Total |
|
|
|
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
4844.0 |
5293.1 |
5902.2 |
6419.7 |
7024.6 |
7629.6 |
8234.6 |
8839.6 |
9444.5 |
12495.0 |
15358.0 |
17592.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
8.1 |
11.6 |
16.8 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
16984.9 |
20107.0 |
23062.7 |
26987.4 |
32132.8 |
37874.3 |
43844.7 |
50286.0 |
57118.3 |
101703.7 |
177661.5 |
296234.8 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
68.7 |
77.7 |
82.6 |
90.6 |
101.0 |
110.7 |
120.2 |
128.6 |
136.5 |
198.3 |
264.8 |
337.3 |
Ind |
|
|
94.9 |
113.4 |
122.9 |
136.9 |
154.7 |
171.9 |
193.4 |
216.7 |
241.1 |
290.5 |
315.6 |
328.5 |
Tran |
|
61.3 |
68.5 |
75.8 |
87.6 |
93.7 |
107.9 |
121.5 |
136.3 |
152.7 |
203.9 |
259.9 |
363.9 |
Total |
|
224.9 |
259.6 |
281.3 |
315.1 |
349.4 |
390.5 |
435.1 |
481.6 |
530.3 |
692.7 |
840.3 |
1029.7 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
100.1 |
106.3 |
116.8 |
130.3 |
140.1 |
156.3 |
171.2 |
184.7 |
198.4 |
268.4 |
333.9 |
444.4 |
Gas |
|
46.4 |
60.0 |
63.9 |
73.2 |
82.0 |
89.2 |
98.8 |
109.0 |
119.6 |
142.9 |
146.4 |
152.5 |
Solid |
|
46.3 |
54.4 |
57.9 |
62.6 |
68.8 |
77.0 |
86.6 |
98.9 |
112.5 |
140.0 |
152.8 |
151.1 |
Elec |
|
32.1 |
38.9 |
42.7 |
49.0 |
58.5 |
68.0 |
78.5 |
89.0 |
99.8 |
141.4 |
207.2 |
281.7 |
Total |
|
224.9 |
259.6 |
281.3 |
315.1 |
349.4 |
390.5 |
435.1 |
481.6 |
530.3 |
692.7 |
840.3 |
1029.7 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
17.5 |
16.9 |
18.6 |
20.8 |
24.7 |
28.4 |
31.4 |
32.0 |
31.0 |
28.0 |
23.9 |
28.8 |
Gas |
|
13.7 |
20.0 |
22.9 |
25.5 |
28.4 |
31.1 |
33.5 |
33.9 |
33.9 |
38.8 |
39.1 |
42.9 |
Solid |
|
38.3 |
44.5 |
49.1 |
57.4 |
69.6 |
81.5 |
95.8 |
112.1 |
129.9 |
147.3 |
168.2 |
192.7 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
17.9 |
20.7 |
23.7 |
28.0 |
32.7 |
38.5 |
45.7 |
60.9 |
104.5 |
156.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
3.8 |
6.6 |
10.5 |
15.8 |
23.5 |
52.7 |
116.0 |
221.4 |
Total |
|
105.0 |
123.0 |
135.3 |
154.6 |
181.4 |
209.7 |
241.1 |
272.9 |
307.8 |
386.4 |
519.4 |
713.7 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
3.1 |
100.3 |
309.6 |
527.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
6.8 |
87.5 |
130.2 |
162.6 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
79.4 |
196.9 |
296.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
5.2 |
49.8 |
100.2 |
156.6 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
117.6 |
123.3 |
135.4 |
151.1 |
164.6 |
184.4 |
202.2 |
216.2 |
227.7 |
217.0 |
160.9 |
177.2 |
Gas |
|
60.1 |
80.0 |
86.8 |
98.7 |
110.2 |
120.0 |
131.8 |
142.3 |
148.3 |
131.9 |
85.3 |
38.8 |
Solid |
|
84.6 |
98.9 |
107.0 |
120.0 |
138.6 |
158.9 |
183.1 |
211.9 |
245.5 |
387.6 |
630.6 |
870.8 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
17.9 |
20.7 |
23.7 |
28.0 |
32.7 |
38.5 |
45.7 |
60.9 |
104.5 |
156.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
3.8 |
6.6 |
10.5 |
15.8 |
23.5 |
52.7 |
116.0 |
221.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
6.8 |
87.5 |
130.2 |
162.6 |
Total |
|
297.8 |
343.7 |
373.9 |
420.7 |
472.3 |
532.4 |
598.1 |
666.1 |
741.3 |
996.3 |
1295.2 |
1698.7 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
117.9 |
120.6 |
135.6 |
151.4 |
164.0 |
182.6 |
201.0 |
215.5 |
227.5 |
217.4 |
160.9 |
177.2 |
Gas |
|
58.6 |
85.7 |
86.7 |
98.9 |
105.5 |
114.4 |
127.0 |
138.7 |
148.5 |
131.7 |
85.2 |
38.7 |
Solid |
|
87.3 |
98.4 |
107.2 |
119.6 |
140.8 |
162.2 |
186.4 |
213.7 |
245.6 |
387.7 |
630.3 |
871.5 |
Hydro |
|
21.2 |
23.7 |
26.0 |
28.6 |
31.2 |
34.1 |
37.2 |
40.6 |
43.8 |
58.7 |
67.7 |
71.7 |
Nuclear |
|
14.3 |
17.2 |
17.9 |
20.7 |
23.7 |
28.0 |
32.7 |
38.5 |
45.7 |
60.9 |
104.5 |
156.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
3.8 |
6.6 |
10.5 |
15.8 |
23.5 |
52.7 |
116.0 |
221.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
6.8 |
87.5 |
130.2 |
162.6 |
Total |
|
299.3 |
346.3 |
374.2 |
420.8 |
469.3 |
528.4 |
595.3 |
663.5 |
741.4 |
996.6 |
1294.8 |
1699.3 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
5.20 |
5.96 |
6.49 |
7.29 |
8.18 |
9.20 |
10.32 |
11.46 |
12.61 |
15.76 |
20.18 |
25.85 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
126.40 |
129.61 |
133.58 |
146.67 |
154.21 |
162.83 |
164.22 |
159.83 |
177.53 |
247.66 |
334.51 |
474.16 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
23.44 |
25.47 |
26.20 |
28.46 |
30.74 |
33.68 |
37.14 |
41.16 |
46.10 |
58.97 |
71.09 |
85.40 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.34 |
0.39 |
0.43 |
0.49 |
0.59 |
0.67 |
0.74 |
0.77 |
0.79 |
0.89 |
0.95 |
1.05 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.56 |
1.70 |
1.80 |
2.01 |
2.13 |
2.44 |
2.75 |
3.10 |
3.49 |
4.90 |
6.37 |
8.80 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
31.0 |
35.0 |
36.9 |
39.9 |
45.5 |
50.8 |
56.5 |
62.8 |
69.9 |
110.3 |
179.3 |
248.0 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
38.7 |
54.0 |
50.7 |
54.6 |
54.6 |
55.4 |
56.2 |
55.9 |
54.6 |
49.9 |
34.8 |
30.8 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
|
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
|
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
76.55 |
83.89 |
91.40 |
98.32 |
107.56 |
115.17 |
124.00 |
131.50 |
140.45 |
176.28 |
221.49 |
257.73 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
57.53 |
59.93 |
64.87 |
68.49 |
73.24 |
76.14 |
79.42 |
81.74 |
85.22 |
98.99 |
102.21 |
106.61 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
1.71 |
2.17 |
2.40 |
2.72 |
2.91 |
3.15 |
3.36 |
3.67 |
3.93 |
4.46 |
5.12 |
5.77 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.20 |
0.25 |
0.27 |
0.31 |
0.33 |
0.36 |
0.38 |
0.42 |
0.45 |
0.51 |
0.58 |
0.66 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
23.92 |
26.22 |
28.56 |
30.72 |
33.61 |
35.99 |
38.75 |
41.09 |
43.89 |
55.09 |
69.21 |
80.54 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.17 |
0.20 |
0.23 |
0.26 |
0.31 |
0.36 |
0.42 |
0.57 |
0.69 |
0.75 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
35.16 |
37.68 |
39.40 |
42.06 |
45.55 |
49.40 |
54.47 |
60.48 |
66.91 |
106.23 |
143.00 |
161.59 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
1.19 |
1.29 |
1.31 |
1.29 |
1.30 |
1.30 |
1.32 |
1.31 |
1.34 |
0.91 |
0.33 |
-0.02 |
Biomass Burning |
|
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
288.63 |
296.92 |
303.71 |
310.81 |
319.32 |
327.86 |
336.81 |
344.63 |
352.51 |
376.18 |
377.34 |
381.78 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
8.24 |
8.56 |
8.85 |
9.15 |
9.49 |
9.83 |
10.18 |
10.50 |
10.83 |
11.93 |
12.22 |
12.63 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.52 |
0.54 |
0.56 |
0.57 |
0.60 |
0.62 |
0.64 |
0.66 |
0.68 |
0.75 |
0.77 |
0.79 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
2.31 |
2.38 |
2.43 |
2.49 |
2.55 |
2.62 |
2.69 |
2.76 |
2.82 |
3.01 |
3.02 |
3.05 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
26.94 |
27.71 |
28.35 |
29.01 |
29.80 |
30.60 |
31.44 |
32.17 |
32.90 |
35.11 |
35.22 |
35.63 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.69 |
0.75 |
0.79 |
0.82 |
0.87 |
0.92 |
0.98 |
1.02 |
1.06 |
1.14 |
1.09 |
1.06 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.42 |
0.50 |
0.54 |
0.60 |
0.67 |
0.73 |
0.80 |
0.88 |
0.96 |
1.15 |
1.27 |
1.34 |
CH4 from Domestic Sewage |
|
Tg CH4 |
22.9 |
25.0 |
27.9 |
30.3 |
33.2 |
36.0 |
38.9 |
41.8 |
44.6 |
59.0 |
72.5 |
83.1 |
N2O from Oceans |
|
Tg N |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
N2O from Tropical Soils |
|
Tg N |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
N2O from Temperate Soils |
|
Tg N |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
CH4 from Wetlands |
|
Tg CH4 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
115.0 |
CH4 from Termites |
|
Tg CH4 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
CH4 from Oceans &
Freshwaters |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
CH4 from Methane Hydrates |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
CO from Plants |
|
Tg C |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
43.0 |
CO from Oceans |
|
Tg C |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
CO from Wildfires |
|
Tg C |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
NOx from Natural Lands |
|
Tg N |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
NOx from lightning |
|
Tg N |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
6.52 |
7.41 |
7.97 |
8.77 |
9.70 |
10.77 |
11.95 |
13.13 |
14.37 |
17.25 |
21.19 |
26.59 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
12.18 |
12.90 |
13.29 |
13.81 |
14.27 |
14.75 |
15.20 |
15.72 |
16.18 |
17.21 |
18.08 |
18.98 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
469.31 |
506.13 |
524.93 |
550.41 |
580.23 |
606.99 |
637.47 |
665.51 |
696.94 |
850.82 |
1019.14 |
1167.80 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
52.68 |
55.03 |
56.05 |
58.60 |
61.23 |
64.50 |
68.32 |
72.67 |
77.94 |
91.91 |
104.31 |
119.03 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
488.03 |
499.53 |
510.29 |
530.47 |
546.53 |
563.69 |
574.03 |
577.46 |
603.04 |
696.84 |
784.85 |
928.94 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
65.37 |
75.90 |
77.23 |
80.41 |
86.70 |
94.35 |
104.38 |
116.22 |
129.42 |
174.07 |
196.21 |
181.66 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
56.3 |
65.4 |
65.9 |
68.1 |
73.0 |
79.5 |
88.1 |
98.4 |
109.9 |
150.6 |
170.3 |
154.3 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
6.8 |
8.1 |
8.9 |
9.9 |
11.1 |
12.2 |
13.6 |
15.1 |
16.7 |
20.4 |
22.9 |
24.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
239.0 |
248.9 |
263.5 |
275.4 |
288.1 |
300.8 |
313.6 |
326.3 |
339.0 |
373.4 |
416.8 |
462.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
19.7 |
22.8 |
25.9 |
29.9 |
33.8 |
37.5 |
40.2 |
42.2 |
43.3 |
60.4 |
77.9 |
95.3 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
4702.0 |
5662.6 |
6825.5 |
8226.7 |
9733.0 |
11277.1 |
12599.7 |
13770.7 |
14688.5 |
22561.0 |
32472.3 |
44031.8 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
15.1 |
15.4 |
16.2 |
17.1 |
19.0 |
20.1 |
21.5 |
22.3 |
22.9 |
27.3 |
30.1 |
33.6 |
Ind |
|
|
18.4 |
22.5 |
23.3 |
24.2 |
26.2 |
27.6 |
28.9 |
29.6 |
29.3 |
31.0 |
30.1 |
30.6 |
Tran |
|
21.0 |
22.0 |
23.7 |
26.3 |
27.0 |
29.9 |
31.2 |
31.4 |
31.1 |
31.7 |
30.9 |
36.6 |
Total |
|
54.5 |
59.9 |
63.2 |
67.6 |
72.2 |
77.6 |
81.6 |
83.3 |
83.3 |
90.0 |
91.1 |
100.8 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
28.3 |
29.6 |
31.1 |
33.6 |
34.8 |
37.1 |
38.2 |
37.6 |
36.5 |
38.5 |
37.3 |
42.5 |
Gas |
|
14.1 |
16.5 |
18.0 |
19.3 |
20.9 |
22.5 |
23.1 |
22.9 |
21.8 |
23.0 |
20.3 |
19.7 |
Solid |
|
3.8 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.7 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
Elec |
|
8.3 |
9.5 |
10.5 |
11.8 |
13.5 |
14.6 |
16.5 |
18.1 |
19.5 |
22.6 |
27.7 |
33.3 |
Total |
|
54.5 |
59.9 |
63.2 |
67.6 |
72.2 |
77.6 |
81.6 |
83.3 |
83.3 |
90.0 |
91.1 |
100.8 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
Gas |
|
2.2 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
Solid |
|
12.9 |
13.9 |
16.0 |
18.3 |
21.3 |
23.1 |
26.0 |
28.4 |
30.3 |
27.0 |
24.7 |
24.9 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
9.2 |
10.0 |
10.8 |
15.1 |
20.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
3.1 |
4.9 |
7.5 |
8.8 |
15.5 |
25.8 |
Total |
|
26.0 |
29.1 |
32.4 |
36.4 |
40.6 |
43.9 |
49.1 |
53.3 |
57.8 |
59.9 |
68.0 |
83.6 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
26.9 |
46.7 |
52.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
15.5 |
11.6 |
12.9 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
18.0 |
20.6 |
14.8 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
14.0 |
17.7 |
22.7 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
29.5 |
31.1 |
33.2 |
36.3 |
37.7 |
40.0 |
41.2 |
40.3 |
38.4 |
23.6 |
19.9 |
31.1 |
Gas |
|
16.3 |
19.9 |
21.7 |
23.4 |
25.1 |
26.8 |
27.3 |
26.6 |
23.8 |
14.6 |
7.4 |
1.6 |
Solid |
|
16.7 |
18.2 |
19.6 |
21.2 |
24.4 |
26.6 |
30.0 |
33.3 |
36.7 |
59.8 |
77.2 |
82.6 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
9.2 |
10.0 |
10.8 |
15.1 |
20.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
3.1 |
4.9 |
7.5 |
8.8 |
15.5 |
25.8 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
15.5 |
11.6 |
12.9 |
Total |
|
72.2 |
79.5 |
85.1 |
92.2 |
99.3 |
106.9 |
114.2 |
118.5 |
122.1 |
137.7 |
151.4 |
178.9 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
20.8 |
17.2 |
14.6 |
12.7 |
11.0 |
9.6 |
8.8 |
8.7 |
9.4 |
10.8 |
19.9 |
31.1 |
Gas |
|
16.3 |
18.2 |
18.9 |
18.9 |
18.4 |
18.0 |
17.9 |
17.2 |
16.1 |
9.0 |
3.9 |
1.6 |
Solid |
|
19.4 |
19.3 |
22.0 |
25.6 |
29.3 |
31.7 |
35.5 |
40.1 |
45.9 |
77.7 |
152.8 |
224.7 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
Nuclear |
|
6.4 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
9.2 |
10.0 |
10.8 |
15.1 |
20.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
3.1 |
4.9 |
7.5 |
8.8 |
15.5 |
25.8 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
7.0 |
10.4 |
12.9 |
Total |
|
66.2 |
65.0 |
66.1 |
68.5 |
70.8 |
72.8 |
77.9 |
84.3 |
93.7 |
128.7 |
222.3 |
321.0 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
1.21 |
1.33 |
1.43 |
1.55 |
1.69 |
1.81 |
1.92 |
1.98 |
1.99 |
2.17 |
2.43 |
2.68 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
21.8 |
19.8 |
18.1 |
16.8 |
14.7 |
15.7 |
16.4 |
16.5 |
16.5 |
12.5 |
12.4 |
14.7 |
NOx |
|
|
Tg N |
5.4 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.17 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.30 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.32 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
0.37 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
7.6 |
8.5 |
9.5 |
9.9 |
10.8 |
11.8 |
13.1 |
22.1 |
43.5 |
63.9 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
4.7 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
7.10 |
7.82 |
8.35 |
8.63 |
8.74 |
8.90 |
8.52 |
9.60 |
9.67 |
6.74 |
7.02 |
7.36 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.41 |
0.31 |
0.34 |
0.38 |
0.41 |
0.45 |
0.49 |
0.53 |
0.58 |
0.72 |
0.61 |
0.56 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.28 |
0.30 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.30 |
0.32 |
0.35 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.22 |
2.44 |
2.61 |
2.70 |
2.73 |
2.78 |
2.66 |
3.00 |
3.02 |
2.11 |
2.19 |
2.30 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
10.10 |
9.13 |
9.22 |
9.86 |
10.31 |
10.39 |
10.45 |
10.54 |
10.61 |
10.74 |
10.77 |
10.86 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.34 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.37 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.39 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.08 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.94 |
0.85 |
0.86 |
0.92 |
0.96 |
0.97 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.99 |
1.00 |
1.01 |
1.01 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.14 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
9.0 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
OECD-W |
|
|
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
430.0 |
438.9 |
454.8 |
466.9 |
477.6 |
488.4 |
499.1 |
509.9 |
520.6 |
544.5 |
586.1 |
638.5 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
10.0 |
11.1 |
12.3 |
13.7 |
15.3 |
17.1 |
18.5 |
20.0 |
21.6 |
30.9 |
40.2 |
49.5 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
4285.8 |
4872.9 |
5599.6 |
6403.5 |
7316.3 |
8331.4 |
9239.6 |
10211.4 |
11233.3 |
16837.4 |
23583.8 |
31598.9 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
17.9 |
19.3 |
20.8 |
22.2 |
24.1 |
25.7 |
26.3 |
26.4 |
26.5 |
30.9 |
34.1 |
38.1 |
Ind |
|
|
14.3 |
16.2 |
17.9 |
19.8 |
21.9 |
21.8 |
23.4 |
24.8 |
26.0 |
25.8 |
24.7 |
24.7 |
Tran |
|
13.1 |
14.8 |
16.3 |
18.3 |
18.7 |
20.5 |
20.9 |
21.2 |
21.2 |
20.9 |
19.9 |
23.3 |
Total |
|
45.3 |
50.3 |
55.0 |
60.3 |
64.7 |
68.0 |
70.6 |
72.4 |
73.7 |
77.6 |
78.7 |
86.1 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
22.5 |
24.1 |
25.7 |
27.9 |
29.0 |
31.5 |
31.5 |
30.6 |
29.4 |
29.3 |
27.9 |
31.5 |
Gas |
|
9.4 |
10.5 |
11.7 |
12.7 |
14.0 |
12.4 |
12.9 |
13.5 |
13.6 |
14.2 |
12.7 |
12.6 |
Solid |
|
5.3 |
6.5 |
7.3 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
9.8 |
10.9 |
12.4 |
14.1 |
14.2 |
13.5 |
12.2 |
Elec |
|
8.1 |
9.2 |
10.3 |
11.5 |
12.9 |
14.3 |
15.3 |
15.9 |
16.6 |
19.9 |
24.6 |
29.8 |
Total |
|
45.3 |
50.3 |
55.0 |
60.3 |
64.7 |
68.0 |
70.6 |
72.4 |
73.7 |
77.6 |
78.7 |
86.1 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.4 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
5.6 |
3.7 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
Gas |
|
1.7 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
Solid |
|
5.5 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.8 |
11.1 |
12.3 |
13.7 |
15.2 |
17.3 |
17.9 |
18.5 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
8.6 |
9.0 |
9.6 |
10.4 |
11.1 |
16.5 |
22.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
6.1 |
11.3 |
19.2 |
Total |
|
25.1 |
27.9 |
31.1 |
34.5 |
38.5 |
42.0 |
44.5 |
46.4 |
48.3 |
53.1 |
62.6 |
77.2 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
15.6 |
39.6 |
55.1 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
10.7 |
9.5 |
10.4 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
11.4 |
24.5 |
26.7 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
7.6 |
10.4 |
14.6 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
27.9 |
28.9 |
30.6 |
32.9 |
34.8 |
38.0 |
38.3 |
37.0 |
34.8 |
21.6 |
5.7 |
7.3 |
Gas |
|
11.1 |
13.4 |
15.1 |
16.5 |
18.4 |
17.2 |
17.8 |
17.9 |
17.1 |
10.5 |
5.8 |
1.4 |
Solid |
|
10.8 |
12.5 |
14.3 |
16.2 |
18.6 |
20.9 |
23.2 |
26.2 |
29.8 |
47.1 |
71.0 |
85.8 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
8.6 |
9.0 |
9.6 |
10.4 |
11.1 |
16.5 |
22.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
6.1 |
11.3 |
19.2 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
10.7 |
9.5 |
10.4 |
Total |
|
62.3 |
69.0 |
75.8 |
83.3 |
90.3 |
95.7 |
99.8 |
102.9 |
105.8 |
118.1 |
130.9 |
157.8 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
11.9 |
11.0 |
10.7 |
10.7 |
10.4 |
9.9 |
9.3 |
9.0 |
8.5 |
6.3 |
3.9 |
7.3 |
Gas |
|
9.7 |
12.9 |
14.8 |
15.8 |
16.0 |
15.9 |
15.8 |
15.2 |
14.2 |
7.9 |
3.4 |
1.4 |
Solid |
|
9.4 |
10.9 |
12.8 |
15.0 |
17.5 |
19.9 |
22.7 |
25.9 |
29.7 |
42.6 |
61.5 |
73.9 |
Hydro |
|
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
Nuclear |
|
4.3 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
8.6 |
9.0 |
9.6 |
10.4 |
11.1 |
16.5 |
22.5 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
6.1 |
11.3 |
19.2 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
5.0 |
7.4 |
9.2 |
Total |
|
43.5 |
49.0 |
54.1 |
59.2 |
62.4 |
65.3 |
68.3 |
71.9 |
76.2 |
90.0 |
115.1 |
144.6 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.95 |
1.05 |
1.15 |
1.26 |
1.39 |
1.48 |
1.56 |
1.61 |
1.65 |
1.74 |
1.99 |
2.33 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
32.8 |
29.5 |
27.0 |
25.6 |
23.5 |
24.7 |
21.9 |
17.9 |
12.3 |
9.4 |
9.0 |
10.3 |
NOx |
|
|
Tg N |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.15 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
0.39 |
0.37 |
0.39 |
0.37 |
0.33 |
0.28 |
0.28 |
0.27 |
0.30 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
6.2 |
6.9 |
7.6 |
8.5 |
12.1 |
17.5 |
21.0 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
8.74 |
9.20 |
9.74 |
10.17 |
10.69 |
11.12 |
11.67 |
12.13 |
12.89 |
15.19 |
16.84 |
18.37 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
0.38 |
0.39 |
0.41 |
0.43 |
0.44 |
0.45 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.50 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.32 |
0.38 |
0.45 |
0.50 |
0.51 |
0.54 |
0.58 |
0.62 |
0.65 |
0.65 |
0.68 |
0.72 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.73 |
2.88 |
3.04 |
3.18 |
3.34 |
3.47 |
3.65 |
3.79 |
4.03 |
4.75 |
5.26 |
5.74 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.79 |
6.94 |
7.19 |
7.38 |
7.55 |
7.72 |
7.89 |
8.06 |
8.23 |
8.60 |
9.26 |
10.09 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
4.66 |
4.75 |
4.85 |
4.93 |
5.01 |
5.11 |
5.21 |
5.33 |
5.45 |
5.68 |
5.78 |
5.94 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.43 |
0.44 |
0.45 |
0.46 |
0.47 |
0.48 |
0.49 |
0.50 |
0.51 |
0.53 |
0.54 |
0.55 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
11.2 |
12.0 |
10.2 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.0 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
|
OECD-A |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
146.0 |
150.3 |
156.0 |
161.2 |
164.8 |
168.3 |
171.8 |
175.4 |
178.9 |
206.4 |
233.8 |
258.7 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
12.6 |
14.8 |
17.3 |
20.2 |
23.6 |
27.2 |
30.2 |
33.0 |
35.5 |
48.2 |
61.0 |
73.9 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
1842.6 |
2228.2 |
2693.4 |
3258.2 |
3892.8 |
4580.9 |
5189.3 |
5787.0 |
6343.1 |
9938.8 |
14255.8 |
19130.7 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
3.7 |
4.8 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
6.5 |
7.1 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
6.9 |
8.7 |
9.8 |
11.1 |
Ind |
|
|
4.6 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
7.6 |
8.3 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
7.9 |
8.3 |
8.5 |
8.8 |
Tran |
|
4.5 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
7.5 |
7.9 |
8.8 |
9.0 |
9.1 |
8.8 |
9.8 |
10.0 |
12.4 |
Total |
|
12.8 |
16.3 |
17.9 |
20.2 |
22.0 |
24.2 |
24.4 |
24.6 |
23.6 |
26.8 |
28.3 |
32.3 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
7.4 |
9.1 |
9.9 |
11.2 |
11.6 |
12.3 |
12.0 |
11.8 |
11.0 |
12.4 |
12.3 |
14.6 |
Gas |
|
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Solid |
|
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
Elec |
|
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
5.5 |
7.0 |
7.6 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
10.2 |
12.2 |
14.3 |
Total |
|
12.8 |
16.3 |
17.9 |
20.2 |
22.0 |
24.2 |
24.4 |
24.6 |
23.6 |
26.8 |
28.3 |
32.3 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.7 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
Solid |
|
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
6.9 |
7.5 |
7.6 |
6.7 |
6.3 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
5.2 |
6.3 |
10.3 |
12.8 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
5.1 |
8.5 |
13.2 |
Total |
|
7.9 |
10.2 |
11.3 |
12.5 |
16.0 |
20.2 |
22.1 |
23.2 |
24.1 |
26.7 |
31.3 |
37.7 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
7.0 |
19.5 |
25.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
5.0 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6.3 |
13.2 |
16.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
10.1 |
12.3 |
13.4 |
15.0 |
16.3 |
18.0 |
17.8 |
17.1 |
15.5 |
9.0 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
Gas |
|
1.7 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
4.3 |
2.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
Solid |
|
3.7 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
8.3 |
9.1 |
9.8 |
10.5 |
17.3 |
28.6 |
33.3 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
5.2 |
6.3 |
10.3 |
12.8 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
5.1 |
8.5 |
13.2 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
5.0 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
Total |
|
18.2 |
23.2 |
25.6 |
28.6 |
32.5 |
37.4 |
38.9 |
39.7 |
39.7 |
46.1 |
54.4 |
65.9 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Gas |
|
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
Solid |
|
3.9 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
7.2 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
9.7 |
11.4 |
19.5 |
35.4 |
52.9 |
Hydro |
|
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Nuclear |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
5.2 |
6.3 |
10.3 |
12.8 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
5.1 |
8.5 |
13.2 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
Total |
|
8.4 |
10.2 |
11.2 |
12.5 |
14.4 |
16.8 |
18.2 |
19.8 |
22.7 |
36.1 |
60.0 |
85.5 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.30 |
0.39 |
0.43 |
0.48 |
0.54 |
0.62 |
0.64 |
0.64 |
0.61 |
0.63 |
0.75 |
0.85 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.3 |
10.8 |
10.2 |
10.2 |
9.8 |
10.5 |
9.1 |
7.4 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.17 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.14 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
5.5 |
10.1 |
15.1 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.14 |
3.33 |
3.25 |
3.35 |
3.46 |
3.47 |
3.63 |
3.65 |
3.82 |
4.01 |
4.38 |
4.67 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.94 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.87 |
0.84 |
0.81 |
0.77 |
0.65 |
0.56 |
0.52 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.98 |
1.04 |
1.02 |
1.05 |
1.08 |
1.08 |
1.13 |
1.14 |
1.19 |
1.25 |
1.37 |
1.46 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.15 |
1.19 |
1.23 |
1.27 |
1.30 |
1.33 |
1.36 |
1.39 |
1.41 |
1.63 |
1.85 |
2.04 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
1.13 |
1.18 |
1.21 |
1.23 |
1.24 |
1.25 |
1.27 |
1.28 |
1.29 |
1.28 |
1.29 |
1.33 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
4.6 |
6.2 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
7.3 |
6.2 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
|
CPEUR |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
416.0 |
428.2 |
444.5 |
458.9 |
475.0 |
491.1 |
507.3 |
523.4 |
539.5 |
632.3 |
743.8 |
855.8 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
7.7 |
8.8 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
10.0 |
11.6 |
13.2 |
14.7 |
16.3 |
21.5 |
26.6 |
31.3 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
3193.2 |
3782.6 |
3610.4 |
3839.8 |
4732.3 |
5676.2 |
6671.6 |
7718.4 |
8816.6 |
13574.4 |
19747.5 |
26810.2 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
15.8 |
20.4 |
19.8 |
22.1 |
24.2 |
26.2 |
28.3 |
30.3 |
32.4 |
35.3 |
34.6 |
33.4 |
Ind |
|
|
34.4 |
41.1 |
41.5 |
44.6 |
47.6 |
50.6 |
53.6 |
56.6 |
59.6 |
51.7 |
40.2 |
31.5 |
Tran |
|
7.8 |
9.4 |
9.3 |
10.6 |
11.8 |
13.0 |
14.2 |
15.4 |
16.6 |
17.1 |
17.0 |
19.9 |
Total |
|
58.0 |
70.9 |
70.6 |
77.3 |
83.6 |
89.8 |
96.1 |
102.3 |
108.6 |
104.1 |
91.8 |
84.8 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
16.7 |
15.7 |
17.1 |
17.9 |
18.6 |
19.2 |
19.9 |
20.5 |
21.2 |
22.1 |
21.5 |
23.7 |
Gas |
|
16.9 |
25.1 |
23.4 |
27.0 |
28.9 |
30.8 |
32.7 |
34.6 |
36.5 |
34.1 |
26.8 |
22.8 |
Solid |
|
17.4 |
20.7 |
21.0 |
22.1 |
23.9 |
25.7 |
27.4 |
29.2 |
31.0 |
28.4 |
23.2 |
17.6 |
Elec |
|
7.0 |
9.4 |
9.1 |
10.3 |
12.2 |
14.1 |
16.1 |
18.0 |
19.9 |
19.5 |
20.3 |
20.7 |
Total |
|
58.0 |
70.9 |
70.6 |
77.3 |
83.6 |
89.8 |
96.1 |
102.3 |
108.6 |
104.1 |
91.8 |
84.8 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
Gas |
|
6.3 |
8.1 |
8.8 |
8.9 |
8.5 |
8.0 |
7.6 |
7.1 |
6.7 |
5.0 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
Solid |
|
9.1 |
11.8 |
10.8 |
12.9 |
16.5 |
20.1 |
23.6 |
27.2 |
30.8 |
25.7 |
19.1 |
15.3 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
5.0 |
6.3 |
7.5 |
8.7 |
9.3 |
11.0 |
12.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
7.6 |
11.3 |
15.9 |
Total |
|
22.4 |
28.5 |
27.6 |
31.0 |
36.3 |
41.5 |
46.8 |
52.0 |
57.3 |
54.3 |
50.9 |
52.2 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
14.7 |
54.3 |
86.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
13.0 |
19.3 |
24.2 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
12.1 |
14.5 |
10.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
12.2 |
18.3 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
19.5 |
18.3 |
19.8 |
21.0 |
21.6 |
22.2 |
22.8 |
23.4 |
24.0 |
13.0 |
9.3 |
15.8 |
Gas |
|
23.2 |
33.2 |
32.2 |
35.9 |
37.4 |
38.8 |
40.3 |
41.7 |
43.2 |
39.1 |
18.1 |
7.3 |
Solid |
|
26.5 |
32.5 |
31.8 |
35.0 |
40.4 |
45.8 |
51.3 |
56.7 |
62.1 |
68.8 |
96.6 |
119.6 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
5.0 |
6.3 |
7.5 |
8.7 |
9.3 |
11.0 |
12.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
7.6 |
11.3 |
15.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
13.0 |
19.3 |
24.2 |
Total |
|
73.4 |
90.0 |
89.1 |
98.0 |
107.7 |
117.4 |
127.2 |
136.9 |
146.6 |
154.5 |
169.3 |
198.9 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
26.0 |
21.0 |
23.3 |
22.4 |
21.6 |
20.7 |
19.9 |
19.0 |
18.2 |
13.0 |
9.3 |
15.8 |
Gas |
|
24.0 |
43.2 |
39.0 |
45.9 |
48.6 |
51.3 |
54.1 |
56.8 |
59.5 |
39.6 |
18.1 |
7.3 |
Solid |
|
26.7 |
31.7 |
31.6 |
34.4 |
44.4 |
54.5 |
64.5 |
74.6 |
84.6 |
143.7 |
257.2 |
380.3 |
Hydro |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Nuclear |
|
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
5.0 |
6.3 |
7.5 |
8.7 |
9.3 |
11.0 |
12.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
7.6 |
11.3 |
15.9 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
13.0 |
19.3 |
24.2 |
Total |
|
80.9 |
102.0 |
99.2 |
108.8 |
123.0 |
137.1 |
151.3 |
165.4 |
179.6 |
229.9 |
329.9 |
459.6 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
1.38 |
1.65 |
1.65 |
1.81 |
1.98 |
2.15 |
2.32 |
2.49 |
2.66 |
2.56 |
2.88 |
3.42 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
21.1 |
25.4 |
25.2 |
28.4 |
31.5 |
30.2 |
28.1 |
25.2 |
27.1 |
27.9 |
27.6 |
31.9 |
NOx |
|
|
Tg N |
6.0 |
6.6 |
6.7 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
7.8 |
8.0 |
8.3 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.12 |
0.09 |
0.08 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.28 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
0.39 |
0.42 |
0.46 |
0.50 |
0.53 |
0.57 |
0.56 |
0.53 |
0.58 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
9.5 |
11.3 |
10.9 |
11.5 |
14.4 |
17.1 |
19.6 |
21.9 |
24.1 |
40.9 |
73.2 |
108.2 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
21.2 |
34.4 |
28.7 |
29.4 |
27.1 |
24.3 |
21.1 |
17.5 |
13.4 |
9.1 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
11.08 |
12.01 |
12.20 |
12.69 |
12.98 |
13.26 |
13.54 |
13.83 |
14.11 |
14.01 |
15.86 |
17.70 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.83 |
0.94 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
1.06 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.36 |
0.57 |
0.51 |
0.60 |
0.62 |
0.64 |
0.66 |
0.67 |
0.69 |
0.77 |
0.83 |
0.91 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.46 |
3.75 |
3.81 |
3.97 |
4.06 |
4.14 |
4.23 |
4.32 |
4.41 |
4.38 |
4.96 |
5.53 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.74 |
6.75 |
6.46 |
6.85 |
7.51 |
7.76 |
8.02 |
8.27 |
8.52 |
9.99 |
11.75 |
13.52 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
3.29 |
3.42 |
3.51 |
3.59 |
3.69 |
3.79 |
3.84 |
3.94 |
4.02 |
4.38 |
4.61 |
4.91 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.21 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.38 |
0.41 |
0.43 |
0.46 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.11 |
0.08 |
0.06 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
|
Tg S |
14.5 |
16.9 |
16.0 |
15.7 |
16.7 |
17.8 |
18.7 |
19.7 |
20.6 |
19.2 |
18.0 |
14.6 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
|
CPASIA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
1135.0 |
1223.4 |
1372.3 |
1480.8 |
1560.8 |
1640.9 |
1720.9 |
1800.9 |
1881.0 |
2093.7 |
2241.5 |
2384.8 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
4.1 |
8.5 |
17.0 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
446.6 |
569.7 |
737.5 |
948.3 |
1228.2 |
1600.7 |
2086.5 |
2720.4 |
3533.7 |
8500.3 |
19157.9 |
40517.3 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
9.5 |
10.3 |
11.5 |
12.9 |
14.6 |
16.7 |
18.8 |
20.9 |
22.8 |
42.3 |
61.8 |
79.8 |
Ind |
|
|
8.3 |
9.8 |
11.5 |
13.5 |
16.2 |
19.2 |
22.8 |
26.9 |
31.3 |
42.1 |
48.2 |
55.1 |
Tran |
|
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
5.6 |
7.1 |
9.0 |
16.2 |
24.4 |
40.5 |
Total |
|
19.3 |
21.8 |
25.2 |
29.2 |
34.1 |
40.2 |
47.2 |
54.9 |
63.1 |
100.6 |
134.4 |
175.4 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.8 |
5.7 |
7.1 |
8.8 |
10.6 |
12.6 |
22.0 |
31.8 |
48.6 |
Gas |
|
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
6.7 |
8.6 |
10.3 |
Solid |
|
14.6 |
16.0 |
17.8 |
19.6 |
22.1 |
25.1 |
28.4 |
32.0 |
35.5 |
51.2 |
59.1 |
63.8 |
Elec |
|
1.9 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
7.4 |
9.1 |
11.1 |
20.7 |
34.9 |
52.7 |
Total |
|
19.3 |
21.8 |
25.2 |
29.2 |
34.1 |
40.2 |
47.2 |
54.9 |
63.1 |
100.6 |
134.4 |
175.4 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
5.2 |
Gas |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
6.7 |
Solid |
|
5.2 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
8.4 |
9.6 |
11.4 |
13.7 |
16.6 |
19.8 |
24.8 |
30.5 |
38.5 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
4.6 |
8.9 |
18.1 |
31.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
7.3 |
18.6 |
40.0 |
Total |
|
7.5 |
8.9 |
10.9 |
13.7 |
16.7 |
20.8 |
25.8 |
31.9 |
38.5 |
58.7 |
87.7 |
133.1 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
23.4 |
52.0 |
82.2 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
8.1 |
9.9 |
13.2 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
16.0 |
30.7 |
42.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
6.0 |
10.9 |
16.2 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
3.7 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
6.4 |
7.6 |
9.3 |
11.3 |
13.2 |
14.7 |
8.9 |
4.9 |
11.8 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
6.5 |
5.5 |
3.1 |
0.8 |
Solid |
|
19.8 |
22.0 |
24.9 |
28.0 |
31.7 |
36.5 |
42.1 |
48.6 |
56.0 |
99.4 |
141.6 |
184.5 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
4.6 |
8.9 |
18.1 |
31.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
7.3 |
18.6 |
40.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
8.1 |
9.9 |
13.2 |
Total |
|
24.9 |
28.3 |
33.1 |
39.2 |
46.1 |
55.1 |
65.6 |
77.7 |
90.9 |
148.2 |
207.6 |
293.1 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.2 |
6.1 |
6.7 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
7.8 |
7.6 |
7.4 |
7.2 |
5.1 |
4.3 |
11.8 |
Gas |
|
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
4.3 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
Solid |
|
18.9 |
22.0 |
24.9 |
27.9 |
31.7 |
36.5 |
42.1 |
48.7 |
56.1 |
84.3 |
98.4 |
110.6 |
Hydro |
|
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
4.6 |
8.9 |
18.1 |
31.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
7.3 |
18.6 |
40.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
6.1 |
9.1 |
11.4 |
Total |
|
25.6 |
30.2 |
34.6 |
39.5 |
45.3 |
52.9 |
61.8 |
71.6 |
82.8 |
126.0 |
161.8 |
217.3 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.57 |
0.65 |
0.74 |
0.86 |
0.99 |
1.15 |
1.35 |
1.56 |
1.78 |
2.76 |
3.72 |
4.90 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
5.4 |
6.2 |
7.6 |
9.4 |
11.0 |
12.3 |
13.4 |
14.2 |
17.3 |
30.0 |
43.7 |
67.0 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
4.6 |
5.4 |
6.2 |
7.2 |
8.3 |
11.2 |
13.1 |
16.3 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.20 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.20 |
0.24 |
0.29 |
0.35 |
0.59 |
0.83 |
1.25 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
6.7 |
7.8 |
8.6 |
9.3 |
10.2 |
11.4 |
12.8 |
14.3 |
16.0 |
24.0 |
28.0 |
31.5 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.90 |
5.21 |
5.66 |
5.99 |
6.24 |
6.46 |
6.69 |
6.92 |
7.21 |
8.05 |
8.46 |
8.60 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
16.90 |
17.06 |
17.77 |
18.02 |
17.92 |
17.76 |
17.59 |
17.42 |
17.42 |
15.35 |
14.45 |
14.31 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.32 |
0.38 |
0.44 |
0.48 |
0.51 |
0.53 |
0.54 |
0.55 |
0.56 |
0.52 |
0.52 |
0.52 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.53 |
1.63 |
1.77 |
1.87 |
1.95 |
2.02 |
2.09 |
2.16 |
2.25 |
2.51 |
2.64 |
2.69 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.16 |
1.47 |
1.88 |
2.39 |
3.06 |
3.94 |
5.08 |
6.54 |
8.40 |
16.54 |
17.71 |
18.84 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
24.91 |
24.31 |
23.52 |
22.69 |
21.67 |
20.60 |
19.54 |
18.51 |
17.65 |
17.22 |
16.97 |
16.95 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.93 |
0.93 |
0.92 |
0.90 |
0.88 |
0.85 |
0.82 |
0.79 |
0.77 |
0.74 |
0.73 |
0.73 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.20 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
0.18 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.32 |
2.27 |
2.20 |
2.12 |
2.02 |
1.92 |
1.82 |
1.73 |
1.65 |
1.61 |
1.58 |
1.58 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
6.9 |
9.5 |
10.7 |
12.0 |
13.4 |
15.6 |
18.3 |
21.2 |
24.4 |
37.5 |
37.2 |
37.2 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
|
M-EAST |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
109.0 |
130.8 |
156.1 |
178.0 |
212.1 |
246.3 |
280.5 |
314.7 |
348.9 |
480.3 |
600.0 |
692.5 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
7.1 |
7.7 |
8.4 |
13.2 |
21.7 |
34.2 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
589.6 |
718.6 |
873.3 |
1062.4 |
1293.0 |
1576.6 |
1979.1 |
2433.5 |
2924.2 |
6341.8 |
13023.1 |
23661.9 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
5.6 |
9.5 |
Ind |
|
|
4.6 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
8.3 |
10.4 |
12.6 |
15.6 |
18.5 |
21.2 |
27.6 |
28.8 |
27.2 |
Tran |
|
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
5.4 |
8.7 |
13.0 |
20.7 |
Total |
|
5.9 |
7.1 |
8.7 |
10.6 |
13.3 |
16.1 |
20.2 |
24.1 |
27.8 |
39.1 |
47.4 |
57.4 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
7.3 |
8.7 |
9.7 |
10.4 |
16.3 |
21.9 |
30.4 |
Gas |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
6.9 |
9.1 |
11.5 |
14.1 |
18.1 |
18.3 |
17.1 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
Elec |
|
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
4.7 |
7.1 |
9.7 |
Total |
|
5.9 |
7.1 |
8.7 |
10.6 |
13.3 |
16.1 |
20.2 |
24.1 |
27.8 |
39.1 |
47.4 |
57.4 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
Gas |
|
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
3.5 |
8.3 |
14.8 |
Total |
|
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
8.0 |
9.4 |
10.7 |
12.8 |
18.0 |
25.9 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
5.7 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.6 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.3 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.3 |
5.5 |
6.2 |
7.0 |
8.4 |
9.6 |
11.4 |
12.6 |
13.3 |
18.8 |
23.6 |
27.7 |
Gas |
|
2.7 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
6.5 |
8.3 |
10.4 |
13.3 |
16.2 |
18.7 |
23.0 |
23.1 |
20.7 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
5.9 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
3.5 |
8.3 |
14.8 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
Total |
|
8.1 |
9.4 |
11.5 |
13.7 |
17.0 |
20.8 |
25.8 |
30.6 |
35.3 |
47.3 |
58.4 |
74.5 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
22.4 |
32.5 |
43.8 |
52.1 |
56.8 |
58.9 |
59.4 |
58.8 |
57.8 |
45.1 |
29.5 |
27.7 |
Gas |
|
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
4.2 |
6.2 |
9.6 |
14.3 |
36.7 |
41.3 |
20.7 |
Solid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Hydro |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
3.5 |
8.3 |
14.8 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
Total |
|
23.7 |
34.3 |
46.0 |
54.9 |
60.2 |
63.8 |
66.6 |
70.1 |
74.8 |
87.4 |
82.6 |
67.9 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.19 |
0.23 |
0.28 |
0.33 |
0.41 |
0.48 |
0.53 |
0.69 |
0.78 |
0.97 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
8.3 |
13.2 |
19.2 |
30.5 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
0.13 |
0.16 |
0.19 |
0.28 |
0.38 |
0.58 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
6.6 |
7.9 |
8.6 |
9.1 |
9.4 |
9.7 |
10.1 |
11.0 |
9.3 |
6.5 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.17 |
1.36 |
1.56 |
1.71 |
2.00 |
2.23 |
2.44 |
2.56 |
2.69 |
2.56 |
3.25 |
3.77 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.32 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.37 |
0.37 |
0.35 |
0.23 |
0.27 |
0.31 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.36 |
0.42 |
0.49 |
0.53 |
0.62 |
0.70 |
0.76 |
0.80 |
0.84 |
0.80 |
1.02 |
1.18 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.68 |
0.82 |
0.98 |
1.19 |
1.43 |
1.73 |
2.15 |
2.49 |
2.76 |
3.79 |
4.74 |
5.47 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
0.89 |
0.92 |
0.96 |
0.98 |
1.02 |
1.06 |
1.08 |
1.10 |
1.11 |
1.04 |
1.12 |
1.19 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
8.4 |
10.6 |
15.0 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
|
AFRICA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
559.0 |
661.6 |
772.7 |
880.9 |
1066.1 |
1251.2 |
1436.3 |
1621.5 |
1806.6 |
2890.4 |
3903.1 |
4651.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.6 |
6.0 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
431.4 |
496.1 |
574.7 |
663.4 |
788.3 |
961.8 |
1264.8 |
1668.2 |
2203.0 |
5782.7 |
14005.1 |
27960.7 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
11.9 |
21.1 |
30.7 |
Ind |
|
|
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
5.3 |
6.8 |
9.1 |
18.3 |
29.9 |
37.9 |
Tran |
|
4.4 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
9.6 |
12.9 |
17.3 |
22.8 |
38.1 |
56.3 |
82.0 |
Total |
|
6.1 |
6.8 |
8.3 |
10.3 |
11.9 |
15.2 |
20.7 |
27.8 |
37.3 |
68.3 |
107.3 |
150.6 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.9 |
7.3 |
8.2 |
10.3 |
13.7 |
18.2 |
24.0 |
40.4 |
59.5 |
85.6 |
Gas |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
4.0 |
7.4 |
11.1 |
12.6 |
Solid |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
4.1 |
7.7 |
11.5 |
13.2 |
Elec |
|
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.2 |
12.8 |
25.2 |
39.2 |
Total |
|
6.1 |
6.8 |
8.3 |
10.3 |
11.9 |
15.2 |
20.7 |
27.8 |
37.3 |
68.3 |
107.3 |
150.6 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
Gas |
|
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
6.7 |
8.5 |
Solid |
|
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
5.1 |
7.2 |
14.9 |
24.9 |
32.9 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
4.7 |
8.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
5.0 |
15.4 |
34.1 |
Total |
|
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
6.5 |
7.8 |
10.4 |
13.8 |
18.0 |
33.6 |
60.2 |
94.7 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
21.2 |
62.3 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
7.4 |
30.0 |
38.0 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.5 |
28.8 |
62.5 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
9.9 |
17.8 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.5 |
5.8 |
6.7 |
8.2 |
9.4 |
11.9 |
15.9 |
21.0 |
27.3 |
40.4 |
33.9 |
27.5 |
Gas |
|
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
6.2 |
7.9 |
12.5 |
7.9 |
3.3 |
Solid |
|
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
5.6 |
7.9 |
11.3 |
22.6 |
57.6 |
108.4 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
4.7 |
8.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
5.0 |
15.4 |
34.1 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
7.4 |
30.0 |
38.0 |
Total |
|
8.6 |
9.6 |
11.4 |
13.9 |
16.7 |
20.9 |
28.1 |
37.6 |
50.2 |
93.0 |
154.7 |
226.1 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
10.8 |
13.9 |
16.6 |
20.9 |
25.4 |
33.9 |
40.2 |
43.9 |
45.8 |
40.4 |
27.6 |
27.4 |
Gas |
|
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
6.3 |
10.4 |
13.8 |
15.7 |
7.9 |
3.3 |
Solid |
|
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
5.4 |
7.3 |
10.4 |
12.5 |
14.6 |
16.5 |
Hydro |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
Nuclear |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
4.7 |
8.2 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
5.0 |
15.4 |
34.1 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.3 |
17.0 |
25.3 |
31.6 |
Total |
|
16.4 |
19.5 |
22.4 |
27.1 |
32.7 |
43.2 |
53.6 |
64.1 |
74.9 |
95.7 |
100.8 |
127.7 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.21 |
0.26 |
0.30 |
0.38 |
0.51 |
0.68 |
0.91 |
1.50 |
2.20 |
3.29 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.0 |
12.1 |
14.2 |
17.2 |
19.3 |
21.0 |
23.6 |
25.6 |
34.0 |
57.1 |
84.3 |
121.7 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
5.0 |
8.5 |
13.4 |
16.3 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.08 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
0.21 |
0.26 |
0.35 |
0.46 |
0.61 |
1.01 |
1.49 |
2.14 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
5.4 |
6.6 |
7.6 |
8.3 |
7.8 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
8.55 |
9.82 |
11.79 |
13.07 |
15.53 |
17.23 |
19.29 |
20.18 |
21.64 |
27.57 |
40.24 |
50.26 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.37 |
1.56 |
1.90 |
2.06 |
2.45 |
2.71 |
2.87 |
2.95 |
2.99 |
3.07 |
3.70 |
4.22 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.16 |
0.19 |
0.22 |
0.26 |
0.30 |
0.52 |
0.62 |
0.71 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.67 |
3.07 |
3.68 |
4.08 |
4.85 |
5.39 |
6.03 |
6.30 |
6.76 |
8.62 |
12.57 |
15.71 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.07 |
0.12 |
0.15 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.20 |
1.37 |
1.58 |
1.81 |
2.14 |
2.58 |
3.36 |
4.38 |
5.71 |
14.35 |
30.84 |
36.74 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
140.61 |
144.04 |
147.30 |
150.82 |
155.27 |
160.04 |
164.95 |
169.44 |
173.30 |
179.72 |
174.85 |
176.23 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
3.16 |
3.27 |
3.38 |
3.49 |
3.64 |
3.80 |
3.96 |
4.10 |
4.23 |
4.46 |
4.37 |
4.46 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
0.26 |
0.27 |
0.28 |
0.27 |
0.28 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
1.12 |
1.15 |
1.18 |
1.21 |
1.24 |
1.28 |
1.32 |
1.36 |
1.39 |
1.44 |
1.40 |
1.41 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
13.12 |
13.44 |
13.75 |
14.08 |
14.49 |
14.94 |
15.40 |
15.81 |
16.18 |
16.77 |
16.32 |
16.45 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.22 |
0.24 |
0.26 |
0.29 |
0.32 |
0.35 |
0.38 |
0.41 |
0.44 |
0.47 |
0.43 |
0.42 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.12 |
0.20 |
0.25 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
7.6 |
19.7 |
16.5 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
|
L-AMER |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
402.0 |
443.9 |
502.2 |
550.4 |
606.6 |
662.8 |
719.1 |
775.3 |
831.5 |
1132.3 |
1425.2 |
1662.0 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
5.6 |
8.9 |
14.2 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
791.3 |
904.3 |
1046.4 |
1204.2 |
1414.0 |
1689.1 |
2023.9 |
2445.1 |
2967.4 |
6330.0 |
12718.7 |
23655.2 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
11.5 |
18.4 |
27.2 |
Ind |
|
|
4.8 |
5.3 |
6.4 |
7.5 |
9.1 |
11.0 |
13.2 |
15.8 |
18.6 |
23.6 |
23.8 |
22.8 |
Tran |
|
4.6 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
7.8 |
9.1 |
10.6 |
12.2 |
15.4 |
17.8 |
22.7 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
12.6 |
14.6 |
16.8 |
19.2 |
22.9 |
27.0 |
31.8 |
36.8 |
50.5 |
60.0 |
72.7 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
8.0 |
8.5 |
9.5 |
10.7 |
11.7 |
13.7 |
15.7 |
17.7 |
19.5 |
25.8 |
29.7 |
35.9 |
Gas |
|
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
6.1 |
7.5 |
9.3 |
12.1 |
12.3 |
13.2 |
Solid |
|
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
Elec |
|
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
10.1 |
15.4 |
21.3 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
12.6 |
14.6 |
16.8 |
19.2 |
22.9 |
27.0 |
31.8 |
36.8 |
50.5 |
60.0 |
72.7 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
Gas |
|
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
Solid |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
6.7 |
9.3 |
11.6 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
5.4 |
9.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
2.1 |
5.6 |
12.0 |
Total |
|
4.8 |
5.5 |
6.2 |
7.3 |
8.9 |
10.9 |
13.4 |
16.1 |
19.1 |
29.0 |
41.2 |
56.3 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
2.6 |
12.7 |
19.4 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
7.7 |
12.6 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
8.9 |
9.2 |
10.2 |
11.5 |
12.8 |
15.1 |
17.4 |
19.5 |
21.3 |
27.3 |
30.9 |
37.5 |
Gas |
|
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
6.2 |
7.5 |
9.0 |
10.8 |
13.0 |
6.2 |
2.6 |
Solid |
|
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
4.1 |
6.0 |
9.2 |
11.9 |
13.9 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
5.4 |
9.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
2.1 |
5.6 |
12.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
2.6 |
12.7 |
19.4 |
Total |
|
14.9 |
16.5 |
18.8 |
21.9 |
25.3 |
30.4 |
36.3 |
42.8 |
50.1 |
71.5 |
90.8 |
114.5 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
14.1 |
12.8 |
11.9 |
14.9 |
18.0 |
23.9 |
33.9 |
44.4 |
55.1 |
74.3 |
51.1 |
37.7 |
Gas |
|
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
5.5 |
6.7 |
9.0 |
12.5 |
14.5 |
15.7 |
13.0 |
6.2 |
2.6 |
Solid |
|
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
Hydro |
|
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
14.8 |
18.1 |
19.7 |
Nuclear |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
5.4 |
9.4 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
2.1 |
5.6 |
12.0 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.0 |
25.5 |
38.0 |
47.4 |
Total |
|
20.5 |
20.9 |
21.5 |
26.6 |
32.0 |
41.5 |
56.7 |
71.1 |
86.9 |
134.4 |
127.2 |
132.0 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.21 |
0.23 |
0.26 |
0.30 |
0.34 |
0.42 |
0.50 |
0.60 |
0.70 |
0.93 |
0.96 |
1.08 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
11.7 |
12.3 |
13.8 |
15.8 |
16.8 |
17.1 |
16.7 |
15.7 |
18.2 |
23.3 |
26.9 |
34.2 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.17 |
0.19 |
0.22 |
0.25 |
0.29 |
0.34 |
0.43 |
0.49 |
0.62 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
6.4 |
8.2 |
9.9 |
12.4 |
8.2 |
5.8 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.97 |
17.91 |
19.46 |
21.33 |
23.95 |
25.95 |
28.62 |
30.24 |
32.76 |
43.93 |
56.41 |
66.57 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
3.12 |
3.09 |
3.05 |
3.10 |
3.27 |
3.39 |
3.43 |
3.45 |
3.46 |
3.44 |
3.67 |
3.98 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.31 |
0.46 |
0.58 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.99 |
5.60 |
6.08 |
6.67 |
7.49 |
8.11 |
8.95 |
9.45 |
10.24 |
13.73 |
17.63 |
20.80 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
2.10 |
2.39 |
2.75 |
3.14 |
3.66 |
4.34 |
5.16 |
6.13 |
6.57 |
8.95 |
11.26 |
13.13 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
54.62 |
56.42 |
57.67 |
58.88 |
60.07 |
61.23 |
62.34 |
63.30 |
64.47 |
72.33 |
73.98 |
73.07 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.70 |
1.76 |
1.80 |
1.84 |
1.88 |
1.92 |
1.96 |
2.00 |
2.04 |
2.31 |
2.39 |
2.39 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.44 |
0.45 |
0.46 |
0.47 |
0.48 |
0.49 |
0.50 |
0.51 |
0.52 |
0.58 |
0.59 |
0.58 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
5.10 |
5.27 |
5.38 |
5.50 |
5.61 |
5.71 |
5.82 |
5.91 |
6.02 |
6.75 |
6.90 |
6.82 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.37 |
0.42 |
0.43 |
0.41 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
4.7 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
8.4 |
10.0 |
11.5 |
13.1 |
17.0 |
19.2 |
21.9 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
|
SEASIA |
|
1985 |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2050 |
2075 |
2100 |
Population |
|
|
Million |
1408.0 |
1567.1 |
1780.1 |
1967.3 |
2173.5 |
2379.8 |
2586.0 |
2792.3 |
2998.5 |
4141.7 |
5207.6 |
5986.7 |
GNP/Cap |
|
|
Thousand 90US$ |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
5.5 |
9.8 |
GNP |
|
|
Billion 90US$ |
702.3 |
872.0 |
1102.1 |
1380.9 |
1734.9 |
2180.7 |
2790.1 |
3531.4 |
4408.5 |
11837.3 |
28697.3 |
58868.2 |
Secondary Consumption by
Sector |
|
EJ |
|
R/C |
|
|
4.1 |
4.5 |
5.4 |
6.2 |
7.2 |
8.3 |
9.7 |
11.1 |
12.4 |
27.6 |
49.3 |
73.9 |
Ind |
|
|
4.0 |
5.4 |
7.1 |
9.5 |
12.7 |
16.9 |
22.5 |
29.5 |
38.1 |
62.1 |
81.4 |
89.9 |
Tran |
|
3.4 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
7.1 |
8.5 |
11.3 |
15.1 |
19.8 |
25.6 |
46.0 |
70.6 |
105.8 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
13.9 |
17.8 |
22.8 |
28.4 |
36.5 |
47.3 |
60.4 |
76.1 |
135.7 |
201.3 |
269.6 |
Secondary Consumption by Fuel |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
6.3 |
7.2 |
9.1 |
11.5 |
14.1 |
17.8 |
22.7 |
28.0 |
33.8 |
61.6 |
92.0 |
131.6 |
Gas |
|
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
4.2 |
5.9 |
8.2 |
11.1 |
14.9 |
25.8 |
34.9 |
42.8 |
Solid |
|
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
8.1 |
10.3 |
13.5 |
17.5 |
27.4 |
34.6 |
34.5 |
Elec |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
7.8 |
9.9 |
20.9 |
39.8 |
60.7 |
Total |
|
11.5 |
13.9 |
17.8 |
22.8 |
28.4 |
36.5 |
47.3 |
60.4 |
76.1 |
135.7 |
201.3 |
269.6 |
Electricity Generation |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
4.4 |
6.0 |
Gas |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
4.7 |
6.2 |
7.7 |
Solid |
|
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
5.2 |
6.6 |
8.7 |
11.6 |
15.2 |
23.3 |
35.1 |
44.7 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
8.8 |
20.9 |
36.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
7.2 |
21.5 |
46.4 |
Total |
|
5.1 |
6.0 |
7.8 |
9.9 |
12.6 |
16.0 |
21.0 |
26.8 |
34.0 |
58.3 |
99.5 |
153.0 |
Synfuel Consumption |
|
EJ |
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
12.6 |
76.2 |
157.6 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.9 |
25.2 |
33.0 |
38.7 |
Synfuel Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
12.1 |
64.6 |
119.4 |
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
1.8 |
18.8 |
27.9 |
49.6 |
Primary Energy Use |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
7.2 |
8.1 |
10.2 |
12.8 |
16.0 |
20.3 |
26.1 |
32.1 |
38.4 |
54.4 |
31.8 |
18.2 |
Gas |
|
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
5.7 |
7.7 |
10.4 |
13.6 |
16.0 |
11.7 |
13.2 |
0.9 |
Solid |
|
4.8 |
6.0 |
7.7 |
9.8 |
11.7 |
14.7 |
19.1 |
25.2 |
33.0 |
63.3 |
145.9 |
236.8 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
8.8 |
20.9 |
36.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
7.2 |
21.5 |
46.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.9 |
25.2 |
33.0 |
38.7 |
Total |
|
15.2 |
18.2 |
23.5 |
29.9 |
37.4 |
47.8 |
62.2 |
79.4 |
100.6 |
180.0 |
277.8 |
389.1 |
Energy Production |
|
EJ |
|
Liquid |
|
5.6 |
5.2 |
7.3 |
9.9 |
12.8 |
17.6 |
21.6 |
24.1 |
25.3 |
22.3 |
15.1 |
18.1 |
Gas |
|
2.4 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
4.3 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
Solid |
|
4.4 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
5.3 |
5.2 |
7.6 |
9.4 |
Hydro |
|
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
9.4 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
Nuclear |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
8.8 |
20.9 |
36.1 |
Solar |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
7.2 |
21.5 |
46.4 |
Biomass |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
11.2 |
16.7 |
20.8 |
Total |
|
14.1 |
15.2 |
19.1 |
23.7 |
28.5 |
35.0 |
40.9 |
45.2 |
49.8 |
68.4 |
95.1 |
143.7 |
Emissions from Combustion |
|
CO2 |
|
Gt C |
0.28 |
0.33 |
0.43 |
0.54 |
0.68 |
0.86 |
1.12 |
1.43 |
1.78 |
2.78 |
4.47 |
6.33 |
CO |
|
Tg C |
8.8 |
10.5 |
13.7 |
18.4 |
22.1 |
25.2 |
28.3 |
30.4 |
39.1 |
70.3 |
107.3 |
158.9 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
5.2 |
6.6 |
8.4 |
13.4 |
18.2 |
23.9 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
0.15 |
0.19 |
0.23 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.16 |
0.21 |
0.25 |
0.33 |
0.44 |
0.56 |
0.72 |
1.28 |
1.94 |
2.83 |
Emissions from Mining - CH4 |
|
Coal |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
Gas |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
CO2 Emission Coefficient |
|
Oil |
|
kg C/GJ |
18.4 |
|
Gas |
|
kg C/GJ |
15.0 |
|
Coal |
|
kg C/GJ |
25.3 |
|
Emissions from Agriculture |
|
CH4 from Enteric Fermentation |
|
Tg CH4 |
15.89 |
17.24 |
19.39 |
21.37 |
23.98 |
26.56 |
29.60 |
32.40 |
35.65 |
54.22 |
69.02 |
80.43 |
CH4 from Rice |
|
Tg CH4 |
33.30 |
35.35 |
39.17 |
42.32 |
46.52 |
49.17 |
52.41 |
54.78 |
58.22 |
74.10 |
77.53 |
81.14 |
N2O from Fertilizer Soils |
|
Tg N |
0.23 |
0.32 |
0.43 |
0.51 |
0.59 |
0.68 |
0.77 |
0.93 |
1.06 |
1.30 |
1.57 |
1.86 |
N2O from Nitric Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
0.21 |
CH4 from Animal Wastes |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.97 |
5.39 |
6.06 |
6.68 |
7.49 |
8.30 |
9.25 |
10.12 |
11.14 |
16.94 |
21.57 |
25.13 |
Other Emissions |
|
CO2 from Cement |
|
Gt C |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
0.20 |
0.26 |
0.29 |
CH4 from Landfills |
|
Tg CH4 |
1.88 |
2.31 |
2.89 |
3.58 |
4.45 |
5.54 |
7.01 |
8.79 |
10.86 |
27.91 |
41.14 |
47.30 |
CO2 from Deforestation |
|
Gt C |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
Biomass Burning |
|
CO |
|
Tg C |
48.43 |
52.76 |
55.47 |
57.82 |
61.04 |
64.40 |
68.12 |
71.18 |
74.60 |
83.78 |
87.97 |
91.29 |
NOx |
|
Tg N |
1.70 |
1.87 |
2.00 |
2.11 |
2.26 |
2.41 |
2.58 |
2.73 |
2.90 |
3.48 |
3.77 |
4.05 |
N2O |
|
Tg N |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.22 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
SO2 |
|
Tg S |
0.39 |
0.42 |
0.44 |
0.46 |
0.49 |
0.52 |
0.54 |
0.57 |
0.60 |
0.67 |
0.70 |
0.73 |
CH4 |
|
Tg CH4 |
4.52 |
4.92 |
5.18 |
5.40 |
5.70 |
6.01 |
6.36 |
6.64 |
6.96 |
7.82 |
8.21 |
8.52 |
N2O from Land Clearing |
|
Tg N |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.24 |
0.22 |
N2O from Adipic Acid |
|
Tg N |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
0.13 |
0.21 |
0.28 |
0.31 |
Energy Sulfur Emissions
(controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
2.5 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
6.2 |
6.9 |
7.7 |
9.8 |
13.3 |
18.1 |
37.7 |
46.3 |
31.2 |
Other Industrial Sulfur
Emissions (controlled) |
|
|
Tg S |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
6.7 |
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