Total |
|
|
|
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
4844.0 |
5293.1 |
5682.7 |
6092.1 |
6391.8 |
6691.5 |
6991.2 |
7290.9 |
7590.6 |
7817.0 |
7199.0 |
6415.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
5.9 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
10.5 |
17.2 |
28.2 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
16984.9 |
20107.0 |
22689.9 |
26312.1 |
31084.8 |
36341.5 |
41156.8 |
46389.1 |
51973.5 |
82019.8 |
123899.5 |
180832.3 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
68.7 |
77.7 |
78.1 |
83.0 |
90.3 |
96.1 |
102.1 |
111.1 |
122.1 |
173.7 |
203.8 |
227.9 |
Ind |
|
|
94.9 |
113.4 |
116.3 |
125.2 |
137.7 |
150.1 |
164.6 |
184.9 |
211.0 |
254.7 |
254.9 |
246.6 |
Tran |
|
61.3 |
68.5 |
69.0 |
74.5 |
75.9 |
83.4 |
90.0 |
103.6 |
125.6 |
165.1 |
181.4 |
218.6 |
Total |
|
224.9 |
259.6 |
263.4 |
282.7 |
303.8 |
329.7 |
356.6 |
399.7 |
458.7 |
593.5 |
640.1 |
693.1 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
100.1 |
106.3 |
104.2 |
106.8 |
108.8 |
114.2 |
120.2 |
134.4 |
160.2 |
217.8 |
231.6 |
263.7 |
Gas |
|
46.4 |
60.0 |
60.2 |
67.7 |
73.8 |
79.4 |
84.6 |
96.3 |
107.6 |
140.7 |
129.1 |
114.4 |
Solid |
|
46.3 |
54.4 |
58.7 |
63.4 |
69.7 |
77.4 |
85.8 |
93.1 |
102.6 |
105.0 |
98.3 |
84.6 |
Elec |
|
32.1 |
38.9 |
40.3 |
44.8 |
51.5 |
58.6 |
66.1 |
75.9 |
88.3 |
130.0 |
181.1 |
230.4 |
Total |
|
224.9 |
259.6 |
263.4 |
282.7 |
303.8 |
329.7 |
356.6 |
399.7 |
458.7 |
593.5 |
640.1 |
693.1 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
17.5 |
16.9 |
14.7 |
13.5 |
14.0 |
13.1 |
12.4 |
13.0 |
14.8 |
13.5 |
9.0 |
8.7 |
Gas |
|
13.7 |
20.0 |
19.4 |
19.1 |
19.1 |
18.7 |
17.3 |
19.0 |
19.2 |
22.2 |
19.1 |
17.2 |
Solid |
|
38.3 |
44.5 |
45.8 |
51.3 |
58.2 |
63.4 |
68.3 |
73.7 |
79.9 |
68.4 |
64.3 |
65.9 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
22.1 |
27.5 |
35.0 |
44.8 |
54.9 |
67.4 |
83.5 |
142.9 |
248.5 |
371.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
4.9 |
8.6 |
13.6 |
20.1 |
29.5 |
71.1 |
94.8 |
110.4 |
Total |
|
105.0 |
123.0 |
129.1 |
141.9 |
162.5 |
182.6 |
203.8 |
233.7 |
270.7 |
376.8 |
503.4 |
645.5 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
7.4 |
40.1 |
102.9 |
182.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.9 |
5.9 |
8.8 |
47.9 |
98.8 |
258.5 |
272.6 |
272.6 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
2.9 |
4.3 |
16.3 |
41.8 |
125.9 |
163.6 |
206.7 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
21.2 |
37.2 |
93.2 |
106.3 |
112.9 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
117.6 |
123.3 |
118.9 |
120.3 |
121.4 |
124.4 |
128.3 |
131.1 |
133.2 |
105.4 |
77.0 |
65.7 |
Gas |
|
60.1 |
80.0 |
79.6 |
86.8 |
91.9 |
95.9 |
98.6 |
94.0 |
89.6 |
69.7 |
41.9 |
18.7 |
Solid |
|
84.6 |
98.9 |
104.5 |
114.7 |
128.3 |
141.8 |
155.6 |
168.9 |
189.9 |
213.5 |
265.5 |
333.2 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
22.1 |
27.5 |
35.0 |
44.8 |
54.9 |
67.4 |
83.5 |
142.9 |
248.5 |
371.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
4.9 |
8.6 |
13.6 |
20.1 |
29.5 |
71.1 |
94.8 |
110.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.9 |
5.9 |
8.8 |
47.9 |
98.8 |
258.5 |
272.6 |
272.6 |
Total |
|
297.8 |
343.7 |
352.2 |
379.8 |
415.7 |
455.5 |
497.0 |
569.9 |
668.3 |
919.8 |
1068.0 |
1243.9 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
117.9 |
120.6 |
118.9 |
120.1 |
121.2 |
124.7 |
128.9 |
131.7 |
132.4 |
104.2 |
77.0 |
65.7 |
Gas |
|
58.6 |
85.7 |
80.0 |
86.8 |
88.3 |
90.4 |
92.0 |
90.5 |
89.2 |
69.4 |
41.9 |
18.6 |
Solid |
|
87.3 |
98.4 |
104.5 |
114.6 |
128.7 |
142.6 |
156.0 |
169.7 |
190.0 |
213.9 |
265.5 |
333.0 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
22.1 |
27.5 |
35.0 |
44.8 |
54.9 |
67.4 |
83.5 |
142.9 |
248.5 |
371.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
4.9 |
8.6 |
13.6 |
20.1 |
29.5 |
71.1 |
94.8 |
110.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.9 |
5.9 |
8.8 |
47.9 |
98.8 |
258.5 |
272.6 |
272.6 |
Total |
|
299.3 |
346.3 |
352.6 |
379.5 |
412.3 |
451.1 |
491.4 |
567.8 |
667.2 |
918.7 |
1068.0 |
1243.6 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
5.20 |
5.96 |
6.02 |
6.41 |
6.85 |
7.31 |
7.77 |
8.09 |
8.59 |
8.38 |
8.75 |
9.91 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
126.40 |
129.61 |
124.15 |
127.31 |
106.69 |
104.24 |
91.47 |
82.27 |
75.60 |
76.11 |
82.53 |
94.77 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
23.44 |
25.47 |
25.30 |
26.66 |
27.44 |
28.96 |
30.29 |
33.34 |
37.27 |
45.35 |
44.49 |
44.97 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.34 |
0.39 |
0.40 |
0.43 |
0.52 |
0.58 |
0.64 |
0.73 |
0.81 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.98 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.56 |
1.70 |
1.66 |
1.73 |
1.56 |
1.58 |
1.51 |
1.52 |
1.58 |
1.98 |
2.08 |
2.32 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
31.0 |
35.0 |
33.7 |
33.4 |
34.0 |
34.1 |
33.8 |
33.3 |
33.8 |
38.0 |
47.2 |
59.2 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
38.7 |
54.0 |
47.4 |
46.7 |
43.3 |
40.5 |
38.0 |
35.1 |
32.1 |
24.7 |
16.8 |
12.0 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
|
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
|
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
76.55 |
83.89 |
89.97 |
96.58 |
102.87 |
107.93 |
114.11 |
119.34 |
125.78 |
139.61 |
135.95 |
126.66 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
57.53 |
59.93 |
62.40 |
65.22 |
67.76 |
68.92 |
70.33 |
71.25 |
72.96 |
72.91 |
58.36 |
46.95 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
1.71 |
2.17 |
2.35 |
2.65 |
2.77 |
2.93 |
3.08 |
3.31 |
3.48 |
3.47 |
3.08 |
2.77 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.20 |
0.25 |
0.27 |
0.30 |
0.32 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.38 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
0.35 |
0.32 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
23.92 |
26.22 |
28.12 |
30.18 |
32.15 |
33.73 |
35.66 |
37.30 |
39.31 |
43.63 |
42.49 |
39.58 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.23 |
0.26 |
0.31 |
0.37 |
0.50 |
0.55 |
0.57 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
35.16 |
37.68 |
38.96 |
41.32 |
44.19 |
47.36 |
51.05 |
55.10 |
60.04 |
78.61 |
75.28 |
68.50 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
1.17 |
1.21 |
1.09 |
0.90 |
0.76 |
0.63 |
0.51 |
0.39 |
0.32 |
0.15 |
-0.03 |
-0.14 |
Biomass Burning |
|
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
287.59 |
293.05 |
292.88 |
292.06 |
292.38 |
292.42 |
292.28 |
291.74 |
291.79 |
295.68 |
288.76 |
282.29 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
8.20 |
8.43 |
8.50 |
8.54 |
8.61 |
8.66 |
8.71 |
8.76 |
8.82 |
9.08 |
8.72 |
8.40 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.51 |
0.53 |
0.53 |
0.54 |
0.54 |
0.54 |
0.55 |
0.55 |
0.55 |
0.57 |
0.55 |
0.53 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
2.30 |
2.34 |
2.34 |
2.34 |
2.34 |
2.34 |
2.34 |
2.33 |
2.33 |
2.37 |
2.31 |
2.26 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
26.84 |
27.35 |
27.34 |
27.26 |
27.29 |
27.29 |
27.28 |
27.23 |
27.23 |
27.60 |
26.95 |
26.35 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.71 |
0.75 |
0.74 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.71 |
0.71 |
0.70 |
0.69 |
0.68 |
0.67 |
0.65 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.42 |
0.50 |
0.51 |
0.54 |
0.59 |
0.63 |
0.67 |
0.74 |
0.83 |
1.01 |
1.02 |
1.01 |
CH4 from Domestic Sewage |
|
Tg CH4 |
22.9 |
25.0 |
26.8 |
28.8 |
30.2 |
31.6 |
33.0 |
34.4 |
35.9 |
36.9 |
34.0 |
30.3 |
N2O from Oceans |
|
Tg N |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
N2O from Tropical Soils |
|
Tg N |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
N2O from Temperate Soils |
|
Tg N |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
CH4 from Wetlands |
|
Tg CH4 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
CH4 from Termites |
|
Tg CH4 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
CH4 from Oceans &
Freshwaters |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
CH4 from Methane Hydrates |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
CO from Plants |
|
Tg C |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
CO from Oceans |
|
Tg C |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
CO from Wildfires |
|
Tg C |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
NOx from Natural Lands |
|
Tg N |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
NOx from lightning |
|
Tg N |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
6.49 |
7.33 |
7.27 |
7.49 |
7.81 |
8.17 |
8.54 |
8.78 |
9.29 |
9.02 |
9.27 |
10.33 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
12.20 |
12.89 |
13.10 |
13.48 |
13.75 |
14.04 |
14.30 |
14.70 |
15.06 |
15.36 |
14.89 |
14.55 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
469.21 |
505.77 |
511.39 |
526.21 |
538.31 |
548.04 |
559.73 |
569.54 |
583.65 |
619.05 |
594.12 |
566.87 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
52.64 |
54.90 |
54.80 |
56.20 |
57.05 |
58.62 |
60.00 |
63.09 |
67.09 |
75.43 |
74.21 |
74.37 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
486.99 |
495.66 |
490.03 |
492.37 |
472.08 |
469.66 |
456.74 |
447.01 |
440.39 |
444.78 |
444.29 |
450.06 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
65.20 |
75.72 |
74.13 |
74.50 |
76.22 |
77.18 |
78.31 |
79.88 |
81.79 |
79.40 |
69.96 |
64.90 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
56.1 |
65.3 |
63.4 |
63.2 |
64.1 |
64.3 |
64.5 |
64.8 |
64.9 |
59.1 |
49.3 |
44.4 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
6.8 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
9.8 |
10.6 |
11.4 |
12.8 |
14.5 |
17.9 |
18.4 |
18.2 |
|
USA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
239.0 |
248.9 |
252.3 |
258.7 |
260.6 |
262.5 |
264.4 |
266.3 |
268.3 |
233.9 |
194.2 |
165.3 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
19.7 |
22.8 |
26.5 |
30.8 |
35.8 |
40.9 |
44.1 |
46.9 |
48.9 |
76.7 |
113.6 |
156.5 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
4702.0 |
5662.6 |
6680.5 |
7960.7 |
9331.8 |
10727.7 |
11665.4 |
12488.1 |
13116.3 |
17940.3 |
22069.5 |
25865.3 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
15.1 |
15.4 |
15.4 |
15.7 |
16.8 |
17.3 |
17.9 |
19.0 |
20.1 |
23.6 |
22.3 |
21.5 |
Ind |
|
|
18.4 |
22.5 |
21.9 |
21.9 |
23.0 |
23.1 |
23.3 |
23.3 |
24.0 |
27.0 |
23.7 |
21.7 |
Tran |
|
21.0 |
22.0 |
21.5 |
22.0 |
21.2 |
22.3 |
22.2 |
23.0 |
25.1 |
24.9 |
20.5 |
20.8 |
Total |
|
54.5 |
59.9 |
58.8 |
59.6 |
61.0 |
62.7 |
63.4 |
65.3 |
69.2 |
75.5 |
66.5 |
64.0 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
28.3 |
29.6 |
27.9 |
27.7 |
26.8 |
27.3 |
26.8 |
27.2 |
29.4 |
30.0 |
24.2 |
23.5 |
Gas |
|
14.1 |
16.5 |
17.0 |
18.0 |
18.9 |
18.9 |
18.5 |
18.2 |
17.9 |
21.8 |
16.6 |
13.0 |
Solid |
|
3.8 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
Elec |
|
8.3 |
9.5 |
10.0 |
10.7 |
11.7 |
12.4 |
13.5 |
15.1 |
17.0 |
19.8 |
22.5 |
25.1 |
Total |
|
54.5 |
59.9 |
58.8 |
59.6 |
61.0 |
62.7 |
63.4 |
65.3 |
69.2 |
75.5 |
66.5 |
64.0 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
Gas |
|
2.2 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
3.2 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
Solid |
|
12.9 |
13.9 |
14.3 |
15.3 |
16.9 |
16.9 |
17.3 |
17.6 |
17.6 |
12.0 |
9.0 |
8.0 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
8.1 |
9.3 |
10.1 |
11.3 |
12.9 |
14.7 |
16.8 |
23.1 |
32.2 |
41.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
5.8 |
9.0 |
11.7 |
12.4 |
12.4 |
Total |
|
26.0 |
29.1 |
30.7 |
33.1 |
35.9 |
37.7 |
40.7 |
45.3 |
50.6 |
56.0 |
61.8 |
69.9 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
2.2 |
9.9 |
14.6 |
12.5 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
11.1 |
18.9 |
37.5 |
27.2 |
23.5 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.6 |
7.2 |
18.6 |
14.4 |
10.2 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
6.8 |
9.3 |
17.6 |
16.0 |
14.0 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
29.5 |
31.1 |
29.4 |
29.3 |
28.1 |
28.5 |
27.8 |
25.6 |
23.3 |
12.8 |
11.0 |
14.3 |
Gas |
|
16.3 |
19.9 |
20.0 |
20.8 |
20.9 |
20.1 |
18.8 |
13.4 |
10.4 |
7.4 |
2.9 |
0.8 |
Solid |
|
16.7 |
18.2 |
18.2 |
18.5 |
20.7 |
21.4 |
22.6 |
23.1 |
24.7 |
25.8 |
26.8 |
22.9 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
8.1 |
9.3 |
10.1 |
11.3 |
12.9 |
14.7 |
16.8 |
23.1 |
32.2 |
41.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
5.8 |
9.0 |
11.7 |
12.4 |
12.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
11.1 |
18.9 |
37.5 |
27.2 |
23.5 |
Total |
|
72.2 |
79.5 |
79.5 |
82.0 |
85.3 |
88.1 |
90.8 |
97.8 |
107.4 |
122.8 |
117.2 |
120.6 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
20.8 |
17.2 |
13.1 |
10.8 |
9.3 |
8.7 |
8.8 |
9.1 |
9.2 |
7.6 |
11.0 |
14.3 |
Gas |
|
16.3 |
18.2 |
14.9 |
13.9 |
13.0 |
12.3 |
11.6 |
10.7 |
9.6 |
4.9 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
Solid |
|
19.4 |
19.3 |
20.0 |
22.1 |
24.6 |
26.9 |
29.6 |
32.2 |
35.8 |
38.8 |
53.6 |
72.1 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
8.1 |
9.3 |
10.1 |
11.3 |
12.9 |
14.7 |
16.8 |
23.1 |
32.2 |
41.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
5.8 |
9.0 |
11.7 |
12.4 |
12.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.4 |
7.9 |
20.6 |
21.7 |
21.7 |
Total |
|
66.2 |
65.0 |
59.9 |
60.2 |
61.9 |
65.3 |
70.6 |
80.1 |
92.6 |
111.3 |
137.6 |
168.0 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
1.21 |
1.33 |
1.30 |
1.32 |
1.35 |
1.37 |
1.36 |
1.25 |
1.21 |
1.00 |
0.92 |
0.85 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
21.8 |
19.8 |
17.0 |
14.6 |
11.8 |
11.8 |
11.8 |
12.3 |
13.3 |
9.8 |
8.2 |
8.2 |
NOx |
|
|
Tg N |
5.4 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.11 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.28 |
0.26 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
0.26 |
0.21 |
0.20 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
6.9 |
9.5 |
12.8 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
7.10 |
7.82 |
8.22 |
8.43 |
8.33 |
8.30 |
7.77 |
8.57 |
8.43 |
5.32 |
4.29 |
3.51 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.41 |
0.31 |
0.34 |
0.37 |
0.39 |
0.42 |
0.45 |
0.47 |
0.50 |
0.57 |
0.38 |
0.27 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.28 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.32 |
0.23 |
0.16 |
0.11 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
0.01 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.22 |
2.44 |
2.57 |
2.64 |
2.60 |
2.59 |
2.43 |
2.68 |
2.63 |
1.66 |
1.34 |
1.10 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
10.10 |
9.13 |
9.20 |
9.83 |
10.25 |
10.30 |
10.32 |
10.38 |
10.40 |
10.37 |
10.06 |
9.87 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.34 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.08 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.94 |
0.85 |
0.86 |
0.92 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.94 |
0.92 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.14 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.18 |
0.16 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
9.0 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.0 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
1.6 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
OECD-W |
|
|
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
430.0 |
438.9 |
444.7 |
451.8 |
449.9 |
448.0 |
446.1 |
444.3 |
442.4 |
375.9 |
304.6 |
254.2 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
10.0 |
11.1 |
12.4 |
13.9 |
15.9 |
18.0 |
19.7 |
21.6 |
23.6 |
37.7 |
57.2 |
80.3 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
4285.8 |
4872.9 |
5532.6 |
6284.7 |
7134.3 |
8066.7 |
8793.3 |
9589.6 |
10434.1 |
14172.1 |
17410.1 |
20408.3 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
17.9 |
19.3 |
19.6 |
20.5 |
21.6 |
21.9 |
22.0 |
22.8 |
24.0 |
28.0 |
26.8 |
26.2 |
Ind |
|
|
14.3 |
16.2 |
17.0 |
18.2 |
19.3 |
19.9 |
20.2 |
21.5 |
22.9 |
23.8 |
21.1 |
19.5 |
Tran |
|
13.1 |
14.8 |
14.9 |
15.8 |
15.3 |
15.9 |
15.5 |
16.3 |
17.9 |
17.6 |
14.5 |
14.6 |
Total |
|
45.3 |
50.3 |
51.5 |
54.5 |
56.2 |
57.7 |
57.7 |
60.6 |
64.8 |
69.4 |
62.4 |
60.3 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
22.5 |
24.1 |
23.1 |
23.1 |
22.6 |
22.4 |
21.4 |
21.9 |
23.9 |
24.8 |
20.1 |
19.1 |
Gas |
|
9.4 |
10.5 |
11.1 |
11.9 |
12.3 |
12.2 |
11.6 |
12.6 |
12.8 |
15.0 |
11.8 |
9.8 |
Solid |
|
5.3 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
8.8 |
9.7 |
10.8 |
11.8 |
12.3 |
13.1 |
11.1 |
8.9 |
7.1 |
Elec |
|
8.1 |
9.2 |
9.7 |
10.7 |
11.6 |
12.3 |
12.9 |
13.8 |
15.0 |
18.5 |
21.6 |
24.3 |
Total |
|
45.3 |
50.3 |
51.5 |
54.5 |
56.2 |
57.7 |
57.7 |
60.6 |
64.8 |
69.4 |
62.4 |
60.3 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.4 |
4.8 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
Gas |
|
1.7 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
Solid |
|
5.5 |
6.0 |
6.3 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
7.3 |
6.1 |
5.4 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
7.7 |
9.9 |
11.0 |
12.6 |
13.8 |
15.3 |
17.3 |
22.9 |
32.8 |
42.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
7.7 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
Total |
|
25.1 |
27.9 |
29.9 |
32.2 |
34.8 |
36.8 |
38.1 |
40.7 |
44.1 |
53.0 |
60.8 |
69.2 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
6.5 |
14.5 |
20.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
7.6 |
14.4 |
29.9 |
24.1 |
18.6 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.3 |
6.1 |
16.1 |
17.9 |
18.6 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
4.2 |
6.3 |
11.5 |
11.0 |
10.3 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
27.9 |
28.9 |
26.8 |
26.1 |
25.4 |
25.0 |
23.7 |
21.9 |
20.3 |
10.6 |
3.0 |
1.2 |
Gas |
|
11.1 |
13.4 |
13.8 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.1 |
12.9 |
10.6 |
8.7 |
5.7 |
2.4 |
0.7 |
Solid |
|
10.8 |
12.5 |
13.9 |
15.5 |
17.5 |
19.1 |
20.3 |
21.2 |
23.4 |
24.9 |
29.5 |
33.2 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
7.7 |
9.9 |
11.0 |
12.6 |
13.8 |
15.3 |
17.3 |
22.9 |
32.8 |
42.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
7.7 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
7.6 |
14.4 |
29.9 |
24.1 |
18.6 |
Total |
|
62.3 |
69.0 |
71.7 |
76.0 |
79.5 |
82.3 |
83.0 |
89.1 |
97.5 |
112.7 |
111.4 |
115.6 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
11.9 |
11.0 |
8.9 |
7.9 |
7.2 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
5.7 |
5.3 |
3.3 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
Gas |
|
9.7 |
12.9 |
10.8 |
10.8 |
10.5 |
10.2 |
9.7 |
9.0 |
8.2 |
4.2 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
Solid |
|
9.4 |
10.9 |
13.0 |
15.3 |
17.4 |
19.0 |
20.0 |
20.7 |
22.7 |
22.7 |
24.5 |
27.6 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
7.7 |
9.9 |
11.0 |
12.6 |
13.8 |
15.3 |
17.3 |
22.9 |
32.8 |
42.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
7.7 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.4 |
5.6 |
14.7 |
15.5 |
15.5 |
Total |
|
43.5 |
49.0 |
49.9 |
53.9 |
56.7 |
59.5 |
61.4 |
65.6 |
72.5 |
86.5 |
96.2 |
106.9 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.95 |
1.05 |
1.05 |
1.09 |
1.13 |
1.15 |
1.14 |
1.10 |
1.09 |
0.91 |
0.84 |
0.87 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
32.8 |
29.5 |
25.6 |
22.7 |
19.4 |
19.5 |
16.8 |
13.9 |
10.5 |
7.9 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
NOx |
|
|
Tg N |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.10 |
0.09 |
0.08 |
0.07 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.34 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.27 |
0.25 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.18 |
0.17 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
8.74 |
9.20 |
9.57 |
9.90 |
10.17 |
10.35 |
10.61 |
10.78 |
11.17 |
11.29 |
9.58 |
8.13 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.37 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.32 |
0.25 |
0.21 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.32 |
0.38 |
0.44 |
0.49 |
0.49 |
0.52 |
0.54 |
0.57 |
0.59 |
0.51 |
0.43 |
0.39 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.73 |
2.88 |
2.99 |
3.09 |
3.18 |
3.23 |
3.32 |
3.37 |
3.49 |
3.53 |
2.99 |
2.54 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.79 |
6.94 |
7.03 |
7.14 |
7.11 |
7.08 |
7.05 |
7.02 |
6.99 |
5.94 |
4.81 |
4.02 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
4.66 |
4.75 |
4.84 |
4.92 |
4.97 |
5.04 |
5.11 |
5.21 |
5.28 |
5.31 |
4.92 |
4.67 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.19 |
0.18 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.43 |
0.44 |
0.45 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.47 |
0.48 |
0.49 |
0.49 |
0.50 |
0.46 |
0.44 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
11.0 |
12.0 |
10.2 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
5.9 |
4.2 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
|
OECD-A |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
146.0 |
150.3 |
152.9 |
156.6 |
156.2 |
155.8 |
155.4 |
155.0 |
154.6 |
122.5 |
100.9 |
83.8 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
12.6 |
14.8 |
17.4 |
20.4 |
24.3 |
28.4 |
31.8 |
35.1 |
38.2 |
62.9 |
94.1 |
131.8 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
1842.6 |
2228.2 |
2660.4 |
3195.6 |
3792.9 |
4430.5 |
4938.2 |
5441.0 |
5909.8 |
7705.5 |
9497.2 |
11041.2 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
3.7 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
6.5 |
Ind |
|
|
4.6 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
6.7 |
6.3 |
Tran |
|
4.5 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
6.6 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
Total |
|
12.8 |
16.3 |
16.7 |
17.7 |
18.5 |
19.4 |
19.2 |
19.9 |
20.6 |
21.6 |
20.0 |
19.6 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
7.4 |
9.1 |
9.0 |
9.2 |
9.0 |
9.1 |
8.7 |
9.0 |
9.3 |
9.4 |
7.8 |
7.7 |
Gas |
|
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
Solid |
|
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
Elec |
|
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
5.8 |
6.2 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
9.0 |
9.9 |
10.4 |
Total |
|
12.8 |
16.3 |
16.7 |
17.7 |
18.5 |
19.4 |
19.2 |
19.9 |
20.6 |
21.6 |
20.0 |
19.6 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.7 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
Solid |
|
2.1 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
12.2 |
17.8 |
20.8 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
4.9 |
Total |
|
7.9 |
10.2 |
10.8 |
11.4 |
14.3 |
17.3 |
18.4 |
20.1 |
22.0 |
26.1 |
28.1 |
29.8 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
3.4 |
5.9 |
11.1 |
9.3 |
7.8 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
7.5 |
7.9 |
7.9 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
10.1 |
12.3 |
11.7 |
11.6 |
11.5 |
11.6 |
10.9 |
9.8 |
8.3 |
3.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
Gas |
|
1.7 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
Solid |
|
3.7 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.7 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
7.6 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
7.2 |
6.8 |
7.9 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
12.2 |
17.8 |
20.8 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
4.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
3.4 |
5.9 |
11.1 |
9.3 |
7.8 |
Total |
|
18.2 |
23.2 |
24.1 |
25.4 |
28.1 |
30.9 |
31.4 |
33.8 |
36.4 |
41.8 |
41.5 |
43.1 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
Gas |
|
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
Solid |
|
3.9 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
8.5 |
8.6 |
11.9 |
15.8 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
12.2 |
17.8 |
20.8 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
4.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
7.4 |
7.8 |
7.8 |
Total |
|
8.4 |
10.2 |
11.5 |
12.7 |
14.9 |
17.6 |
19.0 |
21.6 |
26.0 |
36.3 |
44.8 |
51.0 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.30 |
0.39 |
0.39 |
0.40 |
0.43 |
0.45 |
0.43 |
0.39 |
0.36 |
0.25 |
0.18 |
0.21 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.3 |
10.8 |
9.6 |
8.9 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
6.8 |
5.6 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.11 |
0.10 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.14 |
3.33 |
3.34 |
3.47 |
3.60 |
3.62 |
3.78 |
3.81 |
3.98 |
3.72 |
2.72 |
2.18 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.92 |
0.89 |
0.86 |
0.82 |
0.77 |
0.73 |
0.68 |
0.46 |
0.28 |
0.20 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.98 |
1.04 |
1.04 |
1.09 |
1.13 |
1.13 |
1.18 |
1.19 |
1.24 |
1.16 |
0.85 |
0.68 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.15 |
1.19 |
1.21 |
1.24 |
1.23 |
1.23 |
1.23 |
1.22 |
1.22 |
0.97 |
0.80 |
0.66 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
1.13 |
1.18 |
1.20 |
1.22 |
1.22 |
1.23 |
1.23 |
1.23 |
1.23 |
1.10 |
0.91 |
0.82 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.11 |
0.10 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
4.6 |
6.0 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
2.4 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
|
CPEUR |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
416.0 |
428.2 |
438.5 |
449.9 |
454.9 |
459.9 |
464.9 |
469.9 |
474.9 |
447.2 |
390.1 |
336.8 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
7.7 |
8.8 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
10.1 |
11.9 |
13.7 |
15.4 |
17.2 |
25.5 |
36.9 |
51.3 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
3193.2 |
3782.6 |
3565.1 |
3765.6 |
4612.5 |
5477.0 |
6359.2 |
7259.1 |
8176.7 |
11391.0 |
14387.6 |
17271.5 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
15.8 |
20.4 |
18.7 |
20.3 |
22.2 |
24.0 |
25.9 |
27.7 |
29.6 |
32.5 |
27.5 |
22.9 |
Ind |
|
|
34.4 |
41.1 |
39.5 |
41.6 |
44.1 |
46.5 |
49.0 |
51.4 |
53.9 |
47.9 |
34.4 |
25.1 |
Tran |
|
7.8 |
9.4 |
8.5 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
11.0 |
12.1 |
13.1 |
14.1 |
14.6 |
12.4 |
12.5 |
Total |
|
58.0 |
70.9 |
66.7 |
70.9 |
76.2 |
81.6 |
86.9 |
92.3 |
97.6 |
95.0 |
74.3 |
60.5 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
16.7 |
15.7 |
14.9 |
14.3 |
15.0 |
15.7 |
16.5 |
17.2 |
17.9 |
18.8 |
15.3 |
14.4 |
Gas |
|
16.9 |
25.1 |
21.9 |
24.4 |
26.1 |
27.9 |
29.6 |
31.4 |
33.1 |
34.6 |
23.7 |
16.4 |
Solid |
|
17.4 |
20.7 |
21.4 |
22.8 |
24.0 |
25.1 |
26.3 |
27.4 |
28.6 |
21.5 |
14.9 |
9.8 |
Elec |
|
7.0 |
9.4 |
8.5 |
9.4 |
11.1 |
12.8 |
14.6 |
16.3 |
18.0 |
20.1 |
20.4 |
19.9 |
Total |
|
58.0 |
70.9 |
66.7 |
70.9 |
76.2 |
81.6 |
86.9 |
92.3 |
97.6 |
95.0 |
74.3 |
60.5 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
Gas |
|
6.3 |
8.1 |
7.7 |
7.0 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
4.2 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
Solid |
|
9.1 |
11.8 |
10.7 |
12.3 |
14.0 |
15.7 |
17.3 |
19.0 |
20.7 |
13.2 |
8.8 |
6.4 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
6.4 |
9.1 |
11.7 |
14.4 |
17.0 |
23.9 |
29.5 |
33.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
12.1 |
11.4 |
9.8 |
Total |
|
22.4 |
28.5 |
26.7 |
28.8 |
33.6 |
38.4 |
43.3 |
48.1 |
52.9 |
58.1 |
56.6 |
55.3 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.4 |
9.6 |
16.8 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.5 |
4.3 |
6.6 |
8.9 |
14.5 |
41.7 |
41.0 |
40.5 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
2.8 |
4.3 |
5.8 |
7.5 |
13.8 |
11.8 |
10.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.6 |
17.0 |
16.7 |
14.2 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
19.5 |
18.3 |
17.1 |
16.4 |
16.2 |
14.9 |
14.1 |
13.2 |
12.2 |
6.7 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
Gas |
|
23.2 |
33.2 |
29.6 |
31.4 |
32.6 |
33.8 |
34.9 |
36.1 |
34.7 |
21.1 |
9.1 |
3.6 |
Solid |
|
26.5 |
32.5 |
32.1 |
35.1 |
37.9 |
40.8 |
43.6 |
46.5 |
49.3 |
38.1 |
33.3 |
33.0 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
6.4 |
9.1 |
11.7 |
14.4 |
17.0 |
23.9 |
29.5 |
33.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
12.1 |
11.4 |
9.8 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.5 |
4.3 |
6.6 |
8.9 |
14.5 |
41.7 |
41.0 |
40.5 |
Total |
|
73.4 |
90.0 |
84.9 |
90.3 |
99.3 |
108.7 |
117.9 |
127.1 |
137.0 |
147.3 |
132.5 |
129.0 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
26.0 |
21.0 |
19.7 |
17.5 |
16.2 |
14.9 |
13.6 |
12.3 |
11.0 |
6.7 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
Gas |
|
24.0 |
43.2 |
38.9 |
41.8 |
40.4 |
39.0 |
37.5 |
36.1 |
34.7 |
20.3 |
9.0 |
3.6 |
Solid |
|
26.7 |
31.7 |
32.0 |
34.9 |
40.4 |
45.9 |
51.5 |
57.0 |
62.5 |
64.5 |
91.4 |
126.0 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
6.4 |
9.1 |
11.7 |
14.4 |
17.0 |
23.9 |
29.5 |
33.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
12.1 |
11.4 |
9.8 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.9 |
5.9 |
8.8 |
11.8 |
14.7 |
38.4 |
40.5 |
40.5 |
Total |
|
80.9 |
102.0 |
96.7 |
101.6 |
111.1 |
120.6 |
130.1 |
139.6 |
149.1 |
169.6 |
190.1 |
222.0 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
1.38 |
1.65 |
1.57 |
1.66 |
1.75 |
1.81 |
1.88 |
1.96 |
1.99 |
1.40 |
1.06 |
0.98 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
21.1 |
25.4 |
23.3 |
24.5 |
21.6 |
18.6 |
15.7 |
12.8 |
9.8 |
7.8 |
6.5 |
6.1 |
NOx |
|
|
Tg N |
6.0 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
7.0 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
0.09 |
0.08 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.28 |
0.35 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.32 |
0.30 |
0.28 |
0.26 |
0.24 |
0.22 |
0.17 |
0.15 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
9.5 |
11.3 |
10.3 |
10.2 |
10.7 |
11.0 |
11.2 |
11.2 |
11.1 |
11.5 |
16.3 |
22.4 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
21.2 |
34.4 |
28.1 |
26.4 |
22.2 |
18.3 |
14.6 |
11.2 |
7.9 |
4.7 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
11.08 |
12.01 |
12.15 |
12.60 |
12.68 |
12.76 |
12.83 |
12.91 |
12.99 |
11.33 |
9.91 |
8.55 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.83 |
0.94 |
1.00 |
0.99 |
0.97 |
0.95 |
0.93 |
0.91 |
0.89 |
0.78 |
0.63 |
0.53 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.36 |
0.57 |
0.50 |
0.60 |
0.61 |
0.62 |
0.63 |
0.65 |
0.66 |
0.67 |
0.61 |
0.56 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.07 |
0.06 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.46 |
3.75 |
3.80 |
3.94 |
3.96 |
3.99 |
4.01 |
4.03 |
4.06 |
3.54 |
3.10 |
2.67 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.74 |
6.75 |
6.38 |
6.72 |
7.19 |
7.27 |
7.35 |
7.43 |
7.50 |
7.07 |
6.16 |
5.32 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
3.29 |
3.42 |
3.50 |
3.58 |
3.64 |
3.71 |
3.73 |
3.80 |
3.85 |
3.91 |
3.55 |
3.30 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.33 |
0.31 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.10 |
0.07 |
0.05 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
|
Tg S |
14.5 |
16.9 |
15.5 |
14.8 |
15.1 |
15.3 |
15.6 |
15.8 |
16.0 |
12.7 |
9.8 |
7.4 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
|
CPASIA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
1135.0 |
1223.4 |
1305.0 |
1380.3 |
1409.5 |
1438.7 |
1467.9 |
1497.1 |
1526.3 |
1369.1 |
1114.9 |
935.4 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
5.1 |
12.3 |
27.4 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
446.6 |
569.7 |
721.4 |
916.5 |
1178.5 |
1529.2 |
1942.7 |
2493.8 |
3221.4 |
6965.3 |
13672.7 |
25583.8 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
9.5 |
10.3 |
10.9 |
11.7 |
12.9 |
14.2 |
15.4 |
17.3 |
19.9 |
35.4 |
46.7 |
54.7 |
Ind |
|
|
8.3 |
9.8 |
10.8 |
12.5 |
14.4 |
16.8 |
19.5 |
23.0 |
27.5 |
35.9 |
38.9 |
40.0 |
Tran |
|
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
5.4 |
7.5 |
13.6 |
17.9 |
25.8 |
Total |
|
19.3 |
21.8 |
23.7 |
26.6 |
30.0 |
34.3 |
39.0 |
45.7 |
54.9 |
84.9 |
103.5 |
120.5 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
5.7 |
7.4 |
10.1 |
18.6 |
23.2 |
30.7 |
Gas |
|
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
6.9 |
8.2 |
8.6 |
Solid |
|
14.6 |
16.0 |
17.1 |
18.4 |
20.5 |
22.9 |
25.3 |
28.1 |
31.5 |
39.4 |
39.8 |
35.9 |
Elec |
|
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
6.2 |
7.6 |
9.7 |
20.0 |
32.3 |
45.3 |
Total |
|
19.3 |
21.8 |
23.7 |
26.6 |
30.0 |
34.3 |
39.0 |
45.7 |
54.9 |
84.9 |
103.5 |
120.5 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
Gas |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
Solid |
|
5.2 |
6.0 |
6.8 |
7.9 |
8.6 |
9.4 |
10.1 |
11.0 |
12.0 |
12.1 |
12.6 |
14.2 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
5.3 |
8.2 |
21.3 |
44.0 |
74.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
10.8 |
17.0 |
22.0 |
Total |
|
7.5 |
8.9 |
10.3 |
12.4 |
14.8 |
17.7 |
21.0 |
26.0 |
32.3 |
58.7 |
89.5 |
126.7 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.7 |
12.3 |
26.5 |
41.1 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.9 |
7.7 |
20.8 |
20.8 |
20.2 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.2 |
4.3 |
16.1 |
22.7 |
29.1 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
7.7 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
6.6 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
4.0 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
Solid |
|
19.8 |
22.0 |
23.9 |
26.3 |
29.1 |
32.3 |
35.4 |
39.1 |
45.2 |
63.8 |
78.9 |
91.2 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
5.3 |
8.2 |
21.3 |
44.0 |
74.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
10.8 |
17.0 |
22.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.9 |
7.7 |
20.8 |
20.8 |
20.2 |
Total |
|
24.9 |
28.3 |
31.2 |
35.6 |
40.7 |
46.9 |
53.8 |
64.8 |
80.1 |
132.9 |
175.3 |
222.8 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.2 |
6.1 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
Gas |
|
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
Solid |
|
18.9 |
22.0 |
23.9 |
26.2 |
29.1 |
32.4 |
35.5 |
39.2 |
45.3 |
63.4 |
68.4 |
73.1 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
5.3 |
8.2 |
21.3 |
44.0 |
74.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
10.8 |
17.0 |
22.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.0 |
6.9 |
18.1 |
19.1 |
19.1 |
Total |
|
25.6 |
30.2 |
32.4 |
36.2 |
40.9 |
46.5 |
52.2 |
62.1 |
76.6 |
128.2 |
162.8 |
203.6 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.57 |
0.65 |
0.70 |
0.78 |
0.86 |
0.96 |
1.06 |
1.17 |
1.32 |
1.72 |
2.05 |
2.37 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
5.4 |
6.2 |
7.0 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
7.6 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
7.5 |
10.1 |
12.2 |
14.6 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
6.3 |
8.0 |
8.3 |
8.1 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.25 |
0.29 |
0.35 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.7 |
7.8 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
7.7 |
7.7 |
8.1 |
11.3 |
12.2 |
13.0 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.90 |
5.21 |
5.47 |
5.72 |
5.90 |
6.06 |
6.22 |
6.38 |
6.58 |
7.05 |
6.18 |
5.32 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
16.90 |
17.06 |
17.01 |
16.99 |
16.70 |
16.37 |
16.05 |
15.76 |
15.54 |
12.99 |
9.84 |
7.77 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.32 |
0.38 |
0.42 |
0.45 |
0.47 |
0.48 |
0.49 |
0.49 |
0.49 |
0.44 |
0.37 |
0.32 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.53 |
1.63 |
1.71 |
1.79 |
1.84 |
1.89 |
1.94 |
1.99 |
2.06 |
2.20 |
1.93 |
1.66 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.16 |
1.47 |
1.84 |
2.31 |
2.94 |
3.77 |
4.74 |
6.02 |
7.69 |
10.82 |
8.81 |
7.39 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
24.91 |
24.16 |
23.22 |
22.27 |
21.15 |
20.00 |
18.87 |
17.78 |
16.81 |
16.10 |
14.68 |
13.71 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.88 |
0.85 |
0.81 |
0.78 |
0.75 |
0.72 |
0.68 |
0.59 |
0.53 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.20 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
0.18 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.11 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.32 |
2.25 |
2.17 |
2.08 |
1.97 |
1.87 |
1.76 |
1.66 |
1.57 |
1.50 |
1.37 |
1.28 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
6.9 |
9.5 |
10.2 |
11.1 |
11.4 |
11.4 |
11.4 |
11.4 |
11.4 |
11.4 |
11.4 |
11.4 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
M-EAST |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
109.0 |
130.8 |
150.5 |
169.5 |
189.9 |
210.4 |
230.8 |
251.2 |
271.6 |
284.4 |
258.1 |
223.5 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
6.1 |
6.6 |
7.2 |
8.0 |
8.7 |
9.5 |
17.2 |
33.5 |
60.6 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
589.6 |
718.6 |
857.5 |
1034.4 |
1247.7 |
1508.5 |
1836.9 |
2197.6 |
2576.9 |
4903.9 |
8650.3 |
13548.9 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
4.1 |
5.8 |
Ind |
|
|
4.6 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
8.6 |
9.9 |
11.8 |
14.5 |
17.5 |
22.5 |
21.7 |
17.9 |
Tran |
|
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.4 |
6.9 |
8.7 |
11.8 |
Total |
|
5.9 |
7.1 |
7.9 |
9.2 |
10.9 |
12.6 |
15.1 |
18.7 |
22.9 |
31.8 |
34.5 |
35.5 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
7.9 |
12.0 |
13.8 |
16.4 |
Gas |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
3.9 |
5.0 |
6.3 |
7.8 |
10.2 |
12.4 |
15.4 |
14.1 |
10.7 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
Elec |
|
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
4.4 |
6.6 |
8.3 |
Total |
|
5.9 |
7.1 |
7.9 |
9.2 |
10.9 |
12.6 |
15.1 |
18.7 |
22.9 |
31.8 |
34.5 |
35.5 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
Gas |
|
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
5.4 |
10.3 |
15.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
Total |
|
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
5.9 |
7.1 |
8.5 |
12.7 |
18.8 |
23.9 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.5 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
2.0 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.7 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.3 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
9.1 |
12.9 |
14.3 |
15.8 |
Gas |
|
2.7 |
3.8 |
4.8 |
6.1 |
7.2 |
8.5 |
10.1 |
11.3 |
13.5 |
17.5 |
16.0 |
9.6 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.6 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
5.4 |
10.3 |
15.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
2.0 |
Total |
|
8.1 |
9.4 |
10.4 |
11.9 |
14.2 |
16.2 |
19.2 |
24.0 |
29.4 |
40.2 |
46.8 |
51.9 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
22.4 |
32.5 |
42.5 |
47.8 |
50.6 |
52.0 |
52.3 |
51.6 |
50.0 |
35.7 |
22.6 |
15.8 |
Gas |
|
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
4.4 |
6.2 |
8.9 |
10.5 |
13.3 |
25.2 |
20.2 |
9.6 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
5.4 |
10.3 |
15.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
Total |
|
23.7 |
34.3 |
45.1 |
51.3 |
55.7 |
59.4 |
63.3 |
65.3 |
68.2 |
71.2 |
59.8 |
47.8 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.19 |
0.22 |
0.24 |
0.28 |
0.31 |
0.37 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
6.5 |
7.3 |
7.9 |
8.3 |
8.7 |
8.8 |
8.9 |
8.2 |
5.7 |
3.5 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.17 |
1.36 |
1.55 |
1.72 |
1.94 |
2.11 |
2.28 |
2.40 |
2.53 |
2.53 |
2.45 |
2.20 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
0.23 |
0.21 |
0.18 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.36 |
0.42 |
0.48 |
0.54 |
0.60 |
0.66 |
0.71 |
0.75 |
0.79 |
0.79 |
0.77 |
0.69 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.68 |
0.82 |
0.97 |
1.16 |
1.38 |
1.66 |
1.82 |
1.98 |
2.15 |
2.25 |
2.04 |
1.77 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
0.89 |
0.92 |
0.95 |
0.98 |
1.01 |
1.04 |
1.06 |
1.08 |
1.09 |
1.04 |
1.01 |
0.97 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
|
AFRICA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
559.0 |
661.6 |
749.7 |
846.7 |
952.3 |
1057.9 |
1163.5 |
1269.1 |
1374.7 |
1677.6 |
1754.6 |
1667.6 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
5.4 |
10.1 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
431.4 |
496.1 |
561.7 |
640.8 |
751.0 |
901.3 |
1145.9 |
1470.2 |
1895.0 |
4376.2 |
9390.9 |
16866.8 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
4.7 |
9.8 |
15.8 |
20.7 |
Ind |
|
|
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
5.5 |
7.5 |
15.3 |
22.1 |
27.6 |
Tran |
|
4.4 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
6.1 |
7.2 |
9.1 |
12.5 |
17.9 |
29.6 |
38.6 |
49.4 |
Total |
|
6.1 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
8.7 |
9.9 |
12.0 |
15.4 |
21.1 |
30.1 |
54.7 |
76.5 |
97.7 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
9.6 |
13.1 |
18.7 |
31.4 |
40.8 |
51.5 |
Gas |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.4 |
7.4 |
8.7 |
9.5 |
Solid |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
Elec |
|
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
10.4 |
19.8 |
29.4 |
Total |
|
6.1 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
8.7 |
9.9 |
12.0 |
15.4 |
21.1 |
30.1 |
54.7 |
76.5 |
97.7 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
Gas |
|
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
Solid |
|
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
6.4 |
8.8 |
10.7 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
9.3 |
23.0 |
42.0 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
6.4 |
12.0 |
16.6 |
Total |
|
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
6.6 |
8.1 |
10.7 |
14.4 |
29.7 |
53.4 |
80.6 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
5.0 |
18.1 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
7.0 |
35.9 |
49.6 |
56.0 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.6 |
20.8 |
32.1 |
44.6 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.6 |
8.0 |
11.1 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.5 |
5.8 |
6.1 |
6.7 |
7.3 |
8.4 |
10.5 |
14.2 |
15.7 |
12.2 |
9.8 |
8.2 |
Gas |
|
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
4.1 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
3.9 |
1.8 |
Solid |
|
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
5.0 |
6.1 |
7.9 |
12.0 |
21.0 |
36.1 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
9.3 |
23.0 |
42.0 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
6.4 |
12.0 |
16.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
7.0 |
35.9 |
49.6 |
56.0 |
Total |
|
8.6 |
9.6 |
10.7 |
12.1 |
14.0 |
16.8 |
21.2 |
29.2 |
42.5 |
84.5 |
124.6 |
167.4 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
10.8 |
13.9 |
13.1 |
14.5 |
15.2 |
15.6 |
15.9 |
15.9 |
15.7 |
11.6 |
8.2 |
8.2 |
Gas |
|
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
5.7 |
6.9 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
5.6 |
3.9 |
1.8 |
Solid |
|
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
5.0 |
6.2 |
8.2 |
10.5 |
9.6 |
10.6 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
9.3 |
23.0 |
42.0 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
6.4 |
12.0 |
16.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
8.3 |
19.2 |
50.2 |
53.0 |
53.0 |
Total |
|
16.4 |
19.5 |
19.3 |
21.4 |
23.7 |
27.1 |
30.6 |
42.0 |
57.0 |
96.8 |
115.0 |
138.8 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.22 |
0.25 |
0.29 |
0.36 |
0.48 |
0.57 |
0.61 |
0.77 |
1.09 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.0 |
12.1 |
13.0 |
14.7 |
11.5 |
11.3 |
9.8 |
9.3 |
9.8 |
12.3 |
15.8 |
19.9 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
7.7 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.08 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
0.29 |
0.37 |
0.46 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
8.55 |
9.82 |
11.46 |
12.89 |
14.54 |
15.65 |
17.29 |
18.02 |
19.44 |
23.11 |
25.44 |
25.70 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.37 |
1.56 |
1.82 |
2.00 |
2.23 |
2.38 |
2.47 |
2.53 |
2.57 |
2.44 |
2.25 |
2.09 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.23 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.67 |
3.07 |
3.58 |
4.03 |
4.54 |
4.89 |
5.40 |
5.63 |
6.07 |
7.22 |
7.95 |
8.03 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.06 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.20 |
1.37 |
1.55 |
1.75 |
2.04 |
2.43 |
3.06 |
3.88 |
4.94 |
11.00 |
13.86 |
13.17 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
140.13 |
142.36 |
143.06 |
143.47 |
144.18 |
144.81 |
145.29 |
145.69 |
146.12 |
148.02 |
148.66 |
148.03 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
3.14 |
3.22 |
3.25 |
3.27 |
3.30 |
3.32 |
3.35 |
3.37 |
3.38 |
3.46 |
3.49 |
3.47 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
1.12 |
1.14 |
1.14 |
1.15 |
1.15 |
1.16 |
1.16 |
1.17 |
1.17 |
1.18 |
1.19 |
1.18 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
13.08 |
13.29 |
13.35 |
13.39 |
13.46 |
13.52 |
13.56 |
13.60 |
13.64 |
13.81 |
13.87 |
13.82 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.22 |
0.24 |
0.24 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.26 |
0.27 |
0.26 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.10 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
|
L-AMER |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
402.0 |
443.9 |
481.9 |
520.2 |
552.6 |
585.1 |
617.5 |
650.0 |
682.5 |
767.5 |
782.5 |
769.5 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
7.0 |
12.5 |
21.8 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
791.3 |
904.3 |
1032.5 |
1178.8 |
1375.7 |
1633.3 |
1907.4 |
2266.9 |
2725.4 |
5345.7 |
9810.7 |
16746.2 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
5.4 |
10.7 |
15.9 |
21.2 |
Ind |
|
|
4.8 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
6.8 |
7.8 |
9.2 |
10.6 |
12.9 |
16.1 |
20.9 |
20.6 |
18.8 |
Tran |
|
4.6 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
6.7 |
8.0 |
10.3 |
13.4 |
14.1 |
16.3 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
12.6 |
13.6 |
15.0 |
16.3 |
18.8 |
21.2 |
25.5 |
31.8 |
45.0 |
50.6 |
56.3 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
8.0 |
8.5 |
8.5 |
8.9 |
9.2 |
10.0 |
10.8 |
12.5 |
15.8 |
22.5 |
23.4 |
25.5 |
Gas |
|
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
5.7 |
7.3 |
8.8 |
12.4 |
12.9 |
12.5 |
Solid |
|
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
Elec |
|
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
5.2 |
8.2 |
12.5 |
16.7 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
12.6 |
13.6 |
15.0 |
16.3 |
18.8 |
21.2 |
25.5 |
31.8 |
45.0 |
50.6 |
56.3 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Gas |
|
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Solid |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
4.2 |
9.9 |
18.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
3.8 |
5.4 |
Total |
|
4.8 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
6.6 |
7.6 |
9.0 |
10.5 |
12.9 |
16.4 |
25.0 |
35.9 |
47.8 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
3.6 |
15.2 |
18.7 |
34.4 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
11.2 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.6 |
8.4 |
10.7 |
11.9 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
8.9 |
9.2 |
9.1 |
9.4 |
9.7 |
10.5 |
11.3 |
13.1 |
16.6 |
23.2 |
23.8 |
14.7 |
Gas |
|
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
7.9 |
8.0 |
4.7 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
Solid |
|
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
4.2 |
9.9 |
18.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
3.8 |
5.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
3.6 |
15.2 |
18.7 |
34.4 |
Total |
|
14.9 |
16.5 |
17.7 |
19.5 |
21.5 |
24.9 |
28.4 |
35.1 |
45.0 |
68.6 |
82.0 |
98.7 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
14.1 |
12.8 |
11.3 |
11.8 |
13.6 |
18.1 |
23.8 |
29.3 |
33.6 |
34.4 |
24.5 |
14.7 |
Gas |
|
2.5 |
3.5 |
5.2 |
6.9 |
8.0 |
8.6 |
8.7 |
8.5 |
8.0 |
4.7 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
Solid |
|
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
4.2 |
9.9 |
18.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
3.8 |
5.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
12.4 |
28.8 |
75.4 |
79.5 |
79.5 |
Total |
|
20.5 |
20.9 |
21.8 |
24.9 |
28.9 |
35.4 |
42.8 |
62.5 |
85.2 |
137.3 |
140.4 |
140.7 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.21 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
0.27 |
0.32 |
0.36 |
0.43 |
0.53 |
0.61 |
0.60 |
0.42 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.7 |
12.3 |
12.7 |
13.7 |
10.4 |
10.1 |
8.0 |
6.6 |
5.8 |
6.0 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
3.9 |
2.3 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.97 |
17.91 |
19.29 |
21.08 |
22.99 |
24.38 |
26.35 |
27.41 |
29.22 |
34.27 |
35.39 |
35.12 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.12 |
3.09 |
3.08 |
3.15 |
3.24 |
3.30 |
3.28 |
3.27 |
3.24 |
2.82 |
2.49 |
2.31 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.99 |
5.60 |
6.03 |
6.59 |
7.19 |
7.62 |
8.23 |
8.57 |
9.13 |
10.71 |
11.06 |
10.97 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.10 |
2.39 |
2.71 |
3.08 |
3.57 |
4.20 |
4.87 |
5.14 |
5.39 |
6.06 |
6.18 |
6.08 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
54.44 |
55.73 |
55.03 |
53.97 |
53.20 |
52.39 |
51.43 |
50.32 |
49.40 |
48.38 |
47.17 |
46.09 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.69 |
1.74 |
1.72 |
1.69 |
1.67 |
1.65 |
1.63 |
1.60 |
1.57 |
1.56 |
1.52 |
1.49 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.09 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.44 |
0.45 |
0.44 |
0.43 |
0.43 |
0.42 |
0.41 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
0.39 |
0.38 |
0.37 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.08 |
5.20 |
5.14 |
5.04 |
4.97 |
4.89 |
4.80 |
4.70 |
4.61 |
4.52 |
4.40 |
4.30 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.32 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.30 |
0.29 |
0.28 |
0.28 |
0.26 |
0.26 |
0.25 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.07 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
4.7 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
|
SEASIA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
1408.0 |
1567.1 |
1707.2 |
1858.4 |
1965.8 |
2073.2 |
2180.6 |
2288.0 |
2395.3 |
2538.8 |
2299.1 |
1978.9 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
3.6 |
8.3 |
16.9 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
702.3 |
872.0 |
1078.1 |
1335.1 |
1660.3 |
2067.4 |
2567.8 |
3182.8 |
3917.9 |
9219.8 |
19010.5 |
33500.4 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
4.1 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
7.2 |
8.3 |
9.6 |
11.2 |
24.3 |
37.8 |
48.4 |
Ind |
|
|
4.0 |
5.4 |
6.9 |
8.7 |
11.4 |
14.7 |
19.3 |
26.0 |
34.7 |
54.2 |
65.7 |
69.7 |
Tran |
|
3.4 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.7 |
11.1 |
15.0 |
20.9 |
37.1 |
48.3 |
60.6 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
13.9 |
16.8 |
20.5 |
24.8 |
30.6 |
38.7 |
50.6 |
66.8 |
115.6 |
151.8 |
178.7 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
6.3 |
7.2 |
8.1 |
9.4 |
10.8 |
12.4 |
15.2 |
19.8 |
27.2 |
50.3 |
63.0 |
74.9 |
Gas |
|
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
5.0 |
6.7 |
10.3 |
14.3 |
25.8 |
32.1 |
33.2 |
Solid |
|
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
5.8 |
7.1 |
9.1 |
11.5 |
13.7 |
16.4 |
19.9 |
21.2 |
19.6 |
Elec |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
6.8 |
8.9 |
19.6 |
35.5 |
51.0 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
13.9 |
16.8 |
20.5 |
24.8 |
30.6 |
38.7 |
50.6 |
66.8 |
115.6 |
151.8 |
178.7 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
Solid |
|
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
5.7 |
7.0 |
8.3 |
9.9 |
11.7 |
14.1 |
16.1 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
4.6 |
7.0 |
20.6 |
49.0 |
83.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
10.4 |
18.9 |
24.9 |
Total |
|
5.1 |
6.0 |
7.3 |
9.1 |
11.4 |
14.1 |
17.8 |
22.8 |
29.5 |
57.5 |
98.5 |
142.3 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
5.8 |
29.1 |
65.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
10.9 |
25.0 |
66.4 |
81.9 |
69.6 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.1 |
9.0 |
32.9 |
56.8 |
74.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
5.9 |
11.5 |
23.7 |
32.2 |
36.1 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
7.2 |
8.1 |
9.0 |
10.3 |
11.8 |
13.6 |
16.6 |
18.5 |
20.6 |
19.9 |
8.0 |
2.8 |
Gas |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
7.2 |
5.9 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
3.2 |
0.5 |
Solid |
|
4.8 |
6.0 |
7.7 |
9.8 |
11.8 |
14.9 |
18.8 |
22.5 |
27.4 |
37.4 |
64.4 |
101.1 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
4.6 |
7.0 |
20.6 |
49.0 |
83.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
10.4 |
18.9 |
24.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
10.9 |
25.0 |
66.4 |
81.9 |
69.6 |
Total |
|
15.2 |
18.2 |
22.0 |
27.0 |
33.0 |
40.6 |
51.3 |
69.0 |
93.1 |
169.0 |
236.7 |
294.8 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.6 |
5.2 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
Gas |
|
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
2.1 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
Solid |
|
4.4 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
6.2 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.8 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
4.6 |
7.0 |
20.6 |
49.0 |
83.9 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
10.4 |
18.9 |
24.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
5.4 |
12.7 |
33.1 |
34.9 |
34.9 |
Total |
|
14.1 |
15.2 |
16.0 |
17.3 |
18.5 |
19.7 |
21.4 |
29.0 |
40.0 |
81.5 |
121.3 |
164.8 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.28 |
0.33 |
0.40 |
0.49 |
0.59 |
0.71 |
0.89 |
1.00 |
1.14 |
1.38 |
1.82 |
2.62 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
8.8 |
10.5 |
12.6 |
15.9 |
13.4 |
13.7 |
12.4 |
12.0 |
12.4 |
16.3 |
20.9 |
25.2 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
4.8 |
6.1 |
9.1 |
10.7 |
11.1 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.09 |
0.13 |
0.20 |
0.24 |
0.26 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.21 |
0.25 |
0.41 |
0.52 |
0.62 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.89 |
17.24 |
18.92 |
20.76 |
22.73 |
24.71 |
26.97 |
29.05 |
31.46 |
40.98 |
40.00 |
35.96 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
33.30 |
35.35 |
37.55 |
40.15 |
42.66 |
43.94 |
45.65 |
46.85 |
48.83 |
52.29 |
42.05 |
33.38 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.23 |
0.32 |
0.41 |
0.49 |
0.55 |
0.62 |
0.69 |
0.81 |
0.91 |
0.97 |
0.87 |
0.76 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.10 |
0.09 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.97 |
5.39 |
5.91 |
6.49 |
7.10 |
7.72 |
8.43 |
9.08 |
9.83 |
12.80 |
12.50 |
11.24 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.11 |
0.18 |
0.21 |
0.23 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.88 |
2.31 |
2.83 |
3.47 |
4.27 |
5.27 |
6.48 |
7.95 |
9.70 |
20.06 |
18.16 |
15.63 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
48.05 |
51.40 |
51.87 |
51.83 |
52.77 |
53.90 |
55.23 |
56.25 |
57.61 |
61.44 |
57.80 |
54.83 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.69 |
1.82 |
1.87 |
1.91 |
1.98 |
2.05 |
2.13 |
2.20 |
2.28 |
2.53 |
2.35 |
2.19 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.38 |
0.41 |
0.41 |
0.41 |
0.42 |
0.43 |
0.44 |
0.45 |
0.46 |
0.49 |
0.46 |
0.44 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.48 |
4.80 |
4.84 |
4.84 |
4.93 |
5.03 |
5.16 |
5.25 |
5.38 |
5.73 |
5.39 |
5.12 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.09 |
0.12 |
0.19 |
0.22 |
0.24 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
2.5 |
4.1 |
5.5 |
7.5 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
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