
|
Billion 90US$ |
1842.6 |
2228.2 |
2696.4 |
3260.2 |
3894.3 |
4577.2 |
5147.2 |
5706.7 |
6240.3 |
8936.3 |
12219.1 |
15501.1 |
Secondary Consumption by Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
3.7 |
4.8 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.7 |
6.2 |
7.1 |
7.5 |
7.7 |
Ind |
|
|
4.6 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
6.4 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
6.6 |
Tran |
|
4.5 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
8.4 |
Total |
|
12.8 |
16.3 |
17.9 |
17.9 |
17.7 |
17.8 |
18.0 |
18.8 |
21.0 |
21.5 |
21.9 |
22.7 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
7.4 |
9.1 |
9.9 |
9.5 |
8.7 |
8.1 |
7.8 |
7.9 |
9.0 |
8.6 |
7.7 |
7.9 |
Gas |
|
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Solid |
|
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
Elec |
|
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
6.4 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
8.0 |
9.4 |
11.1 |
12.1 |
Total |
|
12.8 |
16.3 |
17.9 |
18.0 |
18.0 |
18.3 |
18.5 |
19.1 |
20.9 |
21.0 |
21.3 |
21.9 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
Solid |
|
2.1 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
5.9 |
4.7 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
8.0 |
11.3 |
13.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
5.4 |
8.9 |
10.6 |
Total |
|
7.9 |
10.2 |
11.4 |
11.5 |
13.7 |
16.1 |
17.4 |
19.0 |
21.8 |
23.5 |
27.5 |
30.6 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
5.8 |
9.8 |
9.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.2 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
3.4 |
7.0 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
10.1 |
12.3 |
13.3 |
12.6 |
11.8 |
11.3 |
10.6 |
10.2 |
8.6 |
3.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Gas |
|
1.7 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
Solid |
|
3.7 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
6.2 |
6.7 |
7.2 |
8.7 |
12.4 |
14.7 |
13.6 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
8.0 |
11.3 |
13.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
5.4 |
8.9 |
10.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.2 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
Total |
|
18.2 |
23.2 |
25.7 |
25.5 |
26.5 |
28.0 |
29.0 |
31.0 |
35.9 |
37.8 |
41.9 |
45.1 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Gas |
|
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
Solid |
|
3.9 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
8.2 |
8.6 |
8.9 |
10.3 |
16.4 |
27.4 |
40.3 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
8.0 |
11.3 |
13.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
5.4 |
8.9 |
10.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
3.4 |
4.7 |
5.5 |
Total |
|
8.4 |
10.2 |
11.4 |
12.8 |
14.9 |
17.4 |
18.8 |
20.4 |
24.4 |
35.9 |
54.4 |
71.8 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.3 |
10.8 |
10.2 |
9.8 |
9.2 |
9.5 |
8.0 |
6.4 |
4.5 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
4.7 |
7.8 |
11.5 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
5.9 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions (controlled) |
|
Tg S |
4.6 |
6.2 |
6.4 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
2.8 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
Other Industrial Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
Tg S |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
|
|
|
|
CPEUR |
|
1985.0 |
1990.0 |
1995.0 |
2000.0 |
2005.0 |
2010.0 |
2015.0 |
2020.0 |
2025.0 |
2050.0 |
2075.0 |
2100.0 |
Population |
|
Million |
416.0 |
428.2 |
440.8 |
453.0 |
461.6 |
470.2 |
478.8 |
487.4 |
496.0 |
518.0 |
515.5 |
513.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
Thousand 90US$ |
7.7 |
8.8 |
8.6 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
10.1 |
11.6 |
13.7 |
16.9 |
23.2 |
31.8 |
40.6 |
GNP |
|
Billion 90US$ |
3193.2 |
3782.6 |
3782.6 |
3782.6 |
4169.2 |
4770.0 |
5536.4 |
6679.3 |
8366.5 |
12008.5 |
16399.1 |
20808.2 |
Secondary Consumption by Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
15.8 |
20.4 |
21.0 |
21.7 |
23.6 |
25.5 |
27.5 |
29.4 |
31.3 |
31.8 |
29.5 |
26.0 |
Ind |
|
|
34.4 |
41.1 |
42.4 |
43.7 |
46.4 |
49.1 |
51.7 |
54.4 |
57.1 |
47.4 |
36.1 |
27.0 |
Tran |
|
7.8 |
9.4 |
9.7 |
10.0 |
11.0 |
12.0 |
13.0 |
14.0 |
15.0 |
14.8 |
14.0 |
15.1 |
Total |
|
58.0 |
70.9 |
73.1 |
75.4 |
81.0 |
86.6 |
92.2 |
97.8 |
103.4 |
94.0 |
79.6 |
68.1 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
16.7 |
15.7 |
16.2 |
16.7 |
17.1 |
17.5 |
18.0 |
18.4 |
18.8 |
19.0 |
17.3 |
17.8 |
Gas |
|
16.9 |
25.1 |
25.9 |
26.7 |
28.8 |
30.9 |
32.9 |
35.0 |
37.1 |
32.4 |
24.7 |
18.7 |
Solid |
|
17.4 |
20.7 |
21.3 |
22.0 |
23.3 |
24.6 |
25.8 |
27.1 |
28.4 |
24.2 |
18.6 |
13.6 |
Elec |
|
7.0 |
9.4 |
9.7 |
10.0 |
11.8 |
13.6 |
15.5 |
17.3 |
19.1 |
18.4 |
19.0 |
18.0 |
Total |
|
58.0 |
70.9 |
73.1 |
75.4 |
81.0 |
86.6 |
92.2 |
97.8 |
103.4 |
94.0 |
79.6 |
68.1 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
Gas |
|
6.3 |
8.1 |
8.3 |
8.6 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
7.5 |
7.1 |
6.7 |
4.5 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
Solid |
|
9.1 |
11.8 |
12.1 |
12.5 |
15.4 |
18.3 |
21.1 |
24.0 |
26.9 |
20.4 |
14.6 |
11.5 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
4.5 |
6.1 |
7.7 |
9.3 |
10.9 |
12.8 |
13.3 |
13.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
8.6 |
13.0 |
13.6 |
Total |
|
22.4 |
28.5 |
29.4 |
30.3 |
35.2 |
40.2 |
45.1 |
50.1 |
55.0 |
52.3 |
49.3 |
46.3 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
7.1 |
31.6 |
61.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
4.7 |
17.7 |
24.2 |
28.4 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
2.7 |
8.4 |
10.2 |
11.2 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
8.2 |
12.7 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
19.5 |
18.3 |
18.8 |
19.4 |
19.8 |
20.2 |
20.6 |
20.3 |
18.7 |
12.9 |
8.8 |
8.0 |
Gas |
|
23.2 |
33.2 |
34.2 |
35.3 |
37.0 |
38.7 |
40.4 |
42.1 |
43.8 |
36.9 |
19.5 |
8.2 |
Solid |
|
26.5 |
32.5 |
33.5 |
34.5 |
38.7 |
42.8 |
47.0 |
51.1 |
55.3 |
51.7 |
64.8 |
86.8 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
4.5 |
6.1 |
7.7 |
9.3 |
10.9 |
12.8 |
13.3 |
13.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
8.6 |
13.0 |
13.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
4.7 |
17.7 |
24.2 |
28.4 |
Total |
|
73.4 |
90.0 |
92.8 |
95.7 |
104.4 |
113.1 |
121.9 |
130.9 |
141.3 |
144.3 |
147.3 |
162.6 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
26.0 |
21.0 |
21.6 |
22.3 |
21.7 |
21.3 |
20.5 |
19.7 |
18.7 |
12.9 |
8.8 |
8.0 |
Gas |
|
24.0 |
43.2 |
44.5 |
45.9 |
53.0 |
57.0 |
58.9 |
58.7 |
56.9 |
39.1 |
19.5 |
8.2 |
Solid |
|
26.7 |
31.7 |
32.7 |
33.7 |
37.6 |
43.0 |
50.8 |
59.2 |
74.4 |
119.4 |
199.0 |
293.0 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
4.5 |
6.1 |
7.7 |
9.3 |
10.9 |
12.8 |
13.3 |
13.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
8.6 |
13.0 |
13.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
8.7 |
17.7 |
24.2 |
28.4 |
Total |
|
80.9 |
102.0 |
105.1 |
108.4 |
121.3 |
132.7 |
144.1 |
156.0 |
177.5 |
214.2 |
281.5 |
368.8 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
21.1 |
25.4 |
26.2 |
27.0 |
26.2 |
24.0 |
21.5 |
19.9 |
24.6 |
24.1 |
22.7 |
24.2 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
6.0 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
7.2 |
7.8 |
7.1 |
6.4 |
6.2 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
9.5 |
11.3 |
11.3 |
11.2 |
12.2 |
13.5 |
15.4 |
17.4 |
21.2 |
34.0 |
56.6 |
83.4 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
21.2 |
34.4 |
32.0 |
29.4 |
29.3 |
26.7 |
22.8 |
18.1 |
13.0 |
9.0 |
4.8 |
2.6 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
11.1 |
12.0 |
12.4 |
12.8 |
13.0 |
13.1 |
13.6 |
13.4 |
13.7 |
13.1 |
12.7 |
12.8 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.7 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
8.2 |
8.1 |
8.1 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions (controlled) |
|
Tg S |
14.5 |
16.9 |
16.1 |
15.3 |
16.1 |
16.9 |
17.6 |
18.2 |
18.4 |
16.2 |
15.0 |
12.2 |
Other Industrial Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
Tg S |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
|
|
|
|
CPASIA |
|
1985.0 |
1990.0 |
1995.0 |
2000.0 |
2005.0 |
2010.0 |
2015.0 |
2020.0 |
2025.0 |
2050.0 |
2075.0 |
2100.0 |
Population |
|
Million |
1135.0 |
1223.4 |
1314.6 |
1403.0 |
1466.6 |
1530.2 |
1593.8 |
1657.4 |
1721.0 |
1858.0 |
1890.7 |
1924.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
4.4 |
9.5 |
19.2 |
GNP |
|
Billion 90US$ |
446.6 |
569.7 |
727.3 |
927.3 |
1197.0 |
1558.4 |
2013.3 |
2618.5 |
3423.8 |
8162.0 |
17908.6 |
36966.6 |
Secondary Consumption by Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
9.5 |
10.3 |
11.3 |
12.4 |
13.9 |
15.6 |
17.3 |
19.2 |
21.8 |
40.6 |
60.1 |
77.3 |
Ind |
|
|
8.3 |
9.8 |
11.4 |
13.0 |
15.5 |
18.2 |
21.2 |
25.1 |
29.9 |
40.4 |
46.8 |
50.1 |
Tran |
|
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
8.3 |
15.3 |
23.1 |
37.5 |
Total |
|
19.3 |
21.8 |
24.8 |
28.1 |
32.5 |
37.6 |
43.2 |
50.4 |
60.0 |
96.3 |
130.0 |
164.9 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
6.9 |
8.5 |
11.3 |
20.6 |
29.9 |
45.0 |
Gas |
|
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
7.0 |
9.2 |
10.7 |
Solid |
|
14.6 |
16.0 |
17.6 |
19.0 |
21.4 |
24.2 |
27.0 |
30.2 |
33.9 |
48.2 |
56.0 |
58.2 |
Elec |
|
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.8 |
8.4 |
10.6 |
20.5 |
34.9 |
51.0 |
Total |
|
19.3 |
21.8 |
24.8 |
28.1 |
32.5 |
37.6 |
43.2 |
50.4 |
60.0 |
96.3 |
130.0 |
164.9 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
Gas |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
5.9 |
Solid |
|
5.2 |
6.0 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
9.2 |
10.6 |
12.3 |
14.4 |
17.0 |
20.5 |
24.8 |
32.7 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
5.7 |
12.7 |
23.5 |
39.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
8.6 |
23.0 |
38.5 |
Total |
|
7.5 |
8.9 |
10.7 |
13.1 |
16.0 |
19.4 |
23.7 |
29.1 |
36.2 |
58.6 |
90.6 |
132.2 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
24.4 |
43.0 |
72.5 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
5.1 |
10.3 |
13.9 |
16.0 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
3.4 |
17.8 |
28.7 |
44.7 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
6.2 |
10.4 |
16.2 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
3.7 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
5.9 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
8.5 |
9.7 |
9.7 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
5.3 |
3.8 |
0.4 |
Solid |
|
19.8 |
22.0 |
24.5 |
27.1 |
30.6 |
34.8 |
39.3 |
44.6 |
52.3 |
93.1 |
123.8 |
163.4 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
5.7 |
12.7 |
23.5 |
39.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
8.6 |
23.0 |
38.5 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
5.1 |
10.3 |
13.9 |
16.0 |
Total |
|
24.9 |
28.3 |
32.6 |
37.7 |
44.0 |
51.5 |
60.1 |
71.4 |
87.4 |
145.1 |
203.5 |
273.6 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.2 |
6.1 |
6.7 |
7.1 |
7.5 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
Gas |
|
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
5.4 |
5.7 |
4.3 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
Solid |
|
18.9 |
22.0 |
24.5 |
27.1 |
30.5 |
34.7 |
39.2 |
44.6 |
52.3 |
84.0 |
81.0 |
92.0 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
5.7 |
12.7 |
23.5 |
39.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
8.6 |
23.0 |
38.5 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
4.1 |
8.4 |
11.4 |
13.4 |
Total |
|
25.6 |
30.2 |
34.2 |
38.5 |
44.1 |
51.3 |
59.1 |
69.0 |
83.7 |
133.1 |
156.3 |
200.4 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
5.4 |
6.2 |
7.4 |
9.0 |
10.2 |
11.0 |
11.7 |
12.4 |
16.1 |
28.4 |
41.4 |
62.7 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
10.2 |
11.9 |
14.5 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.7 |
7.8 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
9.9 |
10.9 |
11.9 |
13.1 |
14.9 |
23.9 |
23.0 |
26.2 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
6.7 |
7.0 |
8.6 |
8.5 |
8.7 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
16.9 |
17.1 |
17.1 |
17.2 |
17.2 |
17.3 |
17.2 |
17.2 |
17.2 |
16.9 |
16.4 |
16.7 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
6.3 |
8.2 |
14.7 |
14.9 |
15.2 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
24.9 |
24.2 |
23.3 |
22.3 |
21.3 |
20.3 |
19.3 |
18.4 |
17.5 |
17.9 |
17.6 |
17.8 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions (controlled) |
|
Tg S |
6.9 |
9.5 |
10.5 |
11.5 |
12.9 |
14.4 |
16.2 |
18.5 |
21.2 |
33.0 |
31.3 |
34.1 |
Other Industrial Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
Tg S |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
|
|
|
|
M-EAST |
|
1985.0 |
1990.0 |
1995.0 |
2000.0 |
2005.0 |
2010.0 |
2015.0 |
2020.0 |
2025.0 |
2050.0 |
2075.0 |
2100.0 |
Population |
|
Million |
109.0 |
130.8 |
153.2 |
175.0 |
205.4 |
235.8 |
266.2 |
296.6 |
327.0 |
470.0 |
532.4 |
603.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
Thousand 90US$ |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
6.1 |
6.3 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
13.7 |
24.0 |
38.5 |
GNP |
|
Billion 90US$ |
589.6 |
718.6 |
875.5 |
1067.2 |
1297.2 |
1575.8 |
1979.5 |
2423.9 |
2884.8 |
6420.2 |
12770.4 |
23206.8 |
Secondary Consumption by Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
5.7 |
9.7 |
Ind |
|
|
4.6 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
8.0 |
9.9 |
11.7 |
14.2 |
16.9 |
20.5 |
27.6 |
28.9 |
27.5 |
Tran |
|
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
8.7 |
12.8 |
20.7 |
Total |
|
5.9 |
7.1 |
8.7 |
10.2 |
12.7 |
14.9 |
18.2 |
21.9 |
26.8 |
39.1 |
47.4 |
57.9 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
6.6 |
7.3 |
9.0 |
15.4 |
20.8 |
30.1 |
Gas |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
5.5 |
7.2 |
9.5 |
12.0 |
14.6 |
18.8 |
18.9 |
17.7 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
Elec |
|
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
4.9 |
7.6 |
9.9 |
Total |
|
5.9 |
7.1 |
8.7 |
10.2 |
12.7 |
14.9 |
18.2 |
21.9 |
26.8 |
39.1 |
47.4 |
57.9 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
Gas |
|
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
4.3 |
10.4 |
14.9 |
Total |
|
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
8.5 |
10.0 |
13.5 |
20.3 |
26.6 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
12.3 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.6 |
3.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
2.3 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
12.4 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.3 |
2.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.3 |
5.5 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
8.4 |
9.2 |
11.1 |
17.3 |
22.2 |
19.3 |
Gas |
|
2.7 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
6.6 |
8.5 |
10.7 |
13.6 |
15.3 |
16.8 |
23.5 |
23.4 |
21.9 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
12.5 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
4.3 |
10.4 |
14.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.6 |
3.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
2.3 |
Total |
|
8.1 |
9.4 |
11.5 |
13.3 |
16.3 |
19.1 |
23.2 |
28.1 |
34.4 |
47.9 |
60.1 |
76.5 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
22.4 |
32.5 |
44.2 |
52.3 |
57.0 |
59.6 |
60.6 |
60.3 |
59.1 |
44.7 |
28.6 |
19.7 |
Gas |
|
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
6.4 |
8.9 |
12.5 |
34.0 |
43.0 |
21.9 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
4.3 |
10.4 |
14.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Total |
|
23.7 |
34.3 |
46.4 |
55.1 |
60.6 |
64.8 |
68.2 |
71.2 |
74.6 |
85.9 |
86.4 |
62.4 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
5.8 |
6.0 |
7.8 |
13.1 |
19.1 |
30.4 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
6.7 |
7.9 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.8 |
10.1 |
10.6 |
9.4 |
5.5 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
5.2 |
5.9 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions (controlled) |
|
Tg S |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
7.7 |
10.0 |
14.1 |
Other Industrial Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
|
|
|
|
AFRICA |
|
1985.0 |
1990.0 |
1995.0 |
2000.0 |
2005.0 |
2010.0 |
2015.0 |
2020.0 |
2025.0 |
2050.0 |
2075.0 |
2100.0 |
Population |
|
Million |
559.0 |
661.6 |
767.4 |
870.0 |
1013.4 |
1156.8 |
1300.2 |
1443.6 |
1587.0 |
2275.0 |
2595.9 |
2962.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
4.4 |
7.6 |
GNP |
|
Billion 90US$ |
431.4 |
496.1 |
570.6 |
656.0 |
775.5 |
939.4 |
1212.3 |
1573.5 |
2052.5 |
5166.5 |
11519.3 |
22530.3 |
Secondary Consumption by Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
5.0 |
10.7 |
17.9 |
25.4 |
Ind |
|
|
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
6.3 |
8.3 |
16.4 |
25.0 |
32.6 |
Tran |
|
4.4 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
7.1 |
8.5 |
10.9 |
14.3 |
20.2 |
33.4 |
46.5 |
65.9 |
Total |
|
6.1 |
6.8 |
8.3 |
9.8 |
11.3 |
13.7 |
17.9 |
24.0 |
33.5 |
60.5 |
89.4 |
123.9 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.9 |
6.8 |
7.6 |
9.0 |
11.4 |
14.9 |
21.0 |
35.3 |
49.0 |
68.9 |
Gas |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.0 |
7.2 |
9.2 |
11.2 |
Solid |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
6.5 |
9.3 |
10.8 |
Elec |
|
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
4.8 |
11.5 |
21.9 |
33.0 |
Total |
|
6.1 |
6.8 |
8.3 |
9.8 |
11.3 |
13.7 |
17.9 |
24.0 |
33.5 |
60.5 |
89.4 |
123.9 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
Gas |
|
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
6.9 |
Solid |
|
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
6.1 |
12.0 |
18.2 |
25.5 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
5.5 |
9.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
5.8 |
17.2 |
30.0 |
Total |
|
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
6.1 |
7.4 |
9.5 |
12.3 |
16.4 |
30.9 |
54.0 |
81.8 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.3 |
19.2 |
51.8 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
19.3 |
36.3 |
45.0 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
14.6 |
36.8 |
62.2 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
5.9 |
14.1 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.5 |
5.8 |
6.7 |
7.6 |
8.6 |
10.2 |
12.8 |
16.6 |
22.9 |
23.3 |
14.4 |
9.9 |
Gas |
|
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
6.1 |
7.9 |
11.8 |
8.9 |
4.0 |
Solid |
|
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
7.3 |
9.8 |
20.8 |
46.7 |
88.1 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
5.5 |
9.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
5.8 |
17.2 |
30.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
19.3 |
36.3 |
45.0 |
Total |
|
8.6 |
9.6 |
11.4 |
13.3 |
15.7 |
19.1 |
24.7 |
32.9 |
46.1 |
87.0 |
134.3 |
193.2 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
10.8 |
13.9 |
16.3 |
18.6 |
20.4 |
22.0 |
22.7 |
23.0 |
22.9 |
18.2 |
12.9 |
11.4 |
Gas |
|
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
6.2 |
9.1 |
11.8 |
15.0 |
8.9 |
4.0 |
Solid |
|
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
6.7 |
9.3 |
12.6 |
12.1 |
13.8 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
5.5 |
9.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
5.8 |
17.2 |
30.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.7 |
11.4 |
23.2 |
31.6 |
37.1 |
Total |
|
16.4 |
19.5 |
22.1 |
24.8 |
27.6 |
31.3 |
36.0 |
44.2 |
59.4 |
80.7 |
93.5 |
112.5 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.0 |
12.1 |
14.1 |
16.4 |
17.9 |
18.5 |
19.9 |
21.4 |
30.2 |
50.3 |
69.6 |
98.2 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.5 |
7.5 |
9.8 |
13.2 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
8.5 |
9.8 |
11.4 |
13.2 |
15.0 |
16.5 |
18.8 |
20.2 |
22.6 |
33.1 |
42.4 |
48.1 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
5.2 |
5.9 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
10.3 |
13.3 |
15.0 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
12.9 |
20.5 |
23.4 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
140.6 |
144.0 |
147.2 |
150.6 |
154.7 |
159.1 |
163.6 |
167.9 |
171.8 |
180.6 |
174.5 |
175.1 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
13.1 |
13.4 |
13.7 |
14.1 |
14.4 |
14.8 |
15.3 |
15.7 |
16.0 |
16.9 |
16.3 |
16.3 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions (controlled) |
|
Tg S |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
8.1 |
12.1 |
12.0 |
Other Industrial Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
Tg S |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
|
|
|
|
L-AMER |
|
1985.0 |
1990.0 |
1995.0 |
2000.0 |
2005.0 |
2010.0 |
2015.0 |
2020.0 |
2025.0 |
2050.0 |
2075.0 |
2100.0 |
Population |
|
Million |
402.0 |
443.9 |
487.1 |
529.0 |
564.8 |
600.6 |
636.4 |
672.2 |
708.0 |
816.0 |
842.1 |
869.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
Thousand 90US$ |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
6.7 |
11.9 |
19.9 |
GNP |
|
Billion 90US$ |
791.3 |
904.3 |
1034.3 |
1181.8 |
1378.4 |
1633.6 |
1919.6 |
2282.4 |
2741.8 |
5451.3 |
10004.9 |
17259.7 |
Secondary Consumption by Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
10.1 |
15.0 |
20.1 |
Ind |
|
|
4.8 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
7.2 |
8.6 |
10.0 |
11.7 |
13.7 |
16.7 |
20.4 |
19.8 |
18.0 |
Tran |
|
4.6 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
8.6 |
10.7 |
13.0 |
14.0 |
16.3 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
12.6 |
14.3 |
16.0 |
18.0 |
20.5 |
23.4 |
27.1 |
33.0 |
43.5 |
48.8 |
54.4 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
8.0 |
8.5 |
9.3 |
9.9 |
10.6 |
11.3 |
12.1 |
13.4 |
16.2 |
21.3 |
23.0 |
25.7 |
Gas |
|
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
6.5 |
8.0 |
9.6 |
11.4 |
11.4 |
11.0 |
Solid |
|
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
Elec |
|
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
5.4 |
8.7 |
12.5 |
16.0 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
12.6 |
14.3 |
16.0 |
18.0 |
20.5 |
23.4 |
27.1 |
33.0 |
43.5 |
48.8 |
54.4 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
Gas |
|
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
Solid |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
4.3 |
5.3 |
6.5 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
4.9 |
7.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
4.7 |
7.7 |
Total |
|
4.8 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.3 |
9.8 |
11.6 |
13.9 |
17.1 |
25.5 |
34.6 |
43.8 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
10.5 |
27.2 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
9.1 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
5.6 |
9.3 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
8.9 |
9.2 |
10.0 |
10.6 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
12.9 |
14.3 |
17.3 |
22.2 |
23.6 |
17.4 |
Gas |
|
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.9 |
6.2 |
7.5 |
9.1 |
10.9 |
12.4 |
6.8 |
2.9 |
Solid |
|
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
4.6 |
6.4 |
7.2 |
8.2 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
4.9 |
7.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
4.7 |
7.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
10.5 |
27.2 |
Total |
|
14.9 |
16.5 |
18.5 |
20.8 |
23.7 |
27.3 |
31.3 |
37.0 |
45.7 |
62.9 |
75.8 |
91.0 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
14.1 |
12.8 |
11.8 |
11.7 |
12.3 |
15.6 |
20.4 |
26.8 |
32.7 |
43.1 |
29.5 |
17.4 |
Gas |
|
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
5.4 |
6.6 |
9.0 |
12.3 |
14.1 |
14.9 |
12.5 |
6.8 |
2.9 |
Solid |
|
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
4.9 |
7.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
4.7 |
7.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.0 |
17.1 |
34.8 |
47.5 |
55.7 |
Total |
|
20.5 |
20.9 |
21.4 |
23.3 |
26.1 |
33.1 |
42.8 |
56.8 |
78.7 |
111.9 |
113.8 |
114.0 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.7 |
12.3 |
13.6 |
15.0 |
15.4 |
14.9 |
13.9 |
13.0 |
16.1 |
19.7 |
21.2 |
24.9 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
7.8 |
5.1 |
2.9 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
16.0 |
17.9 |
19.9 |
22.1 |
24.3 |
26.1 |
28.4 |
29.9 |
32.1 |
40.0 |
42.1 |
43.4 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
6.2 |
6.9 |
7.6 |
8.1 |
8.9 |
9.3 |
10.0 |
12.5 |
13.2 |
13.6 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
6.9 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
54.6 |
56.4 |
57.2 |
57.8 |
58.1 |
58.3 |
58.4 |
58.3 |
58.4 |
62.1 |
61.4 |
59.3 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.1 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions (controlled) |
|
Tg S |
4.7 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
6.9 |
7.5 |
8.6 |
10.5 |
13.5 |
14.1 |
10.7 |
Other Industrial Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
|
|
|
|
SEASIA |
|
1985.0 |
1990.0 |
1995.0 |
2000.0 |
2005.0 |
2010.0 |
2015.0 |
2020.0 |
2025.0 |
2050.0 |
2075.0 |
2100.0 |
Population |
|
Million |
1408.0 |
1567.1 |
1730.9 |
1890.0 |
2039.2 |
2188.4 |
2337.6 |
2486.8 |
2636.0 |
3178.0 |
3353.2 |
3538.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
3.2 |
6.9 |
12.7 |
GNP |
|
Billion 90US$ |
702.3 |
872.0 |
1082.6 |
1343.1 |
1676.3 |
2096.9 |
2629.5 |
3286.9 |
4086.9 |
10314.0 |
22997.2 |
44772.9 |
Secondary Consumption by Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
4.1 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
5.9 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
8.8 |
9.9 |
11.4 |
24.4 |
41.0 |
57.7 |
Ind |
|
|
4.0 |
5.4 |
7.1 |
9.1 |
12.1 |
15.8 |
20.6 |
27.1 |
35.4 |
55.2 |
70.0 |
75.1 |
Tran |
|
3.4 |
4.0 |
5.2 |
6.7 |
7.8 |
9.8 |
12.6 |
16.5 |
22.6 |
39.5 |
56.9 |
80.3 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
13.9 |
17.5 |
21.7 |
26.7 |
33.3 |
42.0 |
53.5 |
69.4 |
119.1 |
167.9 |
213.1 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
6.3 |
7.2 |
8.9 |
10.7 |
12.5 |
14.7 |
17.6 |
21.7 |
29.1 |
52.2 |
73.5 |
99.6 |
Gas |
|
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
4.3 |
6.1 |
8.5 |
11.7 |
15.4 |
24.9 |
32.8 |
36.6 |
Solid |
|
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
5.4 |
6.5 |
8.2 |
10.4 |
13.0 |
15.8 |
22.9 |
26.7 |
26.6 |
Elec |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
5.5 |
7.1 |
9.1 |
19.1 |
34.9 |
50.3 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
13.9 |
17.5 |
21.7 |
26.7 |
33.3 |
42.0 |
53.5 |
69.4 |
119.1 |
167.9 |
213.1 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
5.8 |
Solid |
|
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
4.9 |
6.1 |
7.8 |
10.1 |
12.8 |
18.1 |
24.7 |
32.0 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
11.6 |
23.5 |
38.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
7.8 |
23.0 |
37.7 |
Total |
|
5.1 |
6.0 |
7.4 |
9.5 |
11.8 |
15.0 |
18.8 |
24.1 |
31.1 |
54.5 |
90.6 |
130.2 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
18.9 |
63.4 |
130.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.9 |
18.0 |
39.9 |
53.1 |
44.1 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
9.1 |
28.8 |
70.1 |
102.9 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.9 |
5.8 |
19.3 |
27.5 |
44.2 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
7.2 |
8.1 |
9.9 |
11.8 |
14.0 |
16.5 |
19.7 |
23.1 |
23.3 |
26.9 |
6.4 |
0.7 |
Gas |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
5.6 |
7.8 |
10.5 |
12.2 |
12.4 |
9.7 |
10.3 |
-1.8 |
Solid |
|
4.8 |
6.0 |
7.4 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
14.3 |
18.2 |
23.1 |
29.4 |
59.9 |
114.8 |
189.3 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
11.6 |
23.5 |
38.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
7.8 |
23.0 |
37.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.9 |
18.0 |
39.9 |
53.1 |
44.1 |
Total |
|
15.2 |
18.2 |
22.8 |
28.6 |
35.1 |
44.0 |
55.3 |
71.4 |
95.4 |
165.1 |
242.5 |
320.7 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.6 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
Gas |
|
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
6.7 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
4.5 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
Solid |
|
4.4 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
6.0 |
7.7 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
11.6 |
23.5 |
38.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
7.8 |
23.0 |
37.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.8 |
7.5 |
15.3 |
20.8 |
24.4 |
Total |
|
14.1 |
15.2 |
16.7 |
18.6 |
20.5 |
22.1 |
23.6 |
27.4 |
36.0 |
57.0 |
89.5 |
124.9 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
4.8 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
8.8 |
10.5 |
13.5 |
17.4 |
20.3 |
22.1 |
23.8 |
25.4 |
34.7 |
60.5 |
86.6 |
120.9 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.7 |
7.4 |
11.3 |
14.5 |
18.4 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.9 |
17.2 |
19.0 |
21.0 |
23.3 |
25.6 |
28.3 |
30.8 |
33.7 |
48.4 |
52.6 |
55.3 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
33.3 |
35.4 |
37.6 |
40.4 |
43.3 |
45.2 |
47.3 |
49.1 |
51.6 |
60.8 |
59.4 |
56.9 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.9 |
6.6 |
7.3 |
8.0 |
8.8 |
9.6 |
10.5 |
15.1 |
16.5 |
17.3 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
8.2 |
10.1 |
24.5 |
26.5 |
28.0 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
48.4 |
52.7 |
55.0 |
57.2 |
59.7 |
62.4 |
65.4 |
67.9 |
70.8 |
78.6 |
77.6 |
77.2 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
6.1 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions (controlled) |
|
Tg S |
2.5 |
4.1 |
5.4 |
7.2 |
8.9 |
11.1 |
13.8 |
17.3 |
19.9 |
30.8 |
26.7 |
23.4 |
Other Industrial Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
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