Total |
|
|
|
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
4844.0 |
5293.1 |
5755.9 |
6205.0 |
6646.8 |
7088.6 |
7530.4 |
7972.2 |
8414.0 |
10031.0 |
10639.2 |
11312.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
8.3 |
13.8 |
25.4 |
46.0 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
16984.9 |
20107.0 |
24293.1 |
29169.1 |
35829.8 |
43421.4 |
51245.9 |
59956.5 |
69595.0 |
138392.2 |
270557.1 |
520529.2 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
68.7 |
77.7 |
84.4 |
94.3 |
106.5 |
117.4 |
127.3 |
138.5 |
151.3 |
232.3 |
333.3 |
458.9 |
Ind |
|
|
94.9 |
113.4 |
126.2 |
142.2 |
162.7 |
183.6 |
207.7 |
235.4 |
268.4 |
346.7 |
397.9 |
452.1 |
Tran |
|
61.3 |
68.5 |
77.1 |
90.2 |
97.7 |
113.6 |
127.3 |
144.0 |
169.5 |
245.8 |
337.4 |
522.7 |
Total |
|
224.9 |
259.6 |
287.7 |
326.7 |
366.9 |
414.6 |
462.3 |
517.9 |
589.2 |
824.8 |
1068.6 |
1433.7 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
100.1 |
106.3 |
118.3 |
133.4 |
145.8 |
164.0 |
178.2 |
192.1 |
218.0 |
318.2 |
418.9 |
617.8 |
Gas |
|
46.4 |
60.0 |
67.2 |
79.4 |
90.3 |
100.4 |
112.2 |
130.4 |
147.2 |
176.9 |
176.2 |
198.5 |
Solid |
|
46.3 |
54.4 |
58.5 |
63.3 |
69.9 |
78.7 |
89.2 |
100.7 |
114.6 |
141.5 |
144.6 |
135.6 |
Elec |
|
32.1 |
38.9 |
43.7 |
50.6 |
60.9 |
71.6 |
82.6 |
94.7 |
109.4 |
188.2 |
328.9 |
481.8 |
Total |
|
224.9 |
259.6 |
287.7 |
326.7 |
366.9 |
414.6 |
462.3 |
517.9 |
589.2 |
824.8 |
1068.6 |
1433.7 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
17.5 |
16.9 |
19.7 |
22.6 |
27.5 |
32.5 |
35.1 |
35.3 |
37.3 |
39.8 |
38.6 |
53.2 |
Gas |
|
13.7 |
20.0 |
24.9 |
28.7 |
32.1 |
35.6 |
37.6 |
42.1 |
44.3 |
54.9 |
57.4 |
69.6 |
Solid |
|
38.3 |
44.5 |
51.3 |
61.5 |
76.7 |
91.7 |
109.3 |
128.3 |
150.3 |
192.5 |
239.7 |
295.4 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
15.2 |
16.1 |
15.8 |
16.5 |
17.3 |
18.2 |
19.6 |
8.6 |
3.5 |
6.0 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
5.6 |
10.6 |
17.5 |
27.3 |
42.0 |
148.4 |
427.7 |
742.4 |
Total |
|
105.0 |
123.0 |
138.3 |
159.6 |
188.9 |
221.0 |
254.0 |
291.8 |
337.3 |
502.9 |
834.6 |
1238.3 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
5.6 |
162.4 |
480.1 |
694.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
4.2 |
6.3 |
30.8 |
70.9 |
169.6 |
190.7 |
190.7 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
20.7 |
144.5 |
292.8 |
342.3 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
21.1 |
36.0 |
86.6 |
162.3 |
239.0 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
117.6 |
123.3 |
138.0 |
156.0 |
172.6 |
195.0 |
211.0 |
224.3 |
234.6 |
213.5 |
164.7 |
328.7 |
Gas |
|
60.1 |
80.0 |
92.1 |
108.1 |
121.3 |
133.9 |
146.5 |
151.4 |
155.5 |
145.2 |
71.3 |
29.1 |
Solid |
|
84.6 |
98.9 |
109.8 |
124.8 |
147.0 |
171.1 |
199.7 |
230.5 |
270.5 |
496.4 |
864.4 |
1125.6 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
15.2 |
16.1 |
15.8 |
16.5 |
17.3 |
18.2 |
19.6 |
8.6 |
3.5 |
6.0 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
5.6 |
10.6 |
17.5 |
27.3 |
42.0 |
148.4 |
427.7 |
742.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
4.2 |
6.3 |
30.8 |
70.9 |
169.6 |
190.7 |
190.7 |
Total |
|
297.8 |
343.7 |
382.3 |
435.7 |
495.5 |
565.4 |
635.5 |
723.2 |
836.9 |
1240.4 |
1790.0 |
2494.2 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
117.9 |
120.6 |
138.5 |
156.2 |
171.9 |
193.4 |
210.9 |
224.6 |
234.6 |
213.5 |
164.6 |
328.1 |
Gas |
|
58.6 |
85.7 |
92.2 |
108.2 |
116.0 |
127.4 |
139.3 |
147.5 |
155.4 |
145.2 |
70.9 |
29.5 |
Solid |
|
87.3 |
98.4 |
109.7 |
124.6 |
147.7 |
173.0 |
200.9 |
231.7 |
269.7 |
496.8 |
864.0 |
1126.3 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
15.2 |
16.1 |
15.8 |
16.5 |
17.3 |
18.2 |
19.6 |
8.6 |
3.5 |
6.0 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
5.6 |
10.6 |
17.5 |
27.3 |
42.0 |
148.4 |
427.7 |
742.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
4.2 |
6.3 |
30.8 |
70.9 |
169.6 |
191.0 |
191.0 |
Total |
|
299.3 |
346.3 |
382.8 |
435.8 |
490.3 |
559.2 |
629.4 |
720.7 |
836.0 |
1240.8 |
1789.4 |
2495.0 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
5.20 |
5.96 |
6.69 |
7.64 |
8.70 |
9.91 |
11.12 |
12.22 |
13.48 |
18.65 |
25.95 |
34.93 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
126.40 |
129.61 |
136.61 |
152.13 |
133.28 |
134.65 |
122.97 |
111.43 |
100.39 |
110.83 |
148.78 |
218.41 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
23.44 |
25.47 |
26.65 |
29.24 |
31.28 |
34.61 |
38.10 |
43.07 |
49.43 |
65.88 |
81.13 |
101.77 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.34 |
0.39 |
0.44 |
0.50 |
0.66 |
0.78 |
0.90 |
1.01 |
1.14 |
1.48 |
1.79 |
2.39 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.56 |
1.70 |
1.85 |
2.09 |
2.00 |
2.13 |
2.13 |
2.16 |
2.23 |
3.07 |
3.90 |
5.58 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
31.0 |
35.0 |
37.8 |
41.6 |
47.7 |
54.2 |
60.9 |
68.1 |
76.7 |
141.4 |
245.8 |
320.5 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
38.7 |
54.0 |
53.9 |
59.4 |
59.1 |
59.7 |
59.7 |
58.5 |
56.4 |
50.8 |
33.5 |
51.6 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
|
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
|
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
76.55 |
83.89 |
91.42 |
99.11 |
106.77 |
113.58 |
121.72 |
129.20 |
138.09 |
173.24 |
187.81 |
198.50 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
57.53 |
59.93 |
62.67 |
65.96 |
69.41 |
71.64 |
73.87 |
75.85 |
78.34 |
87.46 |
85.72 |
83.61 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
1.71 |
2.17 |
2.45 |
2.70 |
2.86 |
3.07 |
3.26 |
3.55 |
3.77 |
4.22 |
4.31 |
4.49 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.20 |
0.25 |
0.28 |
0.31 |
0.33 |
0.35 |
0.37 |
0.41 |
0.43 |
0.48 |
0.49 |
0.51 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
23.92 |
26.22 |
28.57 |
30.97 |
33.37 |
35.49 |
38.04 |
40.37 |
43.15 |
54.14 |
58.69 |
62.03 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.28 |
0.33 |
0.39 |
0.47 |
0.69 |
0.87 |
1.06 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
35.16 |
37.68 |
40.36 |
43.34 |
46.92 |
51.11 |
56.13 |
62.52 |
70.64 |
99.07 |
103.84 |
109.11 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
1.19 |
1.29 |
1.29 |
1.25 |
1.23 |
1.20 |
1.17 |
1.13 |
1.14 |
0.77 |
0.14 |
-0.14 |
Biomass Burning |
|
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
288.60 |
296.63 |
302.43 |
308.66 |
315.21 |
321.80 |
328.62 |
334.77 |
340.96 |
362.96 |
354.09 |
352.54 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
8.23 |
8.55 |
8.79 |
9.06 |
9.33 |
9.60 |
9.88 |
10.14 |
10.41 |
11.42 |
11.22 |
11.26 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.52 |
0.54 |
0.55 |
0.57 |
0.59 |
0.60 |
0.62 |
0.64 |
0.65 |
0.72 |
0.70 |
0.71 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
2.31 |
2.37 |
2.42 |
2.47 |
2.52 |
2.57 |
2.63 |
2.68 |
2.73 |
2.90 |
2.83 |
2.82 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
26.94 |
27.69 |
28.23 |
28.81 |
29.42 |
30.03 |
30.67 |
31.24 |
31.82 |
33.88 |
33.05 |
32.90 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.69 |
0.75 |
0.78 |
0.81 |
0.85 |
0.89 |
0.93 |
0.96 |
1.00 |
1.07 |
1.00 |
0.96 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.42 |
0.50 |
0.55 |
0.61 |
0.69 |
0.76 |
0.85 |
0.94 |
1.05 |
1.33 |
1.53 |
1.77 |
CH4 from Domestic Sewage |
|
Tg CH4 |
22.9 |
25.0 |
27.2 |
29.3 |
31.4 |
33.5 |
35.6 |
37.7 |
39.7 |
47.4 |
50.2 |
53.4 |
N2O from Oceans |
|
Tg N |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
N2O from Tropical Soils |
|
Tg N |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
N2O from Temperate Soils |
|
Tg N |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
CH4 from Wetlands |
|
Tg CH4 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
CH4 from Termites |
|
Tg CH4 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
CH4 from Oceans &
Freshwaters |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
CH4 from Methane Hydrates |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
CO from Plants |
|
Tg C |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
CO from Oceans |
|
Tg C |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
CO from Wildfires |
|
Tg C |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
NOx from Natural Lands |
|
Tg N |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
NOx from lightning |
|
Tg N |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
6.52 |
7.40 |
8.16 |
9.10 |
10.17 |
11.40 |
12.63 |
13.74 |
15.08 |
20.10 |
26.96 |
35.84 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
12.18 |
12.90 |
13.36 |
13.81 |
14.27 |
14.77 |
15.23 |
15.80 |
16.34 |
17.59 |
18.13 |
19.14 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
469.31 |
506.11 |
527.01 |
555.62 |
581.08 |
606.38 |
633.76 |
660.52 |
692.19 |
845.39 |
957.57 |
1072.22 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
52.67 |
55.02 |
56.44 |
59.30 |
61.61 |
65.21 |
68.98 |
74.22 |
80.85 |
98.30 |
113.34 |
134.02 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
488.00 |
499.24 |
512.04 |
533.79 |
521.49 |
529.45 |
524.58 |
519.20 |
514.35 |
546.79 |
575.87 |
643.95 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
65.37 |
75.90 |
78.13 |
81.86 |
89.40 |
98.96 |
110.63 |
124.03 |
141.03 |
206.61 |
241.02 |
231.85 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
56.3 |
65.4 |
66.6 |
69.2 |
75.3 |
83.5 |
93.6 |
105.2 |
120.0 |
179.9 |
210.2 |
196.4 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
6.8 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
10.2 |
11.6 |
12.9 |
14.4 |
16.2 |
18.3 |
23.8 |
27.9 |
32.6 |
|
USA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
239.0 |
248.9 |
259.1 |
269.0 |
275.4 |
281.8 |
288.2 |
294.6 |
301.0 |
297.0 |
295.5 |
294.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
19.7 |
22.8 |
27.6 |
32.8 |
38.8 |
44.9 |
49.7 |
53.9 |
57.0 |
93.3 |
143.6 |
207.4 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
4702.0 |
5662.6 |
7157.8 |
8834.6 |
10694.0 |
12663.1 |
14327.5 |
15864.7 |
17154.9 |
27721.6 |
42447.2 |
60961.5 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
15.1 |
15.4 |
16.5 |
17.6 |
19.6 |
20.9 |
22.0 |
23.1 |
24.1 |
28.0 |
31.6 |
35.8 |
Ind |
|
|
18.4 |
22.5 |
23.5 |
24.6 |
26.7 |
27.9 |
29.0 |
30.1 |
30.7 |
31.7 |
31.1 |
32.6 |
Tran |
|
21.0 |
22.0 |
24.0 |
26.6 |
27.5 |
30.6 |
31.3 |
31.4 |
32.3 |
32.8 |
32.8 |
40.0 |
Total |
|
54.5 |
59.9 |
64.0 |
68.8 |
73.8 |
79.4 |
82.3 |
84.6 |
87.1 |
92.5 |
95.5 |
108.4 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
28.3 |
29.6 |
31.3 |
33.7 |
35.2 |
37.8 |
38.1 |
37.0 |
37.5 |
38.8 |
38.0 |
44.9 |
Gas |
|
14.1 |
16.5 |
18.4 |
20.1 |
21.8 |
23.2 |
23.6 |
24.9 |
24.5 |
23.3 |
18.9 |
18.2 |
Solid |
|
3.8 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
Elec |
|
8.3 |
9.5 |
10.7 |
12.1 |
13.8 |
15.0 |
16.7 |
18.5 |
20.4 |
25.8 |
34.7 |
42.2 |
Total |
|
54.5 |
59.9 |
64.0 |
68.8 |
73.8 |
79.4 |
82.3 |
84.6 |
87.1 |
92.5 |
95.5 |
108.4 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.6 |
Gas |
|
2.2 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
6.7 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
Solid |
|
12.9 |
13.9 |
17.0 |
19.7 |
23.4 |
25.5 |
28.5 |
30.8 |
32.5 |
30.1 |
27.4 |
28.1 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
4.8 |
8.0 |
12.6 |
20.9 |
44.6 |
64.0 |
Total |
|
26.0 |
29.1 |
33.0 |
37.1 |
41.5 |
44.9 |
49.7 |
54.8 |
60.2 |
67.3 |
86.6 |
107.5 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
39.7 |
53.9 |
54.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
7.1 |
15.8 |
20.9 |
15.2 |
15.2 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.4 |
28.3 |
21.0 |
15.1 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
6.1 |
9.3 |
15.5 |
20.6 |
22.2 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
29.5 |
31.1 |
33.5 |
36.7 |
38.4 |
41.1 |
41.3 |
39.8 |
35.7 |
14.3 |
21.0 |
34.4 |
Gas |
|
16.3 |
19.9 |
22.5 |
24.7 |
26.2 |
27.2 |
27.0 |
23.4 |
19.3 |
14.5 |
3.8 |
1.5 |
Solid |
|
16.7 |
18.2 |
20.6 |
22.6 |
26.5 |
29.2 |
32.8 |
35.5 |
38.9 |
74.4 |
85.2 |
85.9 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
4.8 |
8.0 |
12.6 |
20.9 |
44.6 |
64.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
7.1 |
15.8 |
20.9 |
15.2 |
15.2 |
Total |
|
72.2 |
79.5 |
86.3 |
93.8 |
101.6 |
109.4 |
115.5 |
122.4 |
130.7 |
150.8 |
174.9 |
206.3 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
20.8 |
17.2 |
14.7 |
12.7 |
11.0 |
9.8 |
9.1 |
9.3 |
10.0 |
10.7 |
21.0 |
34.4 |
Gas |
|
16.3 |
18.2 |
19.0 |
19.0 |
18.7 |
18.6 |
18.4 |
17.5 |
16.2 |
8.8 |
3.8 |
1.5 |
Solid |
|
19.4 |
19.3 |
21.0 |
24.5 |
28.0 |
31.7 |
37.2 |
43.6 |
51.3 |
107.1 |
217.6 |
289.1 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
4.8 |
8.0 |
12.6 |
20.9 |
44.6 |
64.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
5.6 |
13.5 |
15.2 |
15.2 |
Total |
|
66.2 |
65.0 |
64.4 |
66.0 |
67.8 |
71.4 |
78.2 |
89.1 |
104.1 |
166.8 |
307.3 |
409.5 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
1.21 |
1.33 |
1.47 |
1.62 |
1.77 |
1.90 |
1.99 |
1.98 |
1.93 |
2.36 |
2.60 |
2.83 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
21.8 |
19.8 |
18.3 |
17.0 |
15.0 |
16.1 |
16.5 |
16.6 |
17.1 |
12.9 |
13.3 |
16.3 |
NOx |
|
|
Tg N |
5.4 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.30 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.34 |
0.39 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
8.2 |
9.1 |
9.9 |
11.3 |
12.8 |
14.6 |
30.5 |
61.9 |
82.3 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
5.2 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
7.10 |
7.82 |
8.45 |
8.76 |
8.76 |
8.85 |
8.37 |
9.33 |
9.23 |
6.61 |
5.99 |
5.96 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.41 |
0.31 |
0.35 |
0.38 |
0.42 |
0.45 |
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.55 |
0.71 |
0.57 |
0.51 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.28 |
0.30 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.29 |
0.25 |
0.26 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.22 |
2.44 |
2.64 |
2.74 |
2.74 |
2.76 |
2.62 |
2.92 |
2.88 |
2.07 |
1.87 |
1.86 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
10.10 |
9.15 |
9.23 |
9.88 |
10.32 |
10.38 |
10.42 |
10.50 |
10.54 |
10.71 |
10.52 |
10.53 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.34 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.38 |
0.37 |
0.37 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.08 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.94 |
0.85 |
0.86 |
0.92 |
0.96 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
1.00 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.14 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
9.0 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
OECD-W |
|
|
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
430.0 |
438.9 |
448.1 |
457.0 |
460.2 |
463.4 |
466.6 |
469.8 |
473.0 |
459.0 |
455.0 |
451.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
10.0 |
11.1 |
13.0 |
14.8 |
17.2 |
19.8 |
22.2 |
24.7 |
27.5 |
46.8 |
72.8 |
105.0 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
4285.8 |
4872.9 |
5817.0 |
6779.8 |
7903.1 |
9188.6 |
10335.9 |
11609.7 |
13012.0 |
21469.0 |
33123.2 |
47372.0 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
17.9 |
19.3 |
20.9 |
22.6 |
24.6 |
26.0 |
26.4 |
26.9 |
27.7 |
32.9 |
37.9 |
43.7 |
Ind |
|
|
14.3 |
16.2 |
18.1 |
20.0 |
22.2 |
23.0 |
24.6 |
25.8 |
26.9 |
27.5 |
27.6 |
28.8 |
Tran |
|
13.1 |
14.8 |
16.4 |
18.5 |
18.9 |
20.7 |
20.8 |
21.1 |
22.0 |
22.6 |
22.8 |
27.6 |
Total |
|
45.3 |
50.3 |
55.4 |
61.1 |
65.7 |
69.7 |
71.8 |
73.8 |
76.6 |
83.0 |
88.3 |
100.1 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
22.5 |
24.1 |
25.7 |
28.0 |
29.2 |
31.6 |
31.0 |
29.8 |
30.1 |
30.9 |
30.5 |
35.6 |
Gas |
|
9.4 |
10.5 |
12.1 |
13.5 |
14.7 |
14.1 |
14.7 |
16.0 |
16.0 |
15.4 |
13.3 |
13.4 |
Solid |
|
5.3 |
6.5 |
7.2 |
8.0 |
8.6 |
9.5 |
10.8 |
11.9 |
13.4 |
12.3 |
10.3 |
8.7 |
Elec |
|
8.1 |
9.2 |
10.4 |
11.6 |
13.2 |
14.5 |
15.3 |
16.1 |
17.1 |
24.4 |
34.2 |
42.4 |
Total |
|
45.3 |
50.3 |
55.4 |
61.1 |
65.7 |
69.7 |
71.8 |
73.8 |
76.6 |
83.0 |
88.3 |
100.1 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.4 |
4.8 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
6.6 |
7.5 |
7.6 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
5.3 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
Gas |
|
1.7 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
5.1 |
5.3 |
Solid |
|
5.5 |
6.0 |
7.4 |
8.8 |
11.0 |
12.7 |
14.3 |
16.0 |
17.9 |
22.8 |
25.1 |
26.8 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
17.1 |
40.9 |
61.0 |
Total |
|
25.1 |
27.9 |
31.2 |
34.9 |
38.8 |
42.3 |
44.4 |
46.7 |
49.4 |
62.8 |
86.2 |
109.1 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
22.6 |
52.1 |
65.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
4.0 |
10.7 |
18.3 |
12.4 |
11.6 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.6 |
19.8 |
29.9 |
31.2 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
3.3 |
5.6 |
9.9 |
15.1 |
17.4 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
27.9 |
28.9 |
30.9 |
33.5 |
35.8 |
39.1 |
38.6 |
36.9 |
33.4 |
16.4 |
4.3 |
8.8 |
Gas |
|
11.1 |
13.4 |
15.8 |
17.9 |
19.5 |
19.3 |
19.6 |
18.4 |
15.9 |
11.1 |
3.3 |
1.3 |
Solid |
|
10.8 |
12.5 |
14.6 |
16.8 |
19.7 |
22.3 |
25.3 |
28.1 |
32.4 |
57.7 |
87.5 |
101.4 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
17.1 |
40.9 |
61.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
4.0 |
10.7 |
18.3 |
12.4 |
11.6 |
Total |
|
62.3 |
69.0 |
76.2 |
84.4 |
91.3 |
97.5 |
101.0 |
105.3 |
111.6 |
132.5 |
159.8 |
195.7 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
11.9 |
11.0 |
10.8 |
10.7 |
10.4 |
9.9 |
9.4 |
9.1 |
8.7 |
6.2 |
3.9 |
7.7 |
Gas |
|
9.7 |
12.9 |
14.9 |
15.9 |
16.2 |
16.3 |
16.2 |
15.4 |
14.2 |
7.7 |
3.3 |
1.3 |
Solid |
|
9.4 |
10.9 |
14.6 |
16.8 |
19.6 |
22.3 |
25.0 |
27.9 |
32.0 |
52.3 |
78.9 |
92.6 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
17.1 |
40.9 |
61.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.5 |
4.0 |
9.6 |
10.9 |
10.9 |
Total |
|
43.5 |
49.0 |
55.2 |
59.6 |
62.4 |
65.1 |
67.7 |
71.8 |
78.0 |
104.9 |
149.3 |
185.1 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.95 |
1.05 |
1.17 |
1.31 |
1.45 |
1.57 |
1.64 |
1.66 |
1.67 |
1.93 |
2.34 |
2.75 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
32.8 |
29.5 |
27.1 |
25.8 |
23.7 |
24.9 |
21.9 |
18.0 |
12.7 |
9.9 |
10.0 |
11.8 |
NOx |
|
|
Tg N |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.09 |
0.14 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.40 |
0.38 |
0.40 |
0.37 |
0.34 |
0.30 |
0.31 |
0.30 |
0.34 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
7.6 |
8.2 |
9.1 |
14.9 |
22.4 |
26.3 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
8.74 |
9.20 |
9.64 |
10.03 |
10.43 |
10.76 |
11.16 |
11.47 |
11.98 |
13.48 |
12.92 |
13.22 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.37 |
0.38 |
0.39 |
0.39 |
0.39 |
0.39 |
0.37 |
0.35 |
0.34 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.32 |
0.38 |
0.45 |
0.50 |
0.51 |
0.55 |
0.58 |
0.61 |
0.64 |
0.60 |
0.56 |
0.57 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.73 |
2.88 |
3.01 |
3.13 |
3.26 |
3.36 |
3.49 |
3.58 |
3.74 |
4.21 |
4.04 |
4.13 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.79 |
6.94 |
7.08 |
7.22 |
7.27 |
7.32 |
7.37 |
7.42 |
7.47 |
7.25 |
7.19 |
7.13 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
4.66 |
4.76 |
4.87 |
4.97 |
5.04 |
5.16 |
5.28 |
5.43 |
5.56 |
6.07 |
5.77 |
5.80 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.26 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.43 |
0.44 |
0.45 |
0.46 |
0.47 |
0.48 |
0.49 |
0.51 |
0.52 |
0.57 |
0.54 |
0.54 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
11.2 |
12.0 |
10.2 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
7.3 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
|
OECD-A |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
146.0 |
150.3 |
154.7 |
159.0 |
160.2 |
161.4 |
162.6 |
163.8 |
165.0 |
160.0 |
159.0 |
158.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
12.6 |
14.8 |
18.3 |
22.0 |
26.8 |
32.1 |
36.7 |
41.3 |
45.8 |
78.2 |
121.4 |
175.1 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
1842.6 |
2228.2 |
2827.8 |
3505.0 |
4291.3 |
5173.8 |
5960.6 |
6766.8 |
7565.2 |
12514.3 |
19296.4 |
27668.1 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
3.7 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
5.9 |
6.7 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
7.5 |
7.3 |
9.0 |
10.4 |
12.1 |
Ind |
|
|
4.6 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
7.1 |
7.8 |
8.5 |
8.2 |
8.2 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
9.4 |
10.2 |
Tran |
|
4.5 |
5.7 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
8.1 |
9.0 |
9.1 |
9.2 |
9.5 |
10.2 |
10.8 |
13.9 |
Total |
|
12.8 |
16.3 |
18.4 |
20.6 |
22.6 |
24.8 |
24.6 |
24.9 |
25.2 |
28.2 |
30.6 |
36.2 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
7.4 |
9.1 |
10.1 |
11.3 |
12.0 |
12.6 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
11.7 |
12.4 |
12.6 |
15.6 |
Gas |
|
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
Solid |
|
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
Elec |
|
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
5.5 |
7.1 |
7.7 |
8.3 |
8.9 |
11.6 |
15.2 |
18.2 |
Total |
|
12.8 |
16.3 |
18.4 |
20.6 |
22.6 |
24.8 |
24.6 |
24.9 |
25.2 |
28.2 |
30.6 |
36.2 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
5.2 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
5.7 |
5.3 |
3.6 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
Solid |
|
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
4.8 |
6.2 |
7.1 |
7.8 |
8.4 |
8.5 |
7.6 |
7.4 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.2 |
12.0 |
24.8 |
33.8 |
Total |
|
7.9 |
10.2 |
11.5 |
12.8 |
16.3 |
20.6 |
22.3 |
23.7 |
25.2 |
30.3 |
39.3 |
48.2 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
11.0 |
22.1 |
27.5 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
2.2 |
5.9 |
8.5 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.0 |
10.6 |
14.5 |
17.5 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
10.1 |
12.3 |
13.8 |
15.4 |
17.2 |
19.0 |
18.3 |
17.7 |
15.0 |
5.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
Gas |
|
1.7 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
5.3 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
Solid |
|
3.7 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
7.6 |
9.0 |
9.9 |
10.7 |
11.6 |
21.9 |
31.3 |
36.2 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.2 |
12.0 |
24.8 |
33.8 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
2.2 |
5.9 |
8.5 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
Total |
|
18.2 |
23.2 |
26.1 |
29.2 |
33.4 |
38.4 |
39.3 |
40.8 |
42.9 |
51.9 |
64.0 |
77.9 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
Gas |
|
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
Solid |
|
3.9 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.2 |
7.6 |
9.0 |
9.8 |
10.5 |
12.6 |
26.5 |
50.5 |
68.0 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.2 |
12.0 |
24.8 |
33.8 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
Total |
|
8.4 |
10.2 |
11.2 |
12.2 |
14.0 |
16.2 |
17.8 |
19.9 |
24.2 |
46.7 |
83.2 |
109.7 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.30 |
0.39 |
0.44 |
0.50 |
0.58 |
0.66 |
0.67 |
0.66 |
0.61 |
0.68 |
0.80 |
0.93 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.3 |
10.8 |
10.3 |
10.3 |
10.0 |
10.8 |
9.2 |
7.6 |
5.2 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
5.5 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
7.5 |
14.4 |
19.3 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.14 |
3.33 |
3.51 |
3.72 |
3.96 |
4.09 |
4.38 |
4.53 |
4.82 |
5.90 |
5.23 |
5.19 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.93 |
0.89 |
0.87 |
0.84 |
0.79 |
0.74 |
0.69 |
0.56 |
0.43 |
0.38 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.98 |
1.04 |
1.10 |
1.16 |
1.24 |
1.28 |
1.37 |
1.42 |
1.51 |
1.84 |
1.63 |
1.62 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.15 |
1.19 |
1.22 |
1.26 |
1.27 |
1.28 |
1.28 |
1.29 |
1.30 |
1.26 |
1.26 |
1.25 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
1.13 |
1.19 |
1.21 |
1.23 |
1.24 |
1.26 |
1.27 |
1.29 |
1.29 |
1.32 |
1.21 |
1.20 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
4.6 |
6.2 |
6.6 |
7.0 |
7.2 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
7.8 |
7.3 |
4.8 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
|
CPEUR |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
416.0 |
428.2 |
440.8 |
453.0 |
461.6 |
470.2 |
478.8 |
487.4 |
496.0 |
518.0 |
515.5 |
513.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
7.7 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
9.4 |
12.1 |
14.8 |
17.6 |
20.3 |
23.0 |
38.3 |
62.3 |
96.6 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
3193.2 |
3782.6 |
3869.2 |
4259.8 |
5595.4 |
6977.7 |
8406.7 |
9882.5 |
11405.1 |
19857.9 |
32106.3 |
49557.8 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
15.8 |
20.4 |
20.7 |
23.8 |
26.6 |
29.3 |
32.1 |
34.8 |
37.6 |
42.8 |
43.2 |
43.6 |
Ind |
|
|
34.4 |
41.1 |
43.1 |
47.2 |
51.4 |
55.6 |
59.9 |
64.1 |
68.3 |
62.2 |
50.7 |
42.5 |
Tran |
|
7.8 |
9.4 |
9.6 |
11.2 |
12.7 |
14.3 |
15.8 |
17.4 |
18.9 |
20.9 |
21.9 |
27.4 |
Total |
|
58.0 |
70.9 |
73.4 |
82.2 |
90.7 |
99.2 |
107.8 |
116.3 |
124.8 |
125.9 |
115.8 |
113.5 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
16.7 |
15.7 |
17.6 |
18.9 |
19.9 |
21.0 |
22.0 |
23.1 |
24.1 |
26.7 |
26.7 |
31.6 |
Gas |
|
16.9 |
25.1 |
25.1 |
29.9 |
33.3 |
36.6 |
40.0 |
43.3 |
46.7 |
43.9 |
34.0 |
29.9 |
Solid |
|
17.4 |
20.7 |
21.3 |
22.5 |
24.3 |
26.1 |
27.8 |
29.6 |
31.4 |
28.1 |
20.8 |
14.7 |
Elec |
|
7.0 |
9.4 |
9.4 |
10.9 |
13.2 |
15.6 |
17.9 |
20.3 |
22.6 |
27.2 |
34.3 |
37.3 |
Total |
|
58.0 |
70.9 |
73.4 |
82.2 |
90.7 |
99.2 |
107.8 |
116.3 |
124.8 |
125.9 |
115.8 |
113.5 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
Gas |
|
6.3 |
8.1 |
9.5 |
10.0 |
9.8 |
9.6 |
9.5 |
9.3 |
9.1 |
7.5 |
5.5 |
4.9 |
Solid |
|
9.1 |
11.8 |
11.3 |
13.7 |
18.3 |
22.9 |
27.5 |
32.1 |
36.7 |
34.2 |
28.7 |
25.0 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
7.5 |
22.4 |
44.4 |
56.9 |
Total |
|
22.4 |
28.5 |
28.8 |
32.6 |
39.0 |
45.4 |
51.9 |
58.3 |
64.7 |
73.6 |
86.7 |
95.1 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
35.1 |
89.4 |
121.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.9 |
6.7 |
25.2 |
28.3 |
28.3 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
4.3 |
18.3 |
20.3 |
14.4 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
14.4 |
22.9 |
28.1 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
19.5 |
18.3 |
20.5 |
22.2 |
22.7 |
23.2 |
23.6 |
24.1 |
24.1 |
12.9 |
10.4 |
21.3 |
Gas |
|
23.2 |
33.2 |
34.6 |
39.9 |
43.1 |
46.3 |
49.4 |
52.6 |
55.8 |
37.0 |
16.6 |
6.7 |
Solid |
|
26.5 |
32.5 |
32.6 |
36.2 |
42.6 |
49.0 |
55.3 |
61.7 |
68.1 |
97.4 |
138.9 |
161.3 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
7.5 |
22.4 |
44.4 |
56.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.9 |
6.7 |
25.2 |
28.3 |
28.3 |
Total |
|
73.4 |
90.0 |
92.8 |
103.9 |
117.0 |
130.0 |
143.1 |
156.2 |
169.3 |
199.9 |
242.7 |
278.7 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
26.0 |
21.0 |
23.3 |
22.6 |
21.8 |
21.0 |
20.1 |
19.3 |
18.5 |
12.9 |
10.4 |
21.3 |
Gas |
|
24.0 |
43.2 |
43.0 |
52.7 |
54.0 |
55.3 |
56.7 |
58.0 |
59.3 |
37.0 |
16.6 |
6.7 |
Solid |
|
26.7 |
31.7 |
32.7 |
37.8 |
48.4 |
59.0 |
69.6 |
80.2 |
90.8 |
195.4 |
364.7 |
488.3 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
7.5 |
22.4 |
44.4 |
56.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
4.2 |
6.3 |
8.4 |
10.5 |
25.2 |
28.4 |
28.4 |
Total |
|
80.9 |
102.0 |
104.1 |
118.7 |
133.7 |
148.7 |
163.7 |
178.7 |
193.7 |
297.9 |
468.6 |
605.8 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
1.38 |
1.65 |
1.72 |
1.92 |
2.14 |
2.36 |
2.57 |
2.79 |
3.00 |
3.25 |
3.95 |
4.57 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
21.1 |
25.4 |
26.1 |
29.9 |
26.5 |
23.0 |
19.6 |
16.2 |
12.8 |
11.0 |
11.5 |
13.9 |
NOx |
|
|
Tg N |
6.0 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
7.9 |
8.2 |
8.5 |
8.8 |
8.7 |
8.5 |
9.1 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.19 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.28 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.41 |
0.40 |
0.38 |
0.37 |
0.35 |
0.34 |
0.34 |
0.30 |
0.33 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
9.5 |
11.3 |
11.3 |
12.6 |
15.6 |
18.5 |
21.1 |
23.6 |
25.8 |
55.6 |
103.8 |
138.9 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
21.2 |
34.4 |
31.3 |
33.3 |
29.8 |
26.0 |
22.0 |
17.8 |
13.4 |
8.6 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
11.08 |
12.01 |
12.38 |
12.76 |
12.94 |
13.12 |
13.30 |
13.47 |
13.65 |
13.07 |
12.72 |
12.80 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.83 |
0.94 |
0.97 |
1.00 |
0.98 |
0.97 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.93 |
0.90 |
0.85 |
0.86 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.36 |
0.57 |
0.59 |
0.60 |
0.62 |
0.64 |
0.65 |
0.67 |
0.68 |
0.74 |
0.72 |
0.73 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.46 |
3.75 |
3.87 |
3.99 |
4.04 |
4.10 |
4.16 |
4.21 |
4.27 |
4.09 |
3.97 |
4.00 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.74 |
6.75 |
6.90 |
7.16 |
7.29 |
7.43 |
7.57 |
7.70 |
7.84 |
8.18 |
8.15 |
8.11 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
3.29 |
3.43 |
3.52 |
3.60 |
3.68 |
3.76 |
3.81 |
3.89 |
3.96 |
4.26 |
4.08 |
4.10 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.40 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.10 |
0.09 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
|
Tg S |
14.5 |
16.9 |
16.2 |
16.1 |
17.3 |
18.6 |
19.7 |
20.8 |
21.8 |
24.2 |
19.8 |
15.6 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
|
CPASIA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
1135.0 |
1223.4 |
1314.6 |
1403.0 |
1466.6 |
1530.2 |
1593.8 |
1657.4 |
1721.0 |
1858.0 |
1890.7 |
1924.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
7.0 |
18.2 |
44.6 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
446.6 |
569.7 |
784.0 |
1039.3 |
1393.5 |
1886.2 |
2530.1 |
3414.4 |
4624.7 |
12991.3 |
34402.6 |
85833.1 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
9.5 |
10.3 |
11.7 |
13.1 |
15.3 |
17.4 |
19.9 |
22.5 |
25.7 |
52.0 |
85.0 |
121.5 |
Ind |
|
|
8.3 |
9.8 |
11.7 |
14.0 |
16.9 |
20.6 |
24.6 |
29.5 |
35.6 |
52.7 |
68.2 |
80.0 |
Tran |
|
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
8.0 |
10.9 |
22.1 |
38.0 |
70.9 |
Total |
|
19.3 |
21.8 |
25.6 |
30.1 |
35.8 |
42.7 |
50.6 |
60.0 |
72.2 |
126.8 |
191.2 |
272.4 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
5.0 |
6.2 |
7.8 |
9.6 |
11.8 |
15.1 |
29.9 |
48.2 |
83.5 |
Gas |
|
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
5.5 |
9.7 |
13.1 |
18.4 |
Solid |
|
14.6 |
16.0 |
18.1 |
20.0 |
22.9 |
26.4 |
30.1 |
34.2 |
38.9 |
57.1 |
66.4 |
64.7 |
Elec |
|
1.9 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
6.2 |
7.9 |
9.9 |
12.7 |
30.1 |
63.5 |
105.8 |
Total |
|
19.3 |
21.8 |
25.6 |
30.1 |
35.8 |
42.7 |
50.6 |
60.0 |
72.2 |
126.8 |
191.2 |
272.4 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
4.8 |
7.3 |
11.6 |
Gas |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
7.7 |
9.4 |
13.1 |
Solid |
|
5.2 |
6.0 |
7.2 |
8.7 |
10.3 |
12.7 |
15.7 |
19.4 |
24.1 |
35.8 |
51.1 |
71.0 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
4.1 |
23.2 |
80.9 |
161.4 |
Total |
|
7.5 |
8.9 |
11.1 |
14.1 |
17.6 |
22.4 |
28.0 |
35.1 |
44.1 |
82.9 |
160.7 |
270.0 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
33.5 |
84.2 |
140.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.0 |
7.1 |
17.0 |
16.6 |
17.8 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.7 |
25.1 |
49.4 |
73.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.6 |
3.5 |
10.7 |
20.7 |
30.8 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
3.7 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
6.7 |
8.3 |
10.3 |
12.4 |
14.7 |
15.6 |
9.6 |
6.1 |
22.1 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
5.7 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
Solid |
|
19.8 |
22.0 |
25.3 |
28.7 |
33.2 |
39.1 |
45.8 |
53.6 |
64.4 |
126.4 |
201.7 |
276.4 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
4.1 |
23.2 |
80.9 |
161.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.0 |
7.1 |
17.0 |
16.6 |
17.8 |
Total |
|
24.9 |
28.3 |
33.7 |
40.4 |
48.5 |
58.9 |
70.7 |
85.6 |
105.9 |
194.2 |
319.2 |
491.3 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.2 |
6.1 |
6.7 |
7.2 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
7.7 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
16.2 |
Gas |
|
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
3.9 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
Solid |
|
18.9 |
22.0 |
25.3 |
28.6 |
33.2 |
39.1 |
45.8 |
53.7 |
64.4 |
92.7 |
120.9 |
148.7 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
4.1 |
23.2 |
80.9 |
161.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.8 |
5.0 |
11.9 |
13.4 |
13.4 |
Total |
|
25.6 |
30.2 |
35.1 |
40.3 |
47.3 |
56.4 |
65.8 |
78.1 |
94.9 |
148.2 |
234.2 |
353.3 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.57 |
0.65 |
0.76 |
0.88 |
1.04 |
1.25 |
1.47 |
1.72 |
2.01 |
3.47 |
5.24 |
7.40 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
5.4 |
6.2 |
7.8 |
9.8 |
9.0 |
9.6 |
9.5 |
9.7 |
10.1 |
15.6 |
23.3 |
36.0 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
5.7 |
6.7 |
8.0 |
9.6 |
14.0 |
17.1 |
22.0 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.17 |
0.25 |
0.32 |
0.44 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.12 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.23 |
0.41 |
0.60 |
0.92 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.7 |
7.8 |
8.7 |
9.5 |
10.7 |
12.2 |
13.9 |
15.8 |
18.3 |
26.4 |
34.4 |
42.3 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.90 |
5.21 |
5.47 |
5.73 |
5.99 |
6.24 |
6.49 |
6.75 |
7.01 |
8.57 |
8.54 |
8.70 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
16.90 |
17.06 |
17.13 |
17.19 |
17.25 |
17.27 |
17.23 |
17.22 |
17.17 |
16.93 |
16.42 |
16.68 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.32 |
0.38 |
0.42 |
0.45 |
0.48 |
0.50 |
0.52 |
0.53 |
0.54 |
0.57 |
0.56 |
0.57 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.53 |
1.63 |
1.71 |
1.79 |
1.87 |
1.95 |
2.03 |
2.11 |
2.19 |
2.68 |
2.67 |
2.72 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.11 |
0.15 |
0.17 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.16 |
1.47 |
1.99 |
2.61 |
3.45 |
4.61 |
6.11 |
8.13 |
10.87 |
14.68 |
14.94 |
15.20 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
24.91 |
24.18 |
23.25 |
22.32 |
21.34 |
20.34 |
19.34 |
18.37 |
17.49 |
17.94 |
17.64 |
17.80 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.88 |
0.86 |
0.83 |
0.81 |
0.78 |
0.76 |
0.79 |
0.77 |
0.78 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.20 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
0.18 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.32 |
2.26 |
2.17 |
2.08 |
1.99 |
1.90 |
1.80 |
1.71 |
1.63 |
1.67 |
1.65 |
1.66 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
6.9 |
9.5 |
10.9 |
12.3 |
14.2 |
17.0 |
20.1 |
23.7 |
27.9 |
47.1 |
50.6 |
51.3 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
|
M-EAST |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
109.0 |
130.8 |
153.2 |
175.0 |
205.4 |
235.8 |
266.2 |
296.6 |
327.0 |
470.0 |
532.4 |
603.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
5.4 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
7.9 |
9.1 |
10.4 |
11.6 |
22.0 |
46.0 |
89.7 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
589.6 |
718.6 |
938.4 |
1183.6 |
1488.9 |
1871.0 |
2433.3 |
3085.6 |
3806.7 |
10342.3 |
24467.3 |
54077.9 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
4.1 |
9.3 |
17.7 |
Ind |
|
|
4.6 |
5.6 |
7.1 |
8.7 |
11.2 |
13.9 |
17.3 |
20.8 |
24.8 |
38.2 |
42.3 |
43.4 |
Tran |
|
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
6.5 |
12.8 |
21.0 |
38.9 |
Total |
|
5.9 |
7.1 |
9.0 |
11.3 |
14.4 |
17.9 |
22.5 |
27.1 |
32.8 |
55.1 |
72.6 |
100.0 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
7.9 |
9.5 |
10.1 |
11.7 |
22.1 |
31.8 |
52.4 |
Gas |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
4.5 |
5.9 |
7.9 |
10.3 |
13.8 |
17.3 |
24.9 |
24.0 |
23.1 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Elec |
|
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
8.1 |
16.6 |
24.3 |
Total |
|
5.9 |
7.1 |
9.0 |
11.3 |
14.4 |
17.9 |
22.5 |
27.1 |
32.8 |
55.1 |
72.6 |
100.0 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
Gas |
|
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
7.6 |
8.7 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
10.3 |
32.9 |
53.4 |
Total |
|
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
5.7 |
7.2 |
8.8 |
10.6 |
12.5 |
21.9 |
44.4 |
67.0 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
5.1 |
19.2 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.2 |
0.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
0.0 |
1.3 |
18.8 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.3 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
7.3 |
8.9 |
10.4 |
12.5 |
13.1 |
14.8 |
25.5 |
30.6 |
56.2 |
Gas |
|
2.7 |
3.8 |
5.4 |
7.2 |
8.9 |
11.3 |
14.2 |
16.7 |
20.9 |
31.9 |
30.3 |
13.0 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
5.3 |
19.4 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
10.3 |
32.9 |
53.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
Total |
|
8.1 |
9.4 |
11.9 |
14.7 |
18.4 |
23.1 |
28.7 |
35.1 |
42.3 |
68.9 |
101.3 |
145.2 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
22.4 |
32.5 |
46.0 |
53.6 |
57.9 |
59.7 |
59.9 |
59.4 |
58.2 |
44.5 |
30.3 |
63.7 |
Gas |
|
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.8 |
9.3 |
13.3 |
19.7 |
56.0 |
30.3 |
13.1 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
10.3 |
32.9 |
53.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Total |
|
23.7 |
34.3 |
48.4 |
56.8 |
62.2 |
66.3 |
70.4 |
74.8 |
81.5 |
112.4 |
94.8 |
131.7 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.20 |
0.24 |
0.30 |
0.36 |
0.45 |
0.50 |
0.59 |
0.95 |
1.15 |
1.72 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
5.2 |
8.1 |
14.7 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
5.3 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.09 |
0.14 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.19 |
0.26 |
0.42 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
8.9 |
9.4 |
9.8 |
10.2 |
10.8 |
13.2 |
8.1 |
10.8 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.17 |
1.36 |
1.59 |
1.82 |
2.06 |
2.30 |
2.55 |
2.76 |
3.00 |
4.14 |
5.25 |
5.88 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
0.33 |
0.35 |
0.37 |
0.39 |
0.39 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
0.51 |
0.57 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.36 |
0.42 |
0.50 |
0.57 |
0.65 |
0.72 |
0.80 |
0.86 |
0.94 |
1.29 |
1.64 |
1.84 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.68 |
0.82 |
1.05 |
1.32 |
1.62 |
1.86 |
2.10 |
2.34 |
2.58 |
3.71 |
4.21 |
4.76 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
0.89 |
0.92 |
0.96 |
1.00 |
1.03 |
1.07 |
1.10 |
1.14 |
1.17 |
1.30 |
1.43 |
1.52 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
6.6 |
11.4 |
16.6 |
25.5 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
|
AFRICA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
559.0 |
661.6 |
767.4 |
870.0 |
1013.4 |
1156.8 |
1300.2 |
1443.6 |
1587.0 |
2275.0 |
2595.9 |
2962.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
3.6 |
8.3 |
17.2 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
431.4 |
496.1 |
611.3 |
728.0 |
891.9 |
1121.5 |
1501.5 |
2022.6 |
2735.8 |
8151.8 |
21498.9 |
51032.2 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
4.0 |
6.2 |
14.9 |
27.1 |
43.8 |
Ind |
|
|
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
5.6 |
7.5 |
10.1 |
21.8 |
36.6 |
53.7 |
Tran |
|
4.4 |
4.8 |
5.8 |
7.2 |
8.2 |
10.5 |
13.9 |
18.7 |
26.0 |
48.0 |
74.3 |
121.8 |
Total |
|
6.1 |
6.8 |
8.5 |
10.9 |
12.7 |
16.4 |
22.2 |
30.2 |
42.3 |
84.7 |
138.0 |
219.3 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
4.6 |
5.0 |
6.1 |
7.7 |
8.7 |
11.1 |
14.8 |
19.6 |
27.2 |
50.6 |
77.6 |
125.5 |
Gas |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.4 |
5.0 |
8.8 |
12.1 |
16.6 |
Solid |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
4.1 |
8.0 |
9.9 |
11.1 |
Elec |
|
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
4.3 |
6.0 |
17.3 |
38.4 |
66.1 |
Total |
|
6.1 |
6.8 |
8.5 |
10.9 |
12.7 |
16.4 |
22.2 |
30.2 |
42.3 |
84.7 |
138.0 |
219.3 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
7.0 |
Gas |
|
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
6.5 |
8.3 |
11.9 |
Solid |
|
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
5.3 |
7.4 |
17.6 |
29.8 |
43.2 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
12.8 |
47.9 |
98.2 |
Total |
|
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
6.8 |
8.6 |
11.3 |
14.9 |
20.1 |
45.2 |
96.0 |
167.6 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
38.2 |
68.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
19.9 |
43.2 |
42.0 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
12.4 |
50.3 |
61.8 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
13.2 |
25.5 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.5 |
5.8 |
6.9 |
8.6 |
10.0 |
12.9 |
17.1 |
22.4 |
30.8 |
42.6 |
31.6 |
70.7 |
Gas |
|
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
7.3 |
9.7 |
14.7 |
7.2 |
3.0 |
Solid |
|
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
5.9 |
8.2 |
11.5 |
26.6 |
77.9 |
122.7 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
12.8 |
47.9 |
98.2 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
19.9 |
43.2 |
42.0 |
Total |
|
8.6 |
9.6 |
11.7 |
14.7 |
17.7 |
22.6 |
30.3 |
41.2 |
57.3 |
120.5 |
213.6 |
343.9 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
10.8 |
13.9 |
16.7 |
22.0 |
28.0 |
36.6 |
42.0 |
45.1 |
46.5 |
39.6 |
28.7 |
63.3 |
Gas |
|
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
5.5 |
9.1 |
12.4 |
15.0 |
14.7 |
7.2 |
3.0 |
Solid |
|
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
5.9 |
8.2 |
10.9 |
14.1 |
18.2 |
22.3 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
12.8 |
47.9 |
98.2 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
5.1 |
13.8 |
33.0 |
37.1 |
37.1 |
Total |
|
16.4 |
19.5 |
22.6 |
28.6 |
36.2 |
47.8 |
59.0 |
73.7 |
90.6 |
118.1 |
144.8 |
231.2 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.22 |
0.27 |
0.32 |
0.40 |
0.54 |
0.73 |
1.00 |
1.67 |
2.66 |
4.45 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.0 |
12.1 |
14.7 |
18.1 |
14.8 |
15.1 |
13.9 |
13.5 |
14.1 |
19.3 |
29.5 |
47.2 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
5.1 |
8.7 |
12.5 |
18.6 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.08 |
0.11 |
0.20 |
0.30 |
0.46 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.16 |
0.19 |
0.17 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.22 |
0.27 |
0.48 |
0.72 |
1.14 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
5.2 |
6.3 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
6.0 |
7.2 |
8.0 |
8.6 |
7.5 |
5.0 |
9.5 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
8.55 |
9.82 |
11.43 |
13.17 |
15.04 |
16.52 |
18.79 |
20.20 |
22.62 |
33.10 |
42.44 |
48.07 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.37 |
1.56 |
1.79 |
2.02 |
2.26 |
2.47 |
2.62 |
2.78 |
2.92 |
3.39 |
3.92 |
4.12 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.23 |
0.34 |
0.41 |
0.45 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.67 |
3.07 |
3.57 |
4.12 |
4.70 |
5.16 |
5.87 |
6.31 |
7.07 |
10.34 |
13.26 |
15.02 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.09 |
0.15 |
0.21 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.20 |
1.37 |
1.68 |
1.98 |
2.40 |
2.99 |
3.96 |
5.26 |
7.02 |
17.97 |
20.51 |
23.40 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
140.61 |
143.97 |
147.16 |
150.62 |
154.67 |
159.07 |
163.63 |
167.94 |
171.81 |
180.65 |
174.47 |
175.15 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
3.16 |
3.27 |
3.37 |
3.49 |
3.62 |
3.76 |
3.91 |
4.05 |
4.18 |
4.50 |
4.35 |
4.40 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.26 |
0.28 |
0.27 |
0.28 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
1.12 |
1.15 |
1.18 |
1.20 |
1.24 |
1.27 |
1.31 |
1.34 |
1.37 |
1.45 |
1.40 |
1.40 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
13.12 |
13.44 |
13.73 |
14.06 |
14.44 |
14.85 |
15.27 |
15.67 |
16.04 |
16.86 |
16.28 |
16.35 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.22 |
0.24 |
0.26 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
0.34 |
0.37 |
0.40 |
0.43 |
0.48 |
0.43 |
0.42 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.15 |
0.24 |
0.36 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
10.2 |
23.3 |
19.9 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
4.5 |
6.6 |
|
L-AMER |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
402.0 |
443.9 |
487.1 |
529.0 |
564.8 |
600.6 |
636.4 |
672.2 |
708.0 |
816.0 |
842.1 |
869.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
10.8 |
23.3 |
47.2 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
791.3 |
904.3 |
1119.1 |
1331.6 |
1616.4 |
1995.4 |
2437.8 |
3011.5 |
3750.6 |
8816.6 |
19600.8 |
41054.1 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
6.1 |
7.1 |
14.4 |
24.1 |
36.9 |
Ind |
|
|
4.8 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
7.9 |
9.9 |
11.9 |
14.3 |
17.2 |
20.9 |
27.9 |
28.8 |
30.2 |
Tran |
|
4.6 |
4.9 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
7.2 |
8.5 |
10.0 |
11.6 |
14.0 |
19.0 |
23.3 |
31.5 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
12.6 |
15.1 |
17.8 |
21.0 |
25.0 |
29.5 |
34.9 |
42.0 |
61.3 |
76.2 |
98.6 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
8.0 |
8.5 |
9.7 |
11.1 |
12.7 |
14.8 |
16.9 |
18.7 |
21.8 |
30.5 |
35.7 |
45.8 |
Gas |
|
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
5.7 |
6.9 |
9.3 |
11.5 |
14.9 |
14.8 |
16.6 |
Solid |
|
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
Elec |
|
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
5.5 |
6.8 |
13.7 |
23.8 |
34.5 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
12.6 |
15.1 |
17.8 |
21.0 |
25.0 |
29.5 |
34.9 |
42.0 |
61.3 |
76.2 |
98.6 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
Gas |
|
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
Solid |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
5.2 |
10.6 |
15.4 |
19.5 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
7.3 |
24.1 |
44.4 |
Total |
|
4.8 |
5.5 |
6.6 |
7.8 |
9.7 |
12.1 |
14.6 |
17.8 |
22.2 |
38.1 |
62.8 |
90.8 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
10.3 |
19.1 |
26.6 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
5.5 |
12.0 |
17.9 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
8.9 |
9.2 |
10.6 |
12.1 |
14.1 |
16.6 |
19.0 |
20.9 |
24.3 |
33.0 |
37.9 |
49.0 |
Gas |
|
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.8 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
7.3 |
8.6 |
11.4 |
13.8 |
11.9 |
5.6 |
2.3 |
Solid |
|
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
7.1 |
12.8 |
17.3 |
21.2 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
7.3 |
24.1 |
44.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
10.3 |
19.1 |
26.6 |
Total |
|
14.9 |
16.5 |
19.7 |
23.2 |
27.7 |
33.4 |
39.5 |
47.7 |
58.6 |
90.5 |
122.3 |
163.6 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
14.1 |
12.8 |
11.9 |
15.8 |
19.9 |
28.2 |
39.1 |
49.5 |
59.4 |
72.7 |
49.4 |
73.2 |
Gas |
|
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.8 |
6.3 |
8.4 |
12.3 |
14.5 |
15.5 |
16.1 |
11.9 |
5.6 |
2.3 |
Solid |
|
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
7.3 |
24.1 |
44.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
7.7 |
20.7 |
49.4 |
55.7 |
55.7 |
Total |
|
20.5 |
20.9 |
22.1 |
28.4 |
35.8 |
49.6 |
64.3 |
85.1 |
110.7 |
158.9 |
156.5 |
200.1 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.21 |
0.23 |
0.27 |
0.32 |
0.39 |
0.47 |
0.56 |
0.67 |
0.83 |
1.11 |
1.22 |
1.47 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.7 |
12.3 |
14.3 |
16.7 |
13.3 |
13.2 |
11.2 |
9.4 |
7.8 |
8.1 |
9.9 |
12.9 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
5.1 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.14 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.22 |
0.26 |
0.34 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
5.6 |
7.4 |
9.1 |
10.6 |
12.0 |
7.8 |
10.9 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.97 |
17.91 |
19.94 |
22.11 |
24.32 |
26.08 |
28.43 |
29.89 |
32.09 |
40.01 |
42.08 |
43.42 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.12 |
3.09 |
3.25 |
3.39 |
3.53 |
3.65 |
3.68 |
3.72 |
3.72 |
3.44 |
3.33 |
3.23 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.22 |
0.29 |
0.32 |
0.34 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.99 |
5.60 |
6.23 |
6.91 |
7.60 |
8.15 |
8.89 |
9.34 |
10.03 |
12.50 |
13.15 |
13.57 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.10 |
2.39 |
2.93 |
3.46 |
4.16 |
4.74 |
5.03 |
5.31 |
5.59 |
6.45 |
6.65 |
6.87 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
54.59 |
56.37 |
57.19 |
57.85 |
58.15 |
58.31 |
58.35 |
58.26 |
58.38 |
62.11 |
61.37 |
59.26 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.70 |
1.76 |
1.79 |
1.81 |
1.83 |
1.84 |
1.84 |
1.85 |
1.86 |
2.00 |
1.98 |
1.92 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.44 |
0.45 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.47 |
0.47 |
0.47 |
0.47 |
0.47 |
0.50 |
0.49 |
0.47 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.09 |
5.26 |
5.34 |
5.40 |
5.43 |
5.44 |
5.45 |
5.44 |
5.45 |
5.80 |
5.73 |
5.53 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.35 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
4.7 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
7.8 |
9.3 |
11.0 |
12.5 |
15.1 |
21.3 |
24.3 |
28.9 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
|
SEASIA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
1408.0 |
1567.1 |
1730.9 |
1890.0 |
2039.2 |
2188.4 |
2337.6 |
2486.8 |
2636.0 |
3178.0 |
3353.2 |
3538.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
5.2 |
13.0 |
29.1 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
702.3 |
872.0 |
1168.5 |
1507.4 |
1955.2 |
2544.2 |
3312.6 |
4298.7 |
5540.1 |
16527.5 |
43614.5 |
102972.5 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
4.1 |
4.5 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
7.7 |
9.1 |
10.5 |
12.3 |
14.1 |
34.2 |
64.7 |
103.8 |
Ind |
|
|
4.0 |
5.4 |
7.5 |
10.0 |
13.4 |
18.1 |
24.2 |
32.2 |
42.7 |
75.7 |
103.2 |
130.7 |
Tran |
|
3.4 |
4.0 |
5.4 |
7.5 |
9.1 |
12.3 |
16.3 |
21.6 |
29.4 |
57.4 |
92.5 |
150.7 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
13.9 |
18.3 |
23.9 |
30.2 |
39.5 |
51.0 |
66.1 |
86.2 |
167.3 |
260.4 |
385.2 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
6.3 |
7.2 |
9.3 |
12.1 |
15.1 |
19.4 |
24.3 |
30.0 |
38.8 |
76.3 |
117.8 |
182.9 |
Gas |
|
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
4.7 |
6.7 |
9.3 |
13.8 |
18.8 |
34.2 |
44.8 |
61.2 |
Solid |
|
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
5.6 |
6.6 |
8.4 |
10.8 |
13.7 |
17.5 |
26.8 |
29.6 |
30.1 |
Elec |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
5.0 |
6.6 |
8.6 |
11.1 |
30.0 |
68.2 |
111.0 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
13.9 |
18.3 |
23.9 |
30.2 |
39.5 |
51.0 |
66.1 |
86.2 |
167.3 |
260.4 |
385.2 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
5.8 |
7.5 |
7.9 |
12.1 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
7.3 |
10.1 |
13.7 |
Solid |
|
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
5.8 |
7.6 |
10.2 |
13.6 |
18.1 |
32.9 |
54.6 |
74.4 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.4 |
22.4 |
87.2 |
169.3 |
Total |
|
5.1 |
6.0 |
7.8 |
10.4 |
13.5 |
17.5 |
23.0 |
29.9 |
38.9 |
80.8 |
171.9 |
283.0 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
19.6 |
135.1 |
196.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
6.9 |
19.6 |
49.5 |
49.0 |
41.5 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.7 |
29.9 |
103.2 |
129.4 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
5.7 |
12.2 |
26.1 |
52.8 |
74.5 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
7.2 |
8.1 |
10.4 |
13.5 |
17.2 |
22.4 |
28.2 |
34.7 |
40.9 |
53.9 |
22.5 |
65.6 |
Gas |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
4.6 |
6.4 |
8.6 |
11.4 |
11.5 |
10.7 |
15.4 |
2.1 |
0.4 |
Solid |
|
4.8 |
6.0 |
7.9 |
10.2 |
12.4 |
16.1 |
21.2 |
27.6 |
36.3 |
79.3 |
219.3 |
301.1 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.4 |
22.4 |
87.2 |
169.3 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
6.9 |
19.6 |
49.5 |
49.0 |
41.5 |
Total |
|
15.2 |
18.2 |
23.9 |
31.4 |
39.9 |
52.0 |
67.5 |
89.0 |
118.4 |
231.2 |
392.2 |
591.4 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.6 |
5.2 |
7.7 |
11.0 |
14.8 |
20.1 |
23.3 |
25.2 |
25.9 |
21.7 |
15.4 |
47.8 |
Gas |
|
2.4 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.6 |
6.0 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
7.0 |
4.1 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
Solid |
|
4.4 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
6.2 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
6.3 |
9.8 |
12.9 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.4 |
22.4 |
87.2 |
169.3 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.4 |
9.1 |
21.7 |
24.4 |
24.4 |
Total |
|
14.1 |
15.2 |
19.7 |
25.2 |
30.9 |
37.7 |
42.5 |
49.5 |
58.3 |
86.9 |
150.7 |
268.6 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.28 |
0.33 |
0.44 |
0.57 |
0.73 |
0.95 |
1.22 |
1.51 |
1.83 |
3.22 |
5.99 |
8.82 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
8.8 |
10.5 |
14.2 |
19.3 |
16.6 |
17.5 |
16.8 |
16.6 |
17.0 |
24.7 |
38.9 |
60.1 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
5.3 |
6.9 |
8.9 |
15.0 |
22.0 |
27.7 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.10 |
0.13 |
0.18 |
0.32 |
0.48 |
0.66 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.16 |
0.22 |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.26 |
0.30 |
0.34 |
0.65 |
0.99 |
1.54 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
7.0 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.89 |
17.24 |
19.01 |
21.02 |
23.27 |
25.63 |
28.25 |
30.80 |
33.68 |
48.36 |
52.65 |
55.26 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
33.30 |
35.35 |
37.56 |
40.37 |
43.35 |
45.21 |
47.32 |
49.13 |
51.57 |
60.76 |
59.35 |
56.91 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.23 |
0.32 |
0.41 |
0.50 |
0.57 |
0.66 |
0.74 |
0.88 |
1.00 |
1.25 |
1.34 |
1.43 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.97 |
5.39 |
5.94 |
6.57 |
7.27 |
8.01 |
8.83 |
9.62 |
10.53 |
15.11 |
16.45 |
17.27 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
0.14 |
0.25 |
0.34 |
0.42 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.88 |
2.31 |
3.05 |
3.89 |
4.99 |
6.42 |
8.26 |
10.60 |
13.51 |
25.11 |
26.49 |
27.95 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
48.43 |
52.67 |
55.04 |
57.19 |
59.73 |
62.44 |
65.41 |
67.94 |
70.75 |
78.60 |
77.60 |
77.18 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.70 |
1.86 |
1.97 |
2.08 |
2.20 |
2.32 |
2.46 |
2.58 |
2.72 |
3.17 |
3.20 |
3.23 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.39 |
0.42 |
0.44 |
0.46 |
0.48 |
0.50 |
0.52 |
0.54 |
0.57 |
0.63 |
0.62 |
0.62 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.52 |
4.92 |
5.14 |
5.34 |
5.57 |
5.83 |
6.11 |
6.34 |
6.60 |
7.34 |
7.24 |
7.20 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.24 |
0.23 |
0.21 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.11 |
0.15 |
0.26 |
0.35 |
0.45 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
2.5 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
6.5 |
7.8 |
10.7 |
15.0 |
20.7 |
43.8 |
57.0 |
38.2 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
5.7 |
7.7 |
9.8 |
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